HMModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.1%
Next 1 week
+0.2%
Next 1 month
-0.6%
Seasonality
Mildly positive window
Next 30 days (to Nov 28): +0.4% median,
56% of the last 34 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Oversold — RSI(2) at 14
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.10%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β -0.16 -0.4% · Seasonal tilt -0.1%
$13M/day volume
21% volatility
+3% 1-year
-18% from ATH
52-week range · 32% of the way up · -18% from the high
$41.29$55.56
Congressional trades in HMN Full tracker →
3 members · 12 buys / 5 sells · $17K–$255K disclosed · latest filing Sep 10, 2026.
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K |
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-03 (Tuesday, after close, in 5 days) · EPS est. 1.11.
1-day std dev
4.0%
Finished up
57%
Biggest pop
+7.7%
Biggest drop
-9.2%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 | beat | 0.73 | 1.17 | +60.3% | +5.4% | +3.9% | -0.4% |
| 2026-05-06 | beat | 1.10 | 1.28 | +16.4% | -0.4% | -1.1% | -1.7% |
| 2026-02-03 | beat | 1.18 | 1.21 | +2.8% | -3.7% | -3.8% | -5.3% |
| 2025-11-04 | beat | 1.11 | 1.36 | +22.2% | +2.3% | +3.3% | +0.6% |
| 2025-08-06 | beat | 0.60 | 1.06 | +78.2% | +0.7% | +2.5% | +6.5% |
| 2025-05-06 | beat | 0.94 | 1.07 | +13.4% | -0.7% | +0.2% | -0.3% |
| 2025-02-05 | beat | 1.03 | 1.62 | +57.7% | +4.8% | +5.1% | +6.2% |
| 2024-11-04 | beat | 0.75 | 0.76 | +1.3% | +5.3% | +5.1% | +12.5% |
| 2024-08-07 | beat | 0.18 | 0.20 | +11.1% | -1.1% | -1.5% | +0.0% |
| 2024-05-08 | miss | 0.76 | 0.60 | -21.3% | -7.4% | -9.2% | -11.1% |
| 2024-02-07 | beat | 0.67 | 0.91 | +35.8% | +3.3% | +3.3% | +4.9% |
| 2023-11-02 | beat | 0.43 | 0.44 | +2.9% | +2.3% | +3.2% | +0.7% |
| 2023-08-01 | beat | 0.02 | 0.03 | +28.6% | -1.5% | -4.1% | -4.1% |
| 2023-05-02 | beat | 0.21 | 0.23 | +9.5% | -0.3% | +4.9% | +7.7% |
| 2023-02-07 | miss | -0.10 | -0.11 | -7.3% | -6.0% | -1.9% | +3.9% |
| 2022-11-03 | miss | 0.63 | 0.57 | -8.8% | -2.5% | -2.4% | -5.0% |
| 2022-08-04 | beat | -0.12 | -0.01 | +91.8% | +2.8% | +4.2% | +11.2% |
| 2022-05-05 | miss | 0.98 | 0.64 | -34.5% | -3.1% | -5.8% | -4.9% |
| 2022-02-01 | beat | 0.73 | 0.97 | +32.4% | +0.5% | +4.3% | +10.0% |
| 2021-11-03 | beat | 0.38 | 0.50 | +33.3% | +0.9% | -4.0% | -0.2% |
| 2021-08-02 | miss | 1.03 | 1.02 | -1.2% | -0.6% | -2.2% | +1.1% |
| 2021-05-04 | beat | 0.80 | 1.10 | +37.5% | +1.1% | -3.3% | -6.0% |
| 2021-02-02 | beat | 0.92 | 1.13 | +22.8% | +0.0% | -4.2% | -3.2% |
| 2020-11-02 | beat | 0.67 | 0.82 | +22.4% | +2.5% | +5.7% | +14.5% |
| 2020-08-06 | beat | 0.40 | 0.67 | +67.5% | +2.5% | +3.8% | +1.9% |
| 2020-05-07 | beat | 0.67 | 0.78 | +16.4% | +3.8% | +5.0% | -3.5% |
| 2020-02-05 | beat | 0.72 | 0.75 | +4.2% | +1.3% | +1.0% | -0.9% |
