FNModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
-0.4%
Next 1 week
+2.6%
Next 1 month
+8.4%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Nov 28): +11.9% median,
80% of the last 15 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Deeply overbought — RSI(2) at 92
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.08%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 3.05 +8.0% · Seasonal tilt +0.5%
$13.3B market cap (#968 US)
$387M/day volume
77% volatility
-13% 1-year
-51% from ATH
52-week range · 14% of the way up · -51% from the high
$305.63$748.89
Congressional trades in FN Full tracker →
5 members · 6 buys / 8 sells · $56K–$315K disclosed · latest filing Sep 4, 2026.
| SELL | $15K–$50K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $15K–$50K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $15K–$50K |
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-02 (Monday, after close, in 4 days) · EPS est. 4.19.
1-day std dev
10.0%
Finished up
50%
Biggest pop
+31.6%
Biggest drop
-19.4%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-17 | beat | 3.81 | 4.10 | +7.5% | -14.2% | -19.4% | -27.9% |
| 2026-05-04 | beat | 3.56 | 3.72 | +4.4% | -10.4% | -8.0% | -11.6% |
| 2026-02-02 | beat | 3.25 | 3.36 | +3.4% | -9.5% | -10.2% | -6.7% |
| 2025-11-03 | beat | 2.82 | 2.92 | +3.6% | +3.8% | +3.7% | +1.4% |
| 2025-08-18 | beat | 2.63 | 2.65 | +0.8% | -11.7% | -12.8% | +1.1% |
| 2025-05-05 | beat | 2.47 | 2.52 | +1.9% | -11.7% | -7.3% | +2.9% |
| 2025-02-03 | beat | 2.49 | 2.61 | +4.7% | -8.8% | -8.2% | -8.2% |
| 2024-11-04 | beat | 2.38 | 2.39 | +0.5% | -9.1% | -3.9% | +8.0% |
| 2024-08-19 | beat | 2.24 | 2.41 | +7.5% | +13.2% | +15.7% | +6.4% |
| 2024-05-06 | beat | 2.11 | 2.39 | +13.3% | +11.1% | +10.8% | +23.1% |
| 2024-02-05 | beat | 2.03 | 2.08 | +2.5% | -17.8% | -18.4% | -13.0% |
| 2023-11-06 | beat | 1.86 | 2.00 | +7.5% | +1.0% | +6.1% | +8.0% |
| 2023-08-21 | beat | 1.80 | 1.86 | +3.2% | +31.7% | +31.6% | +34.8% |
| 2023-05-08 | beat | 1.87 | 1.94 | +3.5% | -2.5% | -0.9% | -0.4% |
| 2023-02-06 | beat | 1.87 | 1.90 | +1.5% | +1.7% | -7.7% | -4.3% |
| 2022-11-07 | beat | 1.74 | 1.97 | +13.5% | +3.2% | +9.5% | +13.7% |
| 2022-08-15 | beat | 1.54 | 1.68 | +8.9% | +12.7% | +14.9% | +7.2% |
| 2022-05-02 | miss | 1.52 | 1.50 | -1.5% | -6.6% | -5.8% | -12.6% |
| 2022-01-31 | beat | 1.46 | 1.50 | +2.8% | -5.3% | -10.2% | -10.9% |
| 2021-11-01 | beat | 1.33 | 1.45 | +9.2% | +17.0% | +13.2% | +21.3% |
| 2021-08-16 | beat | 1.22 | 1.31 | +7.5% | +5.9% | +7.8% | +11.5% |
| 2021-05-03 | beat | 1.14 | 1.21 | +5.7% | -4.2% | -1.4% | -4.7% |
| 2021-02-01 | beat | 1.04 | 1.10 | +5.5% | +8.9% | +3.7% | +9.2% |
| 2020-11-02 | beat | 0.98 | 1.05 | +7.5% | +5.1% | +4.1% | +9.5% |
| 2020-08-17 | beat | 0.87 | 0.96 | +10.4% | -5.0% | -2.4% | -4.2% |
| 2020-05-04 | miss | 0.94 | 0.92 | -1.6% | +10.0% | -1.2% | +1.1% |
