FVModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.4%
Next 1 week
+0.8%
Next 1 month
+0.3%
Seasonality
Mildly positive window
Next 30 days (to Dec 1): +1.0% median,
50% of the last 10 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Oversold — RSI(2) at 15
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.44%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 0.39 +0.9% · Seasonal tilt (10y) -0.6%
$1M/day volume
21% volatility
+41% 1-year
-12% from ATH
52-week range · 69% of the way up · -12% from the high
$11.90$19.11
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2027-01-19 (Tuesday, after close, in 79 days) · EPS est. 0.41.
1-day std dev
2.7%
Finished up
43%
Biggest pop
+7.0%
Biggest drop
-5.7%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 46 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | miss | 0.39 | 0.37 | -5.1% | -2.0% | -5.7% | — |
| 2026-07-21 | beat | 0.36 | 0.42 | +16.7% | +0.1% | +0.1% | +4.6% |
| 2026-04-21 | beat | 0.33 | 0.36 | +9.1% | +1.7% | +1.9% | +0.8% |
| 2026-01-20 | 0.31 | 0.31 | — | +0.6% | +7.0% | +5.2% | |
| 2025-10-21 | 0.31 | 0.31 | — | +1.0% | +2.7% | -2.1% | |
| 2025-07-22 | beat | 0.28 | 0.30 | +7.1% | +2.3% | +0.4% | -6.0% |
| 2025-04-22 | beat | 0.24 | 0.28 | +16.7% | +4.8% | +4.0% | +9.0% |
| 2025-01-23 | beat | 0.25 | 0.26 | +4.0% | +0.0% | +2.4% | +1.7% |
| 2024-10-22 | beat | 0.24 | 0.25 | +4.2% | +0.0% | +3.4% | +0.5% |
| 2024-07-25 | beat | 0.21 | 0.23 | +9.5% | +3.0% | +2.5% | -12.0% |
| 2024-04-23 | beat | 0.20 | 0.20 | +2.6% | -2.2% | -2.5% | -0.7% |
| 2024-01-23 | miss | 0.20 | -0.28 | -240.0% | +0.1% | -0.8% | -8.6% |
| 2023-10-24 | miss | 0.25 | 0.22 | -10.2% | -1.4% | -2.4% | -2.4% |
| 2023-07-25 | beat | 0.22 | 0.23 | +4.5% | +2.4% | +3.6% | +11.5% |
| 2023-04-20 | beat | 0.14 | 0.26 | +79.3% | -2.3% | -3.4% | -2.9% |
| 2023-01-25 | miss | 0.38 | 0.22 | -43.8% | -1.3% | -3.4% | -7.2% |
| 2022-10-20 | beat | 0.38 | 0.38 | +2.1% | +1.0% | +1.6% | +3.1% |
| 2022-07-21 | beat | 0.34 | 0.34 | +2.4% | +0.5% | +0.0% | +1.9% |
| 2022-04-21 | beat | 0.28 | 0.37 | +30.2% | -0.9% | -1.3% | -3.9% |
| 2022-01-25 | beat | 0.29 | 0.36 | +23.3% | +1.3% | -0.7% | +1.5% |
| 2021-11-04 | beat | 0.25 | 0.32 | +27.0% | -2.0% | -2.5% | -3.0% |
| 2021-08-02 | beat | 0.21 | 0.29 | +38.5% | +0.5% | -0.2% | +3.3% |
| 2021-04-26 | beat | 0.30 | 0.30 | +2.7% | +0.8% | +1.0% | +0.6% |
| 2021-01-21 | beat | 0.25 | 0.29 | +16.1% | -0.8% | +3.7% | +0.0% |
| 2020-10-23 | beat | 0.22 | 0.22 | +2.4% | -7.0% | -4.9% | +2.2% |
| 2020-07-24 | beat | 0.18 | 0.20 | +13.6% | +1.8% | -3.7% | -8.8% |
| 2020-04-23 | beat | 0.20 | 0.21 | +4.0% | -0.3% | +2.2% | +13.8% |
| 2020-01-23 | beat | 0.20 | 0.21 | +4.0% | +1.4% | +0.3% | -4.2% |
| 2019-10-17 | beat | 0.22 | 0.22 | +1.2% | -0.6% | -1.1% | -2.1% |
| 2019-07-18 | miss | 0.24 | 0.22 | -5.6% | -1.1% | -3.4% | -7.8% |
| 2019-04-18 | miss | 0.22 | 0.22 | -3.6% | -0.9% | -4.2% | -2.9% |
| 2019-01-23 | miss | 0.21 | 0.21 | -2.5% | -0.6% | -1.8% | -2.1% |
| 2018-10-18 | beat | 0.23 | 0.23 | +2.4% | +0.0% | -5.3% | -4.8% |
| 2018-07-19 | beat | 0.20 | 0.22 | +12.0% | -0.8% | -0.8% | -4.9% |
| 2018-04-18 | beat | 0.19 | 0.20 | +4.2% | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.6% |
| 2018-01-25 | beat | 0.16 | 0.20 | +25.0% | +0.1% | +0.2% | -0.1% |
| 2017-10-19 | miss | 0.16 | 0.15 | -5.0% | +1.1% | +0.3% | +0.3% |
| 2017-07-25 | 0.15 | 0.15 | — | -0.3% | -0.3% | +1.3% | |
| 2017-04-14 | beat | 0.13 | 0.15 | +11.4% | -0.5% | -0.5% | +1.1% |
| 2017-01-19 | miss | 0.14 | 0.13 | -9.1% | +0.6% | +0.6% | +1.3% |
| 2016-10-20 | miss | 0.13 | 0.12 | -9.5% | +0.0% | -0.5% | -5.3% |
| 2016-07-20 | beat | 0.13 | 0.13 | +1.0% | -2.2% | -2.2% | -3.9% |
| 2016-04-19 | beat | 0.11 | 0.13 | +18.2% | +2.0% | +0.8% | +3.4% |
| 2016-02-08 | miss | 0.11 | 0.08 | -28.6% | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.0% |
| 2015-10-29 | miss | 0.12 | 0.11 | -4.3% | +0.0% | +0.0% | +1.8% |
| 2015-07-20 | beat | 0.11 | 0.12 | +9.1% | +0.0% | +1.3% | +1.0% |
Not investment advice.
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