HFModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.3%
Next 1 week
+1.0%
Next 1 month
+1.8%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Dec 1): +3.1% median,
70% of the last 27 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Neutral — RSI(2) at 21
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.20%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 0.47 +1.1% · Seasonal tilt +0.7%
$9M/day volume
26% volatility
+26% 1-year
-24% from ATH
52-week range · 72% of the way up · -9% from the high
$21.32$31.25
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2027-01-21 (Thursday, before open, in 81 days) · EPS est. 0.62.
1-day std dev
3.2%
Finished up
43%
Biggest pop
+7.4%
Biggest drop
-7.9%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | miss | 0.56 | 0.55 | -2.6% | +0.0% | +3.0% | +4.4% |
| 2026-07-23 | beat | 0.54 | 0.57 | +5.2% | -0.1% | +0.4% | -2.1% |
| 2026-04-23 | beat | 0.57 | 0.59 | +3.8% | -0.1% | +1.3% | +0.7% |
| 2026-01-22 | beat | 0.56 | 0.66 | +18.3% | +2.6% | +7.2% | -3.0% |
| 2025-10-23 | beat | 0.55 | 0.56 | +1.5% | +0.3% | +0.3% | -2.3% |
| 2025-07-24 | beat | 0.50 | 0.53 | +6.7% | -2.5% | -6.9% | -9.7% |
| 2025-04-24 | miss | 0.45 | 0.40 | -11.4% | -5.8% | +0.0% | +0.3% |
| 2025-01-23 | miss | 0.44 | 0.34 | -22.7% | +0.4% | +1.0% | +3.9% |
| 2024-10-24 | miss | 0.41 | 0.33 | -19.2% | +0.1% | +2.2% | +5.1% |
| 2024-07-25 | beat | 0.40 | 0.41 | +2.5% | +3.1% | +5.4% | +4.3% |
| 2024-04-25 | miss | 0.41 | 0.16 | -60.8% | +1.8% | -2.8% | +1.2% |
| 2024-01-25 | miss | 0.45 | 0.44 | -2.9% | -0.4% | -1.8% | -8.8% |
| 2023-10-19 | beat | 0.43 | 0.51 | +17.7% | +4.8% | +7.4% | +1.1% |
| 2023-07-20 | beat | 0.48 | 0.48 | +0.3% | -1.7% | -2.7% | -2.5% |
| 2023-04-20 | miss | 0.60 | 0.58 | -2.1% | -0.9% | -1.1% | -13.9% |
| 2023-01-26 | beat | 0.64 | 0.64 | +0.8% | +0.2% | -0.6% | +4.0% |
| 2022-10-20 | beat | 0.51 | 0.59 | +15.3% | +0.3% | -0.8% | +2.6% |
| 2022-07-21 | beat | 0.45 | 0.52 | +15.1% | +0.1% | -3.1% | -2.1% |
| 2022-04-21 | beat | 0.38 | 0.56 | +49.3% | +2.8% | +3.0% | -1.5% |
| 2022-01-27 | beat | 0.46 | 0.55 | +19.6% | +0.0% | -3.9% | -1.2% |
| 2021-10-21 | beat | 0.53 | 0.58 | +9.8% | -0.2% | -2.0% | -1.3% |
| 2021-07-22 | beat | 0.51 | 0.90 | +76.5% | +3.9% | -3.2% | +4.2% |
| 2021-04-22 | beat | 0.53 | 0.70 | +32.3% | +5.0% | -1.9% | +4.5% |
| 2021-01-28 | beat | 0.47 | 0.66 | +40.1% | +6.5% | +1.9% | +0.5% |
| 2020-10-22 | beat | 0.38 | 0.46 | +22.7% | +4.7% | +5.2% | -0.1% |
