FOSL

Fossil Group, Inc. $6.81 as of 2026-11-02
Model view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+1.0%
Next 1 week
+0.3%
Next 1 month
+4.7%
Seasonality
Mildly positive window
Next 30 days (to Dec 3): +1.7% median, 53% of the last 32 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Neutral — RSI(2) at 67
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought. Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.11%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown — Market · β 2.07 +4.8% · Seasonal tilt -0.2%
$4M/day volume 73% volatility +229% 1-year
52-week range · 90% of the way up · -8% from the high
$1.70$7.39

Congressional trades in FOSL Full tracker →

1 member · 1 buys / 1 sells · $2K–$30K disclosed · latest filing Feb 13, 2015.

SELL LS Lamar Smith · traded Jan 27, 2015 $1K–$15K
BUY LS Lamar Smith · traded Feb 10, 2014 $1K–$15K

Earnings Full history →

Next report 2026-11-10 (Tuesday, after close, in 8 days) · EPS est. -0.08.

1-day std dev
20.2%
Finished up
55%
Biggest pop
+87.7%
Biggest drop
-37.6%

Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 49 reports. History, not a forecast.

ReportedEst.Actual SurpriseGap Day 1Day 5
2026-08-12 beat -0.42 -0.13 +69.0% +11.4% +5.9% +5.9%
2026-05-13 beat -0.28 -0.03 +89.5% +13.4% +6.1% -0.5%
2026-03-11 — -0.15 — +12.1% +16.5% +4.4%
2025-11-13 miss -0.36 -0.63 -75.0% -14.3% -9.0% +14.8%
2025-08-13 beat -0.21 -0.10 +52.4% +7.7% +29.8% +55.8%
2020-08-12 beat -1.71 -0.30 +82.6% +7.8% +14.2% +21.1%
2020-06-03 beat -1.51 -1.36 +9.7% -4.7% +14.4% +15.0%
2020-02-26 miss 0.77 0.06 -92.3% -13.0% -21.5% -11.3%
2019-11-06 miss 0.24 -0.15 -162.5% -24.0% -21.1% -37.7%
2019-08-07 beat -0.05 0.03 +161.8% -6.4% +7.0% -12.4%
2019-05-08 beat -0.61 -0.42 +30.8% +5.3% +13.2% +4.1%
2019-02-13 miss 1.21 1.01 -16.2% -16.9% -3.3% +1.1%
2018-11-07 beat -0.10 0.19 +286.3% +7.5% +5.8% -7.3%
2018-08-07 beat -0.58 0.17 +129.6% +4.6% -11.6% -6.8%
2018-05-08 beat -0.96 -0.55 +42.1% -0.9% +9.1% +18.7%
2018-02-13 beat 0.40 0.64 +60.5% +78.4% +87.7% +47.6%
2017-11-07 beat -0.15 -0.05 +67.5% -7.2% -17.2% +4.5%
2017-08-08 beat -0.35 -0.23 +34.0% -24.0% -25.1% -33.6%
2017-05-09 miss -0.26 -0.35 -34.6% -16.3% -20.4% -31.2%
2017-02-14 beat 1.18 1.36 +15.6% -17.1% -14.8% -15.1%
2016-11-03 beat 0.31 0.42 +35.6% -5.7% +3.5% +28.5%
2016-08-09 beat 0.08 0.12 +46.7% +8.0% +0.7% +3.7%
2016-05-10 miss 0.16 0.12 -27.2% -32.3% -29.1% -33.6%
2016-02-16 beat 1.53 1.64 +7.1% +13.9% +28.6% +33.4%
2015-11-12 miss 1.30 1.24 -4.3% -27.1% -36.5% -27.9%
2015-08-11 beat 0.90 1.22 +34.5% -8.2% -2.3% -0.2%
2015-05-05 beat 0.76 0.92 +20.7% -2.8% -6.7% -10.1%
2015-02-17 miss 3.07 2.92 -4.8% -15.2% -15.7% -14.0%
2014-11-11 beat 1.82 1.96 +7.7% +7.0% +8.4% +3.5%
2014-08-12 beat 0.96 0.98 +1.8% -2.4% -5.6% -2.6%
2014-05-13 beat 1.17 1.22 +4.3% -6.7% -10.3% -9.5%
2014-02-11 beat 2.43 2.68 +10.2% +5.1% +3.5% +2.0%
2013-11-05 beat 1.37 1.58 +15.4% -1.4% -4.1% -3.6%
2013-08-06 beat 0.94 1.15 +22.9% +14.5% +17.8% +14.2%
2013-05-07 beat 0.97 1.10 +13.7% +8.1% +9.0% +10.1%
2013-02-12 beat 2.27 2.27 +0.1% +3.8% +3.0% -4.4%
2012-11-06 beat 1.17 1.28 +9.6% -8.2% -10.5% -14.4%
2012-08-07 beat 0.79 0.92 +15.8% +20.7% +31.5% +21.2%
2012-05-08 beat 0.92 0.93 +0.8% -26.8% -37.6% -42.8%
2012-02-14 beat 1.77 1.87 +5.8% -4.3% +14.7% +10.9%
2011-11-08 beat 1.03 1.09 +5.5% -7.0% -2.5% -5.8%
2011-08-09 beat 0.76 0.80 +5.3% -16.6% -12.5% -6.2%
2011-05-10 beat 0.66 0.86 +30.5% +7.1% +12.7% +8.7%
2011-02-15 beat 1.33 1.41 +5.5% -3.3% -5.7% -10.5%
2010-11-09 beat 0.74 1.00 +34.6% +7.9% +6.1% +3.0%
2010-08-10 beat 0.34 0.64 +89.2% +6.0% +7.9% +4.8%
2010-05-11 beat 0.33 0.53 +63.1% +7.7% +8.5% +3.1%
2010-02-16 beat 0.90 1.03 +14.7% +6.8% +6.9% +5.8%
2009-11-10 beat 0.42 0.52 +24.4% +7.2% +9.0% +12.8%

Not investment advice.