HCModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.4%
Next 1 week
-0.1%
Next 1 month
+1.2%
Seasonality
Mildly positive window
Next 30 days (to Nov 29): +4.0% median,
50% of the last 8 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Neutral — RSI(2) at 63
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.13%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 0.36 +1.0% · Seasonal tilt (8y) +0.1%
$52M/day volume
52% volatility
+34% 1-year
-23% from ATH
52-week range · 48% of the way up · -23% from the high
$62.24$111.42
Congressional trades in HCC Full tracker →
1 member · 1 buys / 2 sells · $3K–$45K disclosed · latest filing Jul 20, 2015.
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K |
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-04 (Wednesday, after close, in 5 days) · EPS est. 1.45.
1-day std dev
8.0%
Finished up
42%
Biggest pop
+23.1%
Biggest drop
-22.6%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 38 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 | beat | 1.46 | 1.65 | +13.3% | +2.7% | +6.3% | +12.0% |
| 2026-04-30 | miss | 1.44 | 1.37 | -4.5% | -7.5% | -4.1% | -4.4% |
| 2026-02-12 | miss | 0.59 | 0.44 | -25.2% | -1.2% | +0.2% | +1.1% |
| 2025-11-05 | beat | -0.51 | 0.70 | +236.3% | +11.7% | +23.1% | +21.7% |
| 2025-08-06 | beat | -0.36 | 0.11 | +130.3% | +9.4% | +8.8% | +12.3% |
| 2025-04-30 | beat | -0.23 | -0.16 | +29.7% | +3.0% | -5.0% | -5.3% |
| 2025-02-13 | miss | 0.46 | 0.15 | -67.1% | -6.1% | -8.4% | -7.9% |
| 2024-10-30 | beat | 0.63 | 0.80 | +26.4% | -0.2% | -0.8% | +18.7% |
| 2024-08-01 | beat | 1.30 | 1.35 | +4.2% | -5.6% | -4.3% | -5.2% |
| 2024-05-01 | beat | 2.56 | 2.63 | +2.6% | +2.7% | -3.5% | -2.9% |
| 2024-02-14 | miss | 2.64 | 2.49 | -5.5% | -6.1% | -3.3% | -4.8% |
| 2023-11-01 | beat | 1.71 | 1.85 | +8.0% | -3.1% | -2.1% | -6.7% |
| 2023-08-02 | miss | 2.21 | 1.63 | -26.1% | -9.2% | -11.7% | -6.2% |
| 2023-05-03 | beat | 2.50 | 3.57 | +42.8% | +7.2% | +6.3% | +11.7% |
| 2023-02-15 | miss | 2.77 | 1.90 | -31.5% | -8.2% | -1.2% | -8.8% |
| 2022-11-02 | beat | 1.72 | 2.10 | +21.8% | +2.8% | +3.4% | -2.1% |
| 2022-08-03 | beat | 5.24 | 5.87 | +12.0% | -2.3% | -9.6% | +1.2% |
| 2022-05-05 | miss | 3.76 | 2.97 | -21.1% | -4.6% | -5.2% | -5.1% |
| 2022-02-22 | beat | 2.58 | 3.17 | +22.9% | +4.1% | +0.1% | +16.4% |
| 2021-11-02 | beat | 0.78 | 0.97 | +23.8% | +4.7% | -5.5% | -14.4% |
| 2021-08-04 | beat | -0.21 | 0.25 | +216.9% | +2.3% | +3.3% | -0.3% |
| 2021-05-05 | beat | 0.07 | 0.08 | +11.1% | +0.9% | -5.3% | -8.0% |
| 2021-02-24 | miss | -0.41 | -0.63 | -53.7% | -5.7% | -22.6% | -24.0% |
| 2020-10-28 | beat | -0.36 | -0.28 | +22.2% | -5.2% | +0.8% | +13.7% |
| 2020-08-05 | beat | -0.19 | -0.18 | +6.8% | -4.5% | -6.4% | -3.7% |
| 2020-04-29 | miss | 0.51 | 0.39 | -23.3% | -1.8% | -3.7% | -3.4% |
| 2020-02-19 | beat | 0.18 | 0.23 | +27.8% | -1.4% | -12.2% | -14.2% |
| 2019-10-30 | miss | 0.85 | 0.79 | -6.6% | -0.7% | -10.8% | -11.5% |
| 2019-07-31 | beat | 1.62 | 2.16 | +33.6% | +6.9% | -12.7% | -14.4% |
| 2019-05-01 | beat | 1.78 | 2.30 | +29.0% | +1.9% | +4.6% | -11.4% |
| 2019-02-21 | beat | 2.17 | 2.38 | +9.7% | +1.5% | +1.4% | +0.7% |
| 2018-10-31 | miss | 1.36 | 1.06 | -21.9% | -1.7% | -5.3% | -9.9% |
| 2018-08-01 | miss | 1.97 | 1.74 | -11.9% | -6.7% | -6.0% | -5.7% |
| 2018-05-02 | beat | 3.10 | 3.42 | +10.3% | +3.2% | +8.5% | +10.2% |
| 2018-02-14 | beat | 0.99 | 1.83 | +84.7% | +1.0% | +3.5% | +3.5% |
| 2017-11-09 | beat | 2.11 | 2.27 | +7.8% | +1.6% | +4.7% | +9.1% |
| 2017-08-03 | beat | 1.95 | 2.52 | +28.9% | +6.2% | +10.0% | +6.0% |
| 2017-05-18 | beat | 2.16 | 2.22 | +2.9% | +4.4% | +3.6% | -0.1% |
Not investment advice.
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