GCModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.1%
Next 1 week
+0.6%
Next 1 month
+2.5%
Seasonality
Mildly positive window
Next 30 days (to Dec 2): +1.2% median,
50% of the last 52 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Neutral — RSI(2) at 76
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.16%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 1.25 +3.0% · Seasonal tilt -0.5%
$4M/day volume
60% volatility
+27% 1-year
-58% from ATH
52-week range · 73% of the way up · -14% from the high
$21.93$43.60
Congressional trades in GCO Full tracker →
1 member · 0 buys / 1 sells · $1K–$15K disclosed · latest filing Apr 27, 2020.
| SELL | $1K–$15K |
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-12-03 (Thursday, before open, in 32 days) · EPS est. 0.93.
1-day std dev
11.7%
Finished up
43%
Biggest pop
+32.3%
Biggest drop
-32.8%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-03 | beat | -1.38 | -0.83 | +39.7% | +8.2% | +2.7% | +4.8% |
| 2026-05-29 | beat | -2.57 | -2.18 | +15.1% | +0.2% | +5.5% | +4.3% |
| 2026-03-06 | beat | 3.59 | 3.74 | +4.3% | +18.9% | +1.6% | -4.1% |
| 2025-12-04 | miss | 0.86 | 0.79 | -8.1% | -30.4% | -30.8% | -31.3% |
| 2025-08-28 | beat | -1.25 | -1.14 | +8.6% | -5.4% | -5.9% | +1.1% |
| 2025-06-04 | beat | -2.09 | -2.05 | +1.8% | +17.1% | -0.3% | -2.5% |
| 2025-03-07 | miss | 3.31 | 3.26 | -1.4% | -25.5% | -16.3% | -36.1% |
| 2024-12-06 | beat | 0.30 | 0.61 | +106.8% | +10.6% | +9.5% | +15.5% |
| 2024-09-06 | beat | -1.11 | -0.83 | +25.6% | -3.0% | -12.0% | -12.8% |
| 2024-05-31 | beat | -2.66 | -2.10 | +21.1% | +18.6% | +4.4% | -4.5% |
| 2024-03-08 | miss | 2.66 | 2.59 | -2.5% | -14.6% | -9.5% | -14.8% |
| 2023-12-01 | miss | 0.84 | 0.57 | -31.7% | -18.1% | -16.1% | -18.4% |
| 2023-08-31 | beat | -1.23 | -0.85 | +30.9% | +14.4% | +17.6% | +2.2% |
| 2023-05-25 | miss | -1.10 | -1.59 | -44.5% | -22.2% | -32.2% | -36.5% |
| 2023-03-09 | beat | 3.00 | 3.06 | +2.0% | -12.0% | -13.5% | -22.0% |
| 2022-12-02 | beat | 1.57 | 1.65 | +4.9% | -4.3% | -5.8% | -11.6% |
| 2022-09-01 | beat | 0.26 | 0.59 | +126.9% | -9.3% | -18.4% | -12.7% |
| 2022-05-26 | beat | -0.09 | 0.44 | +571.5% | +4.7% | +8.0% | +6.9% |
| 2022-03-10 | beat | 2.65 | 3.48 | +31.3% | +3.9% | +11.8% | +10.3% |
| 2021-12-03 | beat | 1.29 | 2.36 | +83.4% | +4.7% | +2.8% | +0.2% |
| 2021-09-02 | beat | 0.03 | 1.05 | +3400.0% | -1.5% | -8.2% | -6.5% |
| 2021-05-27 | beat | -0.52 | 0.79 | +250.5% | +3.5% | -2.9% | +2.0% |
| 2021-03-11 | beat | 1.96 | 2.76 | +41.0% | +1.7% | -1.9% | -10.3% |
| 2020-12-04 | beat | -0.14 | 0.85 | +725.0% | +7.4% | +4.4% | -3.2% |
