HNModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.6%
Next 1 week
+0.4%
Next 1 month
+2.9%
Seasonality
Mildly negative window
Next 30 days (to Dec 3): -0.9% median,
29% of the last 31 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Deeply oversold — RSI(2) at 6
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.08%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 1.74 +4.1% · Seasonal tilt -1.2%
$14M/day volume
64% volatility
-48% 1-year
-57% from ATH
52-week range · 0% of the way up · -57% from the high
$10.57$24.70
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-09 (Monday, after close, in 6 days) · EPS est. 0.09.
1-day std dev
10.3%
Finished up
49%
Biggest pop
+37.0%
Biggest drop
-21.9%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 57 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-10 | miss | -0.10 | -0.32 | -231.0% | -5.5% | -1.5% | -0.6% |
| 2026-05-06 | miss | -0.11 | -0.19 | -71.5% | +17.0% | +1.7% | +4.5% |
| 2026-03-12 | beat | -0.02 | 0.01 | +136.4% | -9.7% | -11.5% | -18.7% |
| 2025-11-10 | beat | 0.06 | 0.55 | +768.5% | +17.4% | +19.0% | +2.1% |
| 2025-08-11 | beat | -0.15 | 0.19 | +223.9% | +12.2% | -6.9% | -23.4% |
| 2025-05-12 | beat | -0.16 | 0.25 | +256.2% | +6.8% | +21.4% | +23.8% |
| 2025-03-17 | miss | -0.13 | -0.15 | -13.0% | -0.2% | +4.1% | +11.1% |
| 2024-11-12 | beat | -0.10 | 0.04 | +140.0% | +21.3% | +25.6% | +23.9% |
| 2024-08-06 | miss | -0.08 | -0.22 | -172.8% | -14.5% | -21.9% | -8.6% |
| 2024-05-06 | beat | -0.18 | -0.03 | +82.9% | +0.0% | +7.3% | +18.6% |
| 2024-03-13 | miss | 0.29 | -0.28 | -196.6% | -3.3% | -6.6% | -30.8% |
| 2023-11-06 | miss | 0.51 | 0.48 | -5.7% | -1.0% | -12.2% | -6.1% |
| 2023-08-07 | beat | 0.31 | 0.47 | +52.4% | +1.1% | +1.3% | +3.3% |
| 2023-05-08 | beat | 0.16 | 0.61 | +281.8% | +5.5% | +13.8% | +16.8% |
| 2023-03-16 | beat | 0.20 | 0.83 | +315.0% | +8.5% | +5.7% | +9.9% |
| 2022-11-14 | beat | 0.01 | 0.05 | +400.0% | +0.3% | +13.6% | +24.7% |
| 2022-03-28 | miss | -0.02 | -0.32 | -1500.0% | -7.7% | -12.2% | -12.5% |
| 2021-11-08 | miss | 0.01 | -0.07 | -758.0% | -5.9% | -15.4% | -27.5% |
| 2021-08-09 | miss | 0.06 | -0.10 | -266.7% | +1.2% | -11.2% | -15.1% |
| 2021-03-09 | miss | 0.02 | -0.15 | -850.0% | -0.6% | +11.6% | +11.6% |
| 2020-11-02 | miss | 0.17 | 0.12 | -28.1% | +3.9% | +8.4% | +0.2% |
| 2020-08-03 | miss | 0.02 | 0.01 | -50.0% | +4.0% | +22.9% | +32.2% |
| 2020-05-11 | miss | 0.02 | -0.12 | -700.0% | -0.6% | -3.5% | +0.9% |