| 2020-07-23 | miss | 0.17 | -0.18 | -203.8% | -3.9% | +0.8% | -7.1% |
| 2020-04-30 | miss | 0.31 | 0.31 | -0.5% | -4.4% | -7.9% | -18.6% |
| 2020-01-23 | beat | 0.46 | 0.47 | +2.5% | +1.7% | +1.1% | -3.4% |
| 2019-10-24 | beat | 0.47 | 0.48 | +2.4% | +0.8% | -2.6% | -0.7% |
| 2019-07-25 | miss | 0.49 | 0.43 | -12.2% | -5.4% | -4.2% | -7.2% |
| 2019-04-25 | miss | 0.49 | 0.45 | -7.4% | -2.4% | -2.1% | -1.8% |
| 2019-01-24 | miss | 0.48 | 0.47 | -2.8% | -3.0% | -3.1% | -0.5% |
| 2018-10-25 | beat | 0.47 | 0.50 | +6.1% | +2.1% | +7.1% | +8.9% |
| 2018-07-25 | miss | 0.44 | 0.37 | -16.0% | -0.3% | -1.1% | -3.4% |
| 2018-04-26 | beat | 0.39 | 0.39 | +1.2% | -3.1% | -2.2% | -2.7% |
| 2018-01-25 | beat | 0.37 | 0.42 | +14.8% | +3.6% | -0.6% | +1.0% |
| 2017-10-26 | 0.35 | 0.35 | — | +0.2% | -2.1% | +0.3% | |
| 2017-07-26 | beat | 0.32 | 0.39 | +21.1% | +1.1% | +1.7% | +1.9% |
| 2017-04-26 | miss | 0.32 | 0.31 | -1.9% | +1.1% | +1.9% | -0.4% |
| 2017-01-26 | beat | 0.33 | 0.33 | +0.6% | +0.0% | -1.5% | -7.7% |
| 2016-10-27 | beat | 0.32 | 0.37 | +16.4% | +4.5% | +0.3% | +1.9% |
| 2016-07-21 | miss | 0.31 | 0.30 | -2.6% | -3.3% | -5.1% | -3.8% |
| 2016-04-21 | beat | 0.29 | 0.30 | +4.9% | +1.6% | -1.6% | +1.3% |
| 2016-01-28 | beat | 0.29 | 0.32 | +11.3% | +4.2% | +3.6% | +0.9% |
| 2015-10-22 | beat | 0.30 | 0.32 | +6.7% | +1.3% | +0.4% | -1.2% |
| 2015-07-23 | miss | 0.31 | 0.29 | -4.9% | -0.6% | -4.3% | -5.3% |
| 2015-04-23 | miss | 0.30 | 0.29 | -4.3% | -0.3% | -0.6% | -2.5% |
| 2015-01-29 | beat | 0.26 | 0.29 | +10.3% | +0.8% | +4.9% | +6.6% |
| 2014-10-23 | miss | 0.28 | 0.23 | -17.1% | -2.3% | -1.6% | +5.3% |
| 2014-07-24 | beat | 0.22 | 0.31 | +41.5% | -1.7% | +1.7% | +1.3% |
| 2014-04-29 | miss | 0.20 | 0.19 | -4.2% | -0.9% | -0.1% | -1.8% |
| 2014-01-29 | miss | 0.23 | 0.17 | -26.9% | -0.1% | -0.8% | -5.6% |
| 2013-10-23 | miss | 0.23 | 0.21 | -5.2% | +0.7% | +2.5% | +1.5% |
| 2013-07-23 | miss | 0.23 | 0.18 | -21.7% | -6.2% | -0.8% | +1.3% |
| 2013-04-24 | miss | 0.22 | 0.19 | -12.6% | -1.6% | -2.6% | -4.6% |
| 2013-01-30 | miss | 0.22 | 0.20 | -10.7% | -0.3% | -1.8% | -1.3% |
| 2012-10-30 | miss | 0.21 | 0.19 | -7.8% | +0.4% | +1.1% | +0.9% |
| 2012-07-25 | beat | 0.20 | 0.21 | +7.7% | -3.2% | -4.9% | -9.5% |
| 2012-04-27 | beat | 0.16 | 0.27 | +71.4% | -1.0% | +2.9% | -1.8% |
| 2012-02-01 | miss | 0.15 | 0.14 | -5.4% | -1.5% | +0.4% | +2.1% |
Not investment advice.
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