FRME

First Merchants Corp $40.59 as of 2026-10-30
Model view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.3%
Next 1 week
+0.8%
Next 1 month
+1.3%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Nov 30): +1.9% median, 67% of the last 36 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Neutral — RSI(2) at 30
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought. Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.46%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown — Market · β 0.45 +1.1% · Seasonal tilt +0.1%
$17M/day volume 22% volatility +14% 1-year -20% from ATH
52-week range · 56% of the way up · -10% from the high
$34.66$45.33

Earnings Full history →

Next report 2027-01-25 (Monday, after close, in 86 days) · EPS est. 1.00.

1-day std dev
2.6%
Finished up
43%
Biggest pop
+7.6%
Biggest drop
-6.1%

Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.

ReportedEst.Actual SurpriseGap Day 1Day 5
2026-10-21 beat 1.04 1.10 +5.4% +0.0% +2.2% +2.8%
2026-07-22 miss 1.03 0.74 -28.3% -9.5% -4.3% -1.2%
2026-04-22 beat 0.97 1.03 +6.5% -2.0% -1.7% +0.2%
2026-01-26 beat 0.95 0.98 +3.0% +0.8% +0.5% +7.4%
2025-10-22 beat 0.96 0.99 +3.0% -0.5% -0.5% -2.3%
2025-07-23 beat 0.95 0.98 +3.7% -0.5% -3.7% -7.6%
2025-04-24 beat 0.91 0.94 +2.9% -5.2% -1.1% -2.7%
2025-01-30 beat 0.90 1.00 +11.1% +1.9% +3.5% +9.7%
2024-10-24 beat 0.90 0.95 +5.2% -3.0% -3.6% -0.8%
2024-07-25 miss 0.80 0.68 -14.8% -0.9% +2.0% -2.4%
2024-05-01 beat 0.82 0.85 +3.2% +1.1% +0.6% +5.3%
2024-01-25 beat 0.87 0.87 +0.2% +1.7% -2.9% -6.3%
2023-10-26 miss 0.95 0.94 -0.5% +0.1% +3.2% +8.4%
2023-07-25 beat 1.02 1.02 +0.3% +0.0% -3.5% -1.6%
2023-04-25 miss 1.14 1.07 -6.1% +0.5% -4.9% -8.7%
2023-01-26 beat 1.16 1.19 +2.3% +0.8% +0.4% +7.2%
2022-10-25 beat 1.09 1.12 +2.4% -0.8% -0.3% +1.0%
2022-07-26 beat 0.88 1.01 +15.4% +0.5% +1.8% +7.6%
2022-04-26 beat 0.87 0.91 +4.2% -0.2% -0.2% -5.8%
2022-01-27 miss 0.93 0.89 -4.1% -0.8% -6.1% -3.4%
2021-10-26 beat 0.91 0.98 +7.3% -0.2% -0.1% -2.6%
2021-07-26 beat 0.92 1.03 +12.6% +0.7% +0.4% +0.3%
2021-04-22 beat 0.78 0.91 +16.9% +1.1% -1.8% +1.8%
2021-01-28 beat 0.66 0.83 +25.4% +10.0% +2.1% +7.7%
2020-10-28 beat 0.63 0.67 +6.9% -1.9% -4.7% -3.1%
2020-07-23 beat 0.47 0.62 +30.8% +1.2% +4.5% -1.9%
2020-04-23 beat 0.57 0.62 +9.1% -2.9% +0.3% +10.8%
2020-01-30 beat 0.86 0.90 +5.3% -0.2% +2.8% +5.4%
2019-10-24 beat 0.80 0.90 +12.4% -2.8% -2.2% +1.8%
2019-07-25 beat 0.81 0.83 +2.1% -0.6% -2.8% +0.8%
2019-04-25 miss 0.81 0.78 -3.9% -1.0% -4.4% -4.4%
2019-01-31 beat 0.82 0.85 +3.7% -1.2% -1.2% +2.9%
2018-10-24 beat 0.80 0.83 +3.8% +1.6% -1.2% +1.6%
2018-07-25 beat 0.75 0.80 +7.1% +4.8% +6.4% +3.8%
2018-04-25 beat 0.70 0.74 +5.3% +0.2% +0.0% -1.0%
2018-01-25 beat 0.51 0.61 +20.1% +1.4% -0.7% +0.5%
2017-10-26 miss 0.57 0.50 -12.0% +0.3% +1.2% -0.3%
2017-07-27 beat 0.55 0.57 +4.4% +0.4% -0.3% -0.6%
2017-04-27 beat 0.52 0.56 +8.7% +0.1% -0.4% -0.4%
2017-01-26 beat 0.49 0.55 +11.5% -0.1% +1.7% +3.0%
2016-10-25 beat 0.49 0.51 +4.6% -0.8% +2.2% +2.5%
2016-07-26 beat 0.46 0.49 +6.5% +0.3% +0.0% +2.4%
2016-04-26 beat 0.40 0.47 +17.5% +0.1% +3.6% +2.9%
2016-01-28 beat 0.42 0.44 +3.9% +0.0% +1.4% +4.1%
2015-10-22 beat 0.44 0.52 +19.3% +1.0% +1.2% +3.5%
2015-07-23 beat 0.44 0.55 +25.1% +0.8% -1.7% -2.1%
2015-04-23 beat 0.42 0.43 +2.4% -0.3% -0.8% -4.0%
2015-01-27 miss 0.42 0.41 -1.2% -0.9% -1.1% -0.1%
2014-10-23 beat 0.43 0.45 +5.9% +0.9% +0.7% +6.3%
2014-07-24 beat 0.41 0.41 +0.6% +1.8% -0.5% -1.9%
2014-04-24 miss 0.39 0.38 -3.7% +0.2% -1.6% -0.9%
2014-01-28 beat 0.34 0.47 +39.9% +0.3% -0.6% -1.4%
2013-10-24 beat 0.35 0.35 +0.7% +0.5% +1.3% -3.2%
2013-07-25 beat 0.31 0.34 +8.5% -0.1% -0.4% +1.0%
2013-04-25 beat 0.29 0.38 +31.0% +0.7% +7.6% +5.4%
2013-01-24 beat 0.30 0.32 +6.7% -2.0% -0.1% +1.6%
2012-10-25 beat 0.28 0.35 +23.9% +1.2% +1.5% +1.0%
2012-07-26 beat 0.23 0.28 +21.7% +1.2% +1.2% +8.3%
2012-04-26 beat 0.23 0.46 +104.4% +0.1% +0.8% +5.5%
2012-01-26 beat 0.19 0.24 +26.3% +0.3% -2.5% +5.6%

Not investment advice.