HCModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
-0.2%
Next 1 week
-0.1%
Next 1 month
+0.9%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Nov 29): +2.6% median,
67% of the last 27 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Overbought — RSI(2) at 88
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.22%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 0.25 +0.7% · Seasonal tilt +0.2%
$2M/day volume
54% volatility
-32% 1-year
-69% from ATH
52-week range · 30% of the way up · -39% from the high
$9.16$20.68
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-03 (Tuesday, after close, in 6 days) · EPS est. 0.37.
1-day std dev
10.9%
Finished up
55%
Biggest pop
+22.5%
Biggest drop
-26.5%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 | beat | 0.34 | 0.34 | +1.0% | -5.7% | +1.9% | -1.2% |
| 2026-05-05 | miss | 0.35 | 0.34 | -1.9% | -23.4% | -26.5% | -33.6% |
| 2026-02-17 | beat | 0.39 | 0.40 | +3.5% | +8.5% | +10.1% | -2.4% |
| 2025-11-04 | beat | 0.37 | 0.37 | +0.9% | +7.1% | +7.2% | +5.0% |
| 2025-08-05 | beat | 0.38 | 0.38 | +0.9% | -13.1% | -9.0% | -6.8% |
| 2025-05-06 | beat | 0.40 | 0.41 | +2.5% | -10.7% | -8.0% | -1.4% |
| 2025-02-18 | beat | 0.41 | 0.47 | +13.7% | +2.4% | -2.7% | -3.3% |
| 2024-11-04 | beat | 0.40 | 0.43 | +8.4% | +13.3% | +17.5% | +31.5% |
| 2024-08-06 | beat | 0.37 | 0.39 | +4.5% | +1.6% | +2.0% | +0.4% |
| 2024-05-07 | beat | 0.37 | 0.39 | +4.5% | -1.7% | -2.9% | -2.7% |
| 2024-02-20 | beat | 0.37 | 0.39 | +5.4% | +9.1% | +9.3% | +9.0% |
| 2023-11-07 | beat | 0.39 | 0.41 | +4.2% | -4.0% | -8.3% | -3.6% |
| 2023-08-08 | beat | 0.37 | 0.39 | +4.5% | +1.0% | +2.2% | +2.3% |
| 2023-05-09 | beat | 0.36 | 0.37 | +1.8% | -0.9% | -1.8% | +4.4% |
| 2023-02-21 | beat | 0.33 | 0.36 | +8.0% | -7.8% | -12.8% | -11.5% |
| 2022-11-08 | beat | 0.34 | 0.37 | +8.8% | +5.7% | +6.0% | +8.5% |
| 2022-08-09 | beat | 0.34 | 0.38 | +12.9% | +5.7% | +1.9% | +3.1% |
| 2022-05-10 | beat | 0.32 | 0.38 | +20.0% | +0.0% | -10.2% | -16.3% |
| 2022-02-22 | beat | 0.29 | 0.33 | +15.1% | -10.8% | +7.0% | +8.1% |
| 2021-11-09 | beat | 0.28 | 0.32 | +12.9% | +1.3% | +1.3% | -0.3% |
| 2021-08-10 | beat | 0.29 | 0.39 | +36.0% | +1.4% | +2.5% | +8.0% |
| 2021-05-11 | beat | 0.25 | 0.27 | +8.0% | +5.1% | +6.8% | +6.7% |
| 2021-02-23 | beat | 0.21 | 0.23 | +11.3% | +2.3% | +10.6% | +16.1% |
| 2020-11-02 | beat | 0.14 | 0.17 | +25.9% | +14.5% | +11.3% | +18.2% |
| 2020-08-04 | beat | 0.04 | 0.06 | +60.0% | +2.1% | -1.8% | +1.0% |