| 2020-03-09 | miss | -0.01 | -0.02 | -134.0% | +8.6% | +37.0% | +29.6% |
| 2019-11-04 | miss | 0.08 | -0.12 | -250.0% | -0.9% | -4.3% | -16.7% |
| 2019-08-05 | miss | 0.12 | -0.11 | -191.7% | +0.0% | -3.1% | -14.3% |
| 2019-05-06 | beat | 0.06 | 0.23 | +283.3% | +1.4% | +4.6% | +16.8% |
| 2019-03-11 | miss | 0.10 | 0.09 | -10.0% | +0.0% | +2.8% | +0.9% |
| 2018-11-05 | miss | 0.18 | 0.09 | -50.0% | -2.0% | +0.8% | -4.1% |
| 2018-08-06 | miss | 0.09 | — | -100.0% | +1.7% | -0.9% | -7.0% |
| 2018-05-07 | — | 0.07 | — | -1.3% | +4.3% | -4.4% | |
| 2018-03-13 | beat | 0.10 | 0.12 | +20.0% | +0.0% | -5.7% | +0.0% |
| 2017-11-06 | beat | 0.12 | 0.13 | +8.3% | +0.2% | +3.9% | +11.9% |
| 2017-08-08 | miss | 0.14 | 0.01 | -92.9% | -0.2% | -4.2% | -9.1% |
| 2017-05-08 | beat | 0.09 | 0.25 | +177.8% | +0.6% | +18.5% | +16.2% |
| 2017-03-10 | miss | 0.12 | 0.07 | -40.8% | -1.6% | +0.8% | -5.9% |
| 2016-11-04 | beat | 0.10 | 0.14 | +40.0% | +1.0% | -2.8% | +8.1% |
| 2016-08-05 | beat | -0.02 | 0.19 | +1050.0% | +2.3% | +4.9% | +21.2% |
| 2016-05-06 | beat | 0.08 | 0.21 | +180.0% | +9.2% | -1.5% | -4.4% |
| 2016-03-11 | miss | 0.18 | 0.02 | -88.9% | +1.2% | -3.2% | -10.7% |
| 2015-11-06 | miss | 0.37 | 0.17 | -53.4% | +0.2% | +0.2% | +1.7% |
| 2015-08-07 | miss | 0.28 | 0.23 | -17.9% | -3.9% | +5.3% | +19.6% |
| 2015-05-08 | miss | 0.37 | 0.25 | -31.5% | -1.8% | -7.2% | -9.0% |
| 2015-03-06 | beat | 0.15 | 0.38 | +153.3% | +1.2% | -2.4% | +1.2% |
| 2014-11-10 | miss | 0.05 | 0.05 | -8.0% | +8.2% | -0.9% | +5.6% |
| 2014-08-01 | miss | 0.17 | 0.10 | -39.4% | -1.1% | -0.5% | -0.1% |
| 2014-05-02 | miss | 0.20 | 0.12 | -39.0% | +0.0% | +0.8% | -3.9% |
| 2014-02-28 | miss | 0.23 | 0.14 | -38.0% | -0.6% | -0.7% | +10.3% |
| 2013-11-01 | miss | 0.29 | 0.17 | -41.4% | -0.4% | -2.9% | -12.3% |
| 2013-08-02 | beat | 0.18 | 0.19 | +5.6% | +0.1% | +0.3% | -0.9% |
| 2013-05-15 | beat | 0.14 | 0.19 | +35.7% | +0.7% | +1.6% | +4.7% |
| 2013-03-01 | miss | 0.19 | 0.17 | -8.9% | -0.9% | +0.0% | -9.6% |
| 2012-11-02 | beat | 0.19 | 0.22 | +18.9% | -2.0% | -7.3% | -8.2% |
| 2012-08-01 | 0.23 | 0.23 | — | +0.3% | -0.8% | -1.1% | |
| 2012-05-07 | miss | 0.28 | 0.21 | -25.0% | +1.5% | -1.8% | -3.8% |
| 2012-03-02 | beat | 0.25 | 0.30 | +20.0% | -1.9% | +0.2% | -8.3% |
| 2010-08-06 | miss | 0.18 | 0.17 | -5.6% | +0.3% | -0.3% | -9.1% |
Not investment advice.
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