| 2019-11-06 | miss | 0.65 | 0.64 | -1.0% | -0.7% | -1.6% | -0.7% |
| 2019-08-05 | beat | 0.15 | 0.17 | +10.9% | +0.7% | +5.8% | +5.9% |
| 2019-04-30 | beat | 0.51 | 0.63 | +23.5% | +3.7% | +4.7% | +2.8% |
| 2019-02-05 | miss | -0.13 | -0.21 | -65.8% | -11.2% | -6.5% | -7.2% |
| 2018-10-30 | miss | 0.32 | 0.25 | -21.9% | +5.0% | +2.4% | +7.8% |
| 2018-08-02 | miss | 0.26 | 0.13 | -50.0% | +0.3% | +0.1% | +2.1% |
| 2018-05-02 | miss | 0.63 | 0.51 | -18.6% | -5.0% | -1.0% | -0.8% |
| 2018-02-06 | beat | 0.47 | 0.65 | +38.3% | -2.1% | +4.9% | +8.0% |
| 2017-10-24 | beat | 0.32 | 0.69 | +115.6% | +8.0% | +6.3% | +7.3% |
| 2017-07-24 | miss | 0.09 | 0.02 | -78.6% | -1.2% | +2.6% | +2.9% |
| 2017-04-24 | miss | 0.53 | 0.37 | -30.6% | -9.6% | -1.3% | -1.5% |
| 2017-02-06 | beat | 0.40 | 0.52 | +31.1% | -0.8% | -1.1% | -0.8% |
| 2016-10-31 | beat | 0.49 | 0.58 | +19.6% | -1.0% | +0.4% | -5.1% |
| 2016-07-27 | miss | 0.38 | 0.25 | -33.6% | +1.6% | -0.4% | -1.2% |
| 2016-05-02 | beat | 0.57 | 0.62 | +9.2% | +1.6% | +6.2% | +5.6% |
| 2016-02-09 | miss | 0.50 | 0.43 | -14.7% | -1.7% | -4.2% | +7.0% |
| 2015-10-28 | miss | 0.57 | 0.50 | -12.1% | -7.4% | -6.2% | -6.3% |
| 2015-07-28 | miss | 0.55 | 0.36 | -34.2% | -2.5% | -4.2% | -5.3% |
| 2015-04-22 | beat | 0.58 | 0.72 | +24.8% | +2.2% | +4.6% | -2.9% |
| 2015-02-09 | beat | 0.66 | 0.68 | +2.4% | -1.3% | -1.6% | -3.1% |
| 2014-10-22 | miss | 0.58 | 0.55 | -4.9% | +0.3% | -3.1% | +0.1% |
| 2014-07-23 | miss | 0.50 | 0.43 | -13.6% | -2.1% | +0.6% | -3.1% |
| 2014-04-24 | beat | 0.43 | 0.65 | +51.2% | +0.8% | +3.0% | +5.1% |
| 2014-02-04 | beat | 0.56 | 0.79 | +42.3% | +2.6% | +1.6% | +2.0% |
| 2013-10-22 | beat | 0.59 | 0.59 | +0.8% | -0.4% | -5.8% | -10.0% |
| 2013-07-24 | beat | 0.30 | 0.39 | +30.0% | +2.0% | +3.9% | +3.5% |
| 2013-04-24 | beat | 0.51 | 0.55 | +7.8% | -0.1% | -2.2% | -3.9% |
| 2013-02-05 | beat | 0.35 | 0.67 | +91.4% | -0.1% | +0.0% | +0.2% |
| 2012-10-24 | beat | 0.40 | 0.62 | +55.0% | +2.0% | +5.7% | +1.9% |
| 2012-07-25 | beat | 0.13 | 0.16 | +28.0% | +5.4% | +1.4% | -0.3% |
| 2012-04-25 | beat | 0.50 | 0.64 | +29.3% | +0.2% | +0.1% | -0.1% |
| 2012-02-07 | beat | 0.53 | 0.72 | +37.1% | +0.6% | +6.6% | +2.4% |
| 2011-10-26 | miss | 0.35 | 0.23 | -33.9% | -0.3% | +7.7% | +6.0% |
Posted about HMN
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TRACKER - Gilbert Cisneros · Congress
long
50.15
Fri, 11 Sep
Gilbert Cisneros's trade date was 20 August 2026 — a disclosed purchase of $1,001–$15,000. But a Periodic Transaction Report gives a date and a size…
TRACKER - Gilbert Cisneros · Congress
long
50.43
Mon, 07 Sep
Gilbert Cisneros's trade date was 10 July 2026 — a disclosed purchase of $1,001–$15,000. But a Periodic Transaction Report gives a date and a size…
Not investment advice.
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