FLModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+1.0%
Next 1 week
+1.2%
Next 1 month
+2.0%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Dec 3): +6.1% median,
67% of the last 9 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Deeply oversold — RSI(2) at 9
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.20%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 0.89 +2.1% · Seasonal tilt (9y) -0.1%
$6M/day volume
61% volatility
-15% 1-year
52-week range · 33% of the way up · -38% from the high
$13.46$31.04
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-05 (Thursday, after close, in 2 days) · EPS est. -0.65.
1-day std dev
16.0%
Finished up
45%
Biggest pop
+38.4%
Biggest drop
-38.1%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 40 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 | miss | -0.44 | -0.58 | -32.2% | -14.3% | -18.1% | -5.3% |
| 2026-05-01 | miss | -0.35 | -0.36 | -3.4% | -7.6% | -7.0% | +5.1% |
| 2026-02-27 | beat | 0.03 | 0.16 | +436.4% | -23.2% | -38.1% | -40.9% |
| 2025-11-07 | beat | -0.22 | 0.14 | +162.5% | +7.8% | +18.2% | +30.4% |
| 2025-08-01 | beat | -0.18 | 0.07 | +137.9% | +12.0% | +7.9% | +18.5% |
| 2025-05-02 | beat | -0.18 | 0.04 | +122.3% | +5.5% | +19.1% | +14.2% |
| 2025-02-28 | beat | -0.37 | 0.04 | +110.8% | +1.7% | -1.5% | +18.5% |
| 2024-11-08 | beat | -0.15 | 0.31 | +301.5% | -0.8% | -11.8% | -21.4% |
| 2024-08-02 | beat | -0.30 | 0.15 | +150.2% | -5.4% | +6.3% | +1.5% |
| 2024-05-03 | beat | -0.32 | -0.01 | +96.9% | -3.5% | +1.2% | +2.4% |
| 2024-02-28 | beat | -0.29 | 0.28 | +197.8% | +0.0% | -8.1% | -8.4% |
| 2023-11-03 | miss | -0.32 | -0.39 | -21.9% | +2.4% | +13.2% | +10.1% |
| 2023-08-04 | beat | -0.33 | -0.08 | +75.5% | +9.8% | -3.0% | -18.5% |
| 2023-05-05 | beat | -0.43 | -0.22 | +48.4% | +10.2% | +19.0% | +24.4% |
| 2023-02-28 | beat | -0.56 | -0.48 | +14.3% | -3.1% | -2.9% | -4.2% |
| 2022-11-07 | beat | 0.06 | 0.06 | +9.1% | -9.1% | -2.3% | +4.2% |
| 2022-08-04 | beat | 0.73 | 0.78 | +6.8% | -3.1% | -6.1% | -17.8% |
| 2022-05-03 | beat | 3.86 | 5.08 | +31.6% | -0.4% | +3.6% | -14.1% |
| 2022-02-23 | beat | 2.67 | 3.48 | +30.6% | -9.6% | +2.2% | -6.7% |
| 2021-11-09 | beat | 3.25 | 3.93 | +20.9% | +4.3% | +1.1% | +25.1% |
| 2021-08-09 | miss | 2.67 | 2.59 | -3.0% | -13.4% | -11.3% | -15.6% |
| 2021-05-06 | beat | 5.70 | 6.52 | +14.4% | +1.0% | +2.2% | -3.7% |
| 2021-03-04 | beat | 4.05 | 6.20 | +53.0% | +29.6% | +8.0% | +11.8% |
| 2020-11-09 | beat | 0.55 | 2.08 | +278.2% | +16.1% | +7.1% | +43.3% |
| 2020-08-05 | beat | 0.01 | 0.17 | +1600.0% | +32.0% | +21.7% | +40.2% |
| 2020-05-04 | miss | 0.02 | -0.03 | -242.9% | +2.6% | -23.5% | -5.8% |
| 2020-03-10 | beat | 0.02 | 0.04 | +105.1% | -4.9% | -34.0% | -46.6% |
| 2019-11-04 | beat | 0.03 | 0.14 | +366.7% | +22.3% | +38.4% | +45.3% |
| 2019-08-05 | beat | — | 0.06 | +3100.0% | +0.1% | +27.5% | +36.5% |
| 2019-05-07 | miss | -0.02 | -0.06 | -179.1% | -2.5% | -10.1% | -10.6% |
| 2019-02-28 | beat | -0.01 | -0.01 | +33.3% | -0.5% | +12.0% | +15.1% |
| 2018-11-06 | beat | -0.02 | — | +100.0% | +6.7% | +4.3% | +7.8% |
| 2018-08-06 | beat | -0.03 | -0.01 | +66.7% | +6.8% | -0.2% | -10.3% |
| 2018-05-07 | miss | -0.04 | -0.06 | -71.4% | -7.8% | -5.1% | -9.3% |
| 2018-02-28 | miss | -0.02 | -0.06 | -267.4% | -4.4% | -10.0% | -20.7% |
| 2017-11-06 | miss | 0.02 | -0.02 | -183.3% | -17.8% | -14.3% | -18.0% |
| 2017-08-07 | beat | 0.02 | 0.02 | +25.0% | -6.2% | -12.2% | -6.5% |
| 2017-05-08 | miss | 0.06 | 0.03 | -45.5% | -11.3% | -33.6% | -33.7% |
| 2017-02-27 | miss | 0.07 | 0.06 | -12.7% | +0.1% | -1.0% | -8.2% |
| 2016-11-14 | beat | 0.09 | 0.11 | +16.4% | +1.3% | -1.7% | +9.5% |
Not investment advice.
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