FNModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.6%
Next 1 week
-0.1%
Next 1 month
+4.8%
Seasonality
Weak window historically
Next 30 days (to Dec 2): -3.9% median,
38% of the last 8 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Oversold — RSI(2) at 17
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.15%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 2.04 +4.9% · Seasonal tilt (8y) -0.1%
$7M/day volume
68% volatility
+106% 1-year
-80% from ATH
52-week range · 79% of the way up · -13% from the high
$2.72$7.35
Congressional trades in FNKO Full tracker →
1 member · 0 buys / 8 sells · $260K–$600K disclosed · latest filing May 1, 2020.
| SELL | $15K–$50K | |
| SELL | $15K–$50K | |
| SELL | $50K–$100K | |
| SELL | $50K–$100K | |
| SELL | $15K–$50K | |
| SELL | $15K–$50K | |
| SELL | $50K–$100K | |
| SELL | $50K–$100K |
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-05 (Thursday, after close, in 3 days) · EPS est. 0.10.
1-day std dev
17.5%
Finished up
57%
Biggest pop
+26.9%
Biggest drop
-59.4%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 35 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 | beat | -0.18 | 0.26 | +240.5% | +30.8% | +11.4% | +16.3% |
| 2026-05-07 | beat | -0.30 | -0.11 | +63.3% | +8.3% | +17.9% | +13.5% |
| 2026-03-12 | beat | 0.04 | 0.05 | +42.9% | +4.4% | -4.0% | -21.6% |
| 2025-11-06 | beat | -0.09 | 0.06 | +166.7% | +12.6% | +10.3% | +7.6% |
| 2025-08-07 | miss | -0.43 | -0.48 | -11.6% | -18.0% | -32.8% | -24.0% |
| 2025-05-08 | beat | -0.43 | -0.33 | +24.1% | -6.2% | -16.4% | +0.0% |
| 2025-03-06 | — | 0.08 | — | -5.1% | -13.5% | -32.1% | |
| 2024-11-07 | beat | 0.04 | 0.14 | +229.4% | -7.9% | -8.5% | -15.0% |
| 2024-08-08 | beat | -0.14 | 0.10 | +171.4% | +1.3% | +11.3% | +14.2% |
| 2024-05-09 | beat | -0.29 | -0.17 | +42.4% | +14.7% | +5.7% | +21.6% |
| 2024-03-07 | beat | -0.02 | 0.01 | +144.4% | +16.3% | +6.5% | -0.9% |
| 2023-11-02 | beat | -0.05 | 0.03 | +157.7% | +15.8% | +16.5% | -8.3% |
| 2023-08-03 | miss | -0.40 | -0.43 | -6.6% | -7.0% | -13.9% | -18.0% |
| 2023-05-04 | beat | -0.92 | -0.49 | +46.8% | +7.0% | +20.6% | +18.8% |
| 2023-03-01 | miss | -0.11 | -0.35 | -223.1% | -29.6% | -7.1% | -22.7% |
| 2022-11-03 | miss | 0.50 | 0.28 | -44.1% | -48.2% | -59.4% | -49.2% |
| 2022-08-04 | beat | 0.23 | 0.26 | +12.5% | -9.4% | -18.3% | -21.8% |
| 2022-05-05 | beat | 0.22 | 0.34 | +53.4% | +20.1% | +26.9% | +26.0% |
| 2022-03-03 | beat | 0.24 | 0.38 | +57.4% | +14.7% | +9.6% | -8.2% |
| 2021-11-04 | beat | 0.27 | 0.39 | +43.1% | +11.6% | +9.0% | +2.1% |
| 2021-08-05 | beat | 0.18 | 0.40 | +117.0% | -0.6% | -6.4% | -9.7% |
| 2021-05-06 | beat | 0.11 | 0.24 | +122.1% | +2.6% | +19.9% | +16.3% |
| 2021-03-11 | beat | 0.14 | 0.29 | +101.8% | +7.0% | +15.9% | +14.6% |
| 2020-11-05 | beat | 0.10 | 0.31 | +196.6% | -0.3% | -13.8% | +3.3% |
| 2020-08-06 | beat | -0.41 | -0.20 | +51.0% | -2.5% | -12.4% | -1.9% |
| 2020-05-07 | beat | -0.07 | -0.04 | +43.3% | +3.1% | +21.6% | +8.5% |
| 2020-03-05 | beat | 0.16 | 0.18 | +15.6% | -7.3% | -4.4% | -30.7% |
| 2019-10-31 | beat | 0.32 | 0.38 | +18.9% | -0.8% | -15.6% | -20.8% |
| 2019-08-08 | beat | 0.13 | 0.25 | +87.5% | +5.8% | +2.5% | -5.1% |
| 2019-05-02 | beat | 0.08 | 0.16 | +95.1% | +6.6% | +2.8% | +12.9% |
| 2019-02-28 | beat | 0.34 | 0.44 | +28.1% | +21.8% | +5.2% | -0.5% |
| 2018-11-08 | beat | 0.23 | 0.27 | +15.0% | -14.1% | -21.5% | -18.6% |
| 2018-08-09 | beat | 0.02 | 0.07 | +314.7% | +2.4% | +3.6% | -1.4% |
| 2018-05-10 | beat | -0.01 | 0.03 | +643.5% | -1.7% | +0.5% | +2.0% |
| 2018-03-08 | beat | 0.17 | 0.22 | +32.6% | +14.5% | +6.2% | +6.8% |
Not investment advice.
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