| 2020-02-03 | beat | 0.93 | 1.00 | +7.8% | +2.3% | +6.3% | +5.2% |
| 2019-11-04 | beat | 0.82 | 0.86 | +4.9% | +0.5% | -5.0% | -2.2% |
| 2019-08-19 | beat | 0.94 | 1.00 | +6.8% | -16.1% | -17.7% | -14.3% |
| 2019-05-06 | beat | 0.89 | 0.92 | +3.6% | +3.3% | -0.6% | -4.6% |
| 2019-02-04 | beat | 0.92 | 0.97 | +5.4% | +0.2% | -8.6% | -6.5% |
| 2018-11-05 | beat | 0.81 | 0.92 | +14.1% | +10.0% | +10.6% | +9.8% |
| 2018-08-20 | beat | 0.75 | 0.81 | +8.4% | +8.9% | +6.2% | +8.5% |
| 2018-05-07 | beat | 0.71 | 0.71 | +0.3% | +9.2% | +7.6% | +8.5% |
| 2018-02-05 | beat | 0.70 | 0.72 | +3.1% | +10.9% | +24.7% | +19.2% |
| 2017-11-06 | miss | 0.80 | 0.75 | -5.9% | -9.9% | -9.0% | -3.6% |
| 2017-08-21 | beat | 0.83 | 0.86 | +3.2% | -5.3% | -7.2% | -3.1% |
| 2017-05-08 | miss | 0.88 | 0.80 | -9.1% | +11.7% | +8.3% | +8.0% |
| 2017-02-06 | beat | 0.79 | 0.91 | +15.7% | +5.6% | +2.2% | +14.0% |
| 2016-11-07 | beat | 0.71 | 0.80 | +12.2% | +7.8% | +3.9% | +8.2% |
| 2016-08-15 | beat | 0.60 | 0.60 | +0.6% | +6.3% | -5.9% | -5.5% |
| 2016-05-02 | beat | 0.53 | 0.56 | +5.3% | +9.0% | +11.5% | +5.9% |
| 2016-02-01 | beat | 0.46 | 0.50 | +8.7% | +12.4% | +11.7% | +13.2% |
| 2015-11-02 | beat | 0.42 | 0.45 | +7.1% | +3.8% | +12.4% | +6.8% |
| 2015-08-17 | beat | 0.39 | 0.40 | +2.9% | +9.6% | +7.2% | -0.4% |
| 2015-05-04 | beat | 0.35 | 0.36 | +3.3% | +3.4% | -0.6% | -0.6% |
| 2015-02-02 | beat | 0.38 | 0.40 | +4.1% | +8.4% | +2.2% | +2.4% |
| 2014-11-03 | beat | 0.41 | 0.41 | +1.2% | -3.1% | -4.1% | -3.2% |
| 2014-10-16 | beat | 0.34 | 0.34 | +0.7% | +17.2% | +8.5% | +12.7% |
| 2014-05-05 | beat | 0.33 | 0.34 | +3.2% | -14.5% | -13.9% | -11.6% |
| 2014-02-03 | beat | 0.40 | 0.45 | +12.8% | -5.0% | -7.7% | -3.0% |
| 2013-11-04 | beat | 0.32 | 0.40 | +23.6% | +0.1% | +2.5% | +13.9% |
| 2013-08-12 | beat | 0.28 | 0.35 | +23.8% | +7.8% | +2.9% | +1.3% |
| 2013-04-29 | beat | 0.31 | 0.33 | +6.0% | -1.2% | -1.3% | +2.7% |
| 2013-02-04 | beat | 0.36 | 0.39 | +7.1% | +2.4% | +9.6% | +9.8% |
| 2012-11-05 | beat | 0.31 | 0.36 | +14.7% | +0.1% | +2.2% | +26.4% |
| 2012-08-20 | beat | 0.26 | 0.31 | +17.4% | +2.6% | -4.3% | -9.6% |
| 2012-05-07 | beat | 0.24 | 0.28 | +19.1% | -5.1% | -8.1% | -12.7% |
| 2012-02-06 | beat | -0.42 | 0.18 | +142.6% | +5.3% | +7.0% | +7.7% |
| 2011-11-07 | beat | 0.42 | 0.45 | +6.5% | -0.4% | -2.7% | -2.8% |
Posted about FN
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long
586.00
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Gilbert Cisneros's trade date was 4 May 2026 — a disclosed purchase of $1,001–$15,000. But a Periodic Transaction Report gives a date and a size…
TRACKER - Josh Gottheimer · Congress
long
714.78
Thu, 04 Jun
Josh Gottheimer's trade date was 1 May 2026 — a disclosed purchase of $1,001–$15,000. But a Periodic Transaction Report gives a date and a size band,…
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