FLY (Firefly Aerospace Inc.) — Congressional Trades, Short Interest & Seasonality

Model view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast

Next 1 day

+1.8%

Next 1 week

+1.1%

Next 1 month

+8.5%

Seasonality

Not enough history

Mean reversion

Deeply oversold — RSI(2) at 5

RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.

1-month breakdown — Market · β 3.61 +8.5%

$53M/day volume 109% volatility -33% 1-year -78% from ATH

52-week range · 1% of the way up · -74% from the high

$15.99$62.17

Congressional trades in FLY Full tracker →

1 member · 1 buys / 1 sells · $2K–$30K disclosed · latest filing May 16, 2014.

SELL	SC Susan M Collins · traded May 7, 2014	$1K–$15K
BUY	SC Susan M Collins · traded Jun 13, 2013	$1K–$15K

Next report 2026-11-10 (Tuesday, after close, in 8 days) · EPS est. -0.50.

Biggest pop

+17.0%

Biggest drop

-15.3%

Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 5 reports. History, not a forecast.

Reported		Est.	Actual	Surprise	Gap	Day 1	Day 5
2026-08-11	beat	-0.53	-0.42	+20.4%	+1.3%	+0.7%	-4.0%
2026-05-04	beat	-0.52	-0.46	+11.5%	+15.9%	-5.5%	+17.8%
2026-03-19	beat	-0.48	-0.38	+22.2%	+11.3%	+1.1%	+3.2%
2025-11-12	miss	-0.44	-0.55	-25.2%	+23.8%	+17.0%	-7.6%
2025-09-22	miss	-0.46	-5.66	-1138.7%	-12.0%	-15.3%	-40.8%