GRModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.4%
Next 1 week
-0.3%
Next 1 month
+1.8%
Seasonality
Mildly negative window
Next 30 days (to Dec 3): -0.7% median,
50% of the last 14 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Deeply overbought — RSI(2) at 96
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.06%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 0.92 +2.1% · Seasonal tilt -0.3%
$5M/day volume
32% volatility
-9% 1-year
-67% from ATH
52-week range · 54% of the way up · -14% from the high
$6.96$9.90
Congressional trades in GRFS Full tracker →
3 members · 1 buys / 3 sells · $103K–$295K disclosed · latest filing Apr 17, 2023.
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $100K–$250K |
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2027-02-25 (Thursday, after close, in 115 days).
1-day std dev
3.5%
Finished up
61%
Biggest pop
+5.0%
Biggest drop
-13.1%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 33 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-27 | miss | 0.28 | 0.17 | -40.1% | +1.4% | +3.2% | +4.1% |
| 2025-07-28 | miss | 0.28 | 0.22 | -19.2% | -0.2% | +4.1% | +5.4% |
| 2024-07-30 | miss | 0.23 | 0.15 | -32.6% | +1.9% | -3.6% | -4.1% |
| 2023-07-27 | miss | 0.15 | 0.10 | -30.5% | +0.2% | -1.9% | +1.3% |
| 2021-07-29 | beat | 0.27 | 0.28 | +3.2% | +6.7% | +1.8% | -1.0% |
| 2021-02-26 | beat | 0.25 | 0.29 | +15.8% | -0.1% | +1.4% | -6.3% |
| 2020-11-05 | beat | 0.35 | 0.37 | +6.7% | +3.0% | +4.7% | +7.4% |
| 2020-07-30 | miss | 0.37 | 0.36 | -1.3% | -2.4% | +0.1% | -4.1% |
| 2020-04-21 | miss | 0.30 | 0.24 | -18.6% | +1.0% | +2.1% | -1.0% |
| 2020-02-27 | miss | 0.31 | 0.31 | -1.6% | -4.6% | -8.8% | -6.0% |
| 2019-10-29 | miss | 0.30 | 0.28 | -7.1% | +2.7% | +2.2% | +1.7% |
| 2019-07-31 | beat | 0.32 | 0.33 | +0.1% | -1.5% | +0.9% | -2.8% |
| 2019-05-07 | miss | 0.25 | 0.25 | -1.3% | +1.5% | -0.4% | -6.7% |
| 2019-02-28 | miss | 0.31 | 0.24 | -22.9% | -2.4% | -1.3% | -1.2% |
| 2018-11-05 | miss | 0.31 | 0.29 | -5.8% | -0.1% | -0.9% | -2.3% |
| 2018-07-27 | beat | 0.32 | 0.34 | +6.7% | +0.0% | +0.4% | +0.1% |
| 2018-05-03 | miss | 0.29 | 0.28 | -3.8% | +3.7% | +1.8% | +9.0% |
| 2018-02-28 | miss | 0.31 | 0.29 | -8.1% | -2.8% | -2.5% | -3.5% |
| 2017-11-02 | miss | 0.30 | 0.28 | -4.3% | -4.2% | +0.2% | -0.4% |
| 2017-07-28 | beat | 0.28 | 0.28 | +1.5% | +2.8% | +2.0% | +4.3% |
| 2017-05-03 | beat | 0.26 | 0.27 | +1.7% | +0.0% | -2.1% | -1.7% |
| 2017-02-28 | beat | 0.25 | 0.25 | +3.6% | +0.1% | -0.5% | +0.3% |
| 2016-11-08 | beat | 0.25 | 0.28 | +11.6% | +1.1% | +2.3% | +4.7% |
| 2016-07-28 | miss | 0.27 | 0.26 | -5.5% | -2.3% | -3.5% | -4.6% |
| 2016-05-05 | miss | 0.24 | 0.23 | -4.2% | +0.3% | +0.1% | -2.4% |
| 2016-02-29 | miss | 0.27 | 0.24 | -11.5% | -0.2% | -0.1% | -1.7% |
| 2015-11-04 | beat | 0.22 | 0.26 | +16.0% | +1.6% | +0.7% | -1.3% |
| 2015-07-30 | beat | 0.23 | 0.24 | +6.9% | +3.4% | +5.0% | +2.1% |
| 2015-05-07 | beat | 0.24 | 0.25 | +5.5% | -0.9% | +1.1% | +3.3% |
| 2015-02-26 | miss | 0.28 | 0.17 | -41.0% | +1.6% | -1.7% | -4.7% |
| 2014-11-04 | miss | 0.27 | 0.27 | -1.3% | +5.1% | +2.0% | +5.1% |
| 2014-07-31 | miss | 0.30 | 0.28 | -8.1% | -9.1% | -13.1% | -17.8% |
| 2014-05-06 | beat | 0.28 | 0.30 | +6.4% | +0.5% | +0.4% | +3.6% |
Not investment advice.
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