| 2020-05-05 | 0.24 | 0.24 | — | -1.5% | -11.6% | -17.2% | |
| 2020-02-18 | beat | 0.24 | 0.24 | +2.1% | +19.1% | +18.9% | +6.0% |
| 2019-11-05 | miss | 0.28 | 0.27 | -2.4% | -5.1% | -13.3% | -12.9% |
| 2019-08-06 | beat | 0.27 | 0.28 | +5.7% | +4.2% | +1.6% | -1.8% |
| 2019-05-07 | beat | 0.22 | 0.22 | +1.1% | +0.1% | +6.8% | +4.8% |
| 2019-02-19 | beat | 0.26 | 0.26 | +1.6% | -10.0% | -13.5% | -17.2% |
| 2018-11-06 | 0.27 | 0.27 | — | -15.7% | -12.2% | -17.5% | |
| 2018-08-07 | 0.27 | 0.27 | — | +0.4% | +4.8% | +2.3% | |
| 2018-05-08 | 0.26 | 0.26 | — | +0.4% | -5.0% | -3.5% | |
| 2018-02-20 | beat | 0.26 | 0.27 | +5.5% | +5.9% | +10.4% | +8.2% |
| 2017-11-07 | beat | 0.25 | 0.26 | +4.8% | +1.0% | +1.4% | +4.9% |
| 2017-08-08 | beat | 0.25 | 0.25 | +0.8% | -3.3% | -13.4% | -14.1% |
| 2017-05-09 | 0.23 | 0.23 | — | -18.5% | -22.7% | -25.9% | |
| 2017-02-21 | beat | 0.24 | 0.26 | +6.8% | +4.0% | +15.3% | +16.6% |
| 2016-11-07 | beat | 0.23 | 0.25 | +8.7% | -0.9% | -5.3% | +2.9% |
| 2016-08-09 | beat | 0.22 | 0.24 | +9.1% | +2.9% | +11.9% | +8.6% |
| 2016-05-10 | beat | 0.19 | 0.20 | +5.3% | +0.1% | -11.4% | -4.5% |
| 2016-02-23 | beat | 0.20 | 0.21 | +6.3% | +3.3% | -3.9% | +0.3% |
| 2015-11-10 | beat | 0.18 | 0.20 | +12.7% | +12.7% | +14.8% | +22.5% |
| 2015-08-11 | beat | 0.17 | 0.19 | +13.4% | +3.5% | +13.3% | +17.5% |
| 2015-05-12 | beat | 0.14 | 0.16 | +14.3% | +7.9% | +15.4% | +20.6% |
| 2015-02-24 | beat | 0.15 | 0.17 | +15.2% | +2.1% | +13.7% | +13.2% |
| 2014-11-04 | beat | 0.14 | 0.16 | +11.6% | +1.2% | +16.0% | +20.8% |
| 2014-08-05 | beat | 0.13 | 0.16 | +23.1% | +2.7% | +1.2% | +3.7% |
| 2014-05-06 | beat | 0.07 | 0.08 | +20.0% | +0.8% | +1.9% | +2.9% |
| 2014-02-24 | miss | 0.08 | 0.08 | -3.0% | +0.5% | -0.7% | -1.0% |
| 2013-11-05 | beat | 0.12 | 0.12 | +4.3% | -5.1% | -11.9% | -15.7% |
| 2013-08-06 | beat | 0.11 | 0.13 | +18.2% | +12.5% | +15.0% | +15.9% |
| 2013-05-07 | beat | 0.10 | 0.10 | +2.6% | -0.4% | +0.0% | +0.8% |
| 2013-02-19 | beat | 0.10 | 0.11 | +10.0% | +4.1% | -5.1% | +1.1% |
| 2012-11-05 | beat | 0.10 | 0.11 | +10.0% | +0.8% | +3.7% | -2.4% |
| 2012-08-07 | 0.11 | 0.11 | — | -7.2% | -17.4% | -16.9% | |
| 2012-05-08 | beat | 0.07 | 0.08 | +9.1% | -1.1% | -7.4% | -2.2% |
| 2012-02-21 | beat | 0.08 | 0.09 | +8.0% | +20.9% | +22.5% | +24.5% |
| 2011-11-08 | 0.09 | 0.09 | — | -2.8% | -5.1% | -5.9% |
Not investment advice.
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