| 2020-09-03 | beat | -1.85 | -1.23 | +33.5% | +2.0% | +3.8% | -0.5% |
| 2020-06-09 | miss | -2.52 | -3.65 | -44.6% | -10.0% | -2.4% | -15.4% |
| 2020-03-12 | beat | 2.74 | 3.09 | +12.9% | -6.1% | -8.2% | -48.9% |
| 2019-12-06 | beat | 1.08 | 1.33 | +23.6% | +14.7% | +32.3% | +30.6% |
| 2019-09-06 | beat | -0.01 | 0.15 | +2200.8% | +15.3% | +2.2% | +21.4% |
| 2019-05-31 | beat | 0.03 | 0.33 | +1078.6% | +13.7% | +11.7% | +8.8% |
| 2019-03-14 | miss | 2.33 | 2.18 | -6.6% | -3.1% | -7.3% | -9.6% |
| 2018-12-06 | beat | 0.86 | 0.95 | +10.6% | -2.9% | +2.4% | -1.8% |
| 2018-09-13 | beat | -0.03 | 0.04 | +231.8% | -0.5% | +3.2% | +3.1% |
| 2018-06-05 | miss | -0.04 | -0.06 | -40.2% | -1.0% | -9.0% | -9.3% |
| 2018-03-15 | beat | 2.09 | 2.15 | +2.9% | -4.0% | -3.8% | -5.4% |
| 2017-12-01 | miss | 1.12 | 1.02 | -8.6% | -18.0% | -17.8% | -3.9% |
| 2017-08-31 | miss | -0.08 | -0.10 | -23.7% | -6.1% | -17.1% | -2.2% |
| 2017-05-25 | miss | 0.27 | 0.06 | -77.8% | -14.4% | -22.8% | -17.8% |
| 2017-03-10 | beat | 1.78 | 2.15 | +21.0% | +8.2% | +8.7% | +4.9% |
| 2016-12-02 | beat | 0.93 | 1.28 | +37.8% | -0.6% | +2.8% | +11.3% |
| 2016-09-01 | beat | 0.27 | 0.34 | +23.8% | -22.6% | -32.8% | -33.2% |
| 2016-05-26 | beat | 0.39 | 0.62 | +58.5% | +11.5% | +9.1% | +10.4% |
| 2016-03-11 | miss | 2.13 | 2.11 | -0.9% | -6.3% | -3.6% | +4.7% |
| 2015-12-04 | beat | 1.30 | 1.40 | +7.6% | -1.1% | +10.3% | +6.9% |
| 2015-09-03 | beat | 0.24 | 0.36 | +47.7% | +9.0% | +6.8% | -1.4% |
| 2015-05-29 | miss | 0.68 | 0.51 | -24.8% | -8.1% | -2.4% | -0.5% |
| 2015-03-12 | miss | 2.39 | 2.30 | -3.6% | -5.4% | -7.8% | -6.0% |
| 2014-12-05 | miss | 1.44 | 1.28 | -11.0% | -10.0% | -13.2% | -10.5% |
| 2014-08-28 | miss | 0.55 | 0.34 | -38.5% | -9.2% | -7.6% | -11.0% |
| 2014-05-30 | miss | 0.91 | 0.81 | -11.2% | +2.9% | +5.5% | +7.2% |
| 2014-03-13 | miss | 2.18 | 2.16 | -0.9% | -0.7% | +0.8% | +6.4% |
| 2013-12-06 | beat | 1.38 | 1.43 | +3.4% | +2.7% | -2.8% | -1.3% |
| 2013-08-29 | miss | 0.60 | 0.56 | -6.8% | -11.6% | -9.1% | -10.8% |
| 2013-05-31 | beat | 0.85 | 0.94 | +10.0% | +0.6% | -2.2% | +2.3% |
| 2013-03-08 | beat | 2.11 | 2.16 | +2.2% | +0.4% | -1.2% | +1.8% |
| 2012-11-30 | beat | 1.33 | 1.44 | +8.0% | -6.1% | -8.7% | -9.4% |
| 2012-08-29 | beat | 0.27 | 0.50 | +87.5% | +3.0% | +1.3% | -0.4% |
| 2012-05-23 | beat | 0.74 | 0.98 | +32.8% | +3.4% | -1.5% | -6.2% |
| 2012-03-02 | beat | 1.66 | 1.97 | +18.6% | +4.7% | +4.3% | +5.9% |
| 2011-11-22 | beat | 0.96 | 1.21 | +25.5% | +2.7% | +3.1% | +5.3% |
Not investment advice.
Continue with Google