HOModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.3%
Next 1 week
+1.2%
Next 1 month
+2.0%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Nov 30): +2.9% median,
63% of the last 27 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Deeply oversold — RSI(2) at 2
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.17%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 0.59 +1.5% · Seasonal tilt +0.5%
$15M/day volume
24% volatility
+24% 1-year
-42% from ATH
52-week range · 71% of the way up · -10% from the high
$9.80$14.59
Congressional trades in HOPE Full tracker →
2 members · 0 buys / 2 sells · $16K–$65K disclosed · latest filing Mar 9, 2025.
| SELL | $15K–$50K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K |
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2027-01-26 (Tuesday, before open, in 88 days) · EPS est. 0.35.
1-day std dev
3.8%
Finished up
57%
Biggest pop
+11.4%
Biggest drop
-9.4%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-28 | 0.29 | 0.29 | — | +0.1% | -1.7% | — | |
| 2026-07-27 | beat | 0.26 | 0.27 | +4.8% | +1.0% | +2.8% | +5.5% |
| 2026-04-28 | beat | 0.22 | 0.23 | +3.4% | -0.3% | +2.1% | -1.3% |
| 2026-01-27 | beat | 0.26 | 0.27 | +3.9% | +0.3% | +3.2% | +4.7% |
| 2025-10-28 | miss | 0.26 | 0.25 | -2.9% | -0.1% | +1.0% | -2.5% |
| 2025-07-22 | miss | 0.21 | 0.19 | -8.4% | -0.8% | -4.6% | -9.3% |
| 2025-04-22 | beat | 0.19 | 0.19 | +2.7% | +1.5% | +1.8% | +6.2% |
| 2025-01-27 | 0.20 | 0.20 | — | +4.1% | +1.1% | -5.8% | |
| 2024-10-28 | miss | 0.22 | 0.21 | -2.8% | +0.2% | +0.5% | -1.9% |
| 2024-07-29 | 0.22 | 0.22 | — | -0.4% | -4.1% | -12.2% | |
| 2024-04-29 | miss | 0.26 | 0.23 | -12.2% | -1.8% | -9.4% | -1.2% |
| 2024-01-30 | beat | 0.31 | 0.32 | +3.9% | -1.8% | -4.4% | -10.0% |
| 2023-10-23 | beat | 0.24 | 0.25 | +2.5% | -6.0% | -4.1% | +0.8% |
| 2023-07-24 | beat | 0.30 | 0.32 | +5.8% | +1.6% | +4.4% | +13.8% |
| 2023-04-24 | miss | 0.37 | 0.33 | -10.8% | -0.7% | -5.5% | -16.2% |
| 2023-01-23 | miss | 0.45 | 0.43 | -4.9% | -2.9% | -4.8% | -1.2% |
| 2022-10-24 | miss | 0.45 | 0.45 | -0.4% | +3.6% | +0.7% | +1.4% |
| 2022-07-19 | beat | 0.41 | 0.43 | +5.4% | +0.2% | +1.2% | +3.5% |
| 2022-04-18 | beat | 0.39 | 0.50 | +26.9% | +0.4% | +3.5% | -4.2% |
| 2022-01-24 | beat | 0.41 | 0.43 | +5.9% | +8.6% | +11.4% | +7.4% |
| 2021-10-25 | beat | 0.42 | 0.45 | +7.7% | +0.0% | -1.1% | -0.9% |
| 2021-07-20 | beat | 0.38 | 0.43 | +12.6% | +2.9% | +3.7% | +4.4% |
| 2021-04-27 | beat | 0.31 | 0.35 | +12.9% | -1.0% | -2.8% | -0.3% |
| 2021-01-26 | miss | 0.26 | 0.23 | -10.2% | -6.4% | -5.9% | -4.0% |
| 2020-10-20 | beat | 0.19 | 0.25 | +29.3% | +5.7% | +0.9% | -1.6% |
| 2020-07-30 | beat | 0.18 | 0.22 | +20.0% | -0.6% | +2.9% | +7.2% |
| 2020-04-28 | miss | 0.23 | 0.21 | -9.3% | +4.9% | +7.6% | -6.5% |
| 2020-01-22 | beat | 0.32 | 0.34 | +7.9% | +2.8% | +0.3% | -3.0% |
| 2019-10-21 | beat | 0.32 | 0.34 | +5.3% | +1.3% | +1.4% | +0.4% |
| 2019-07-16 | miss | 0.34 | 0.34 | -0.4% | +0.1% | +0.7% | +5.6% |
| 2019-04-16 | 0.34 | 0.34 | — | +2.0% | -1.0% | -4.5% | |
| 2019-01-22 | beat | 0.35 | 0.36 | +2.0% | +1.5% | +4.9% | +5.1% |
| 2018-10-16 | miss | 0.36 | 0.36 | -0.8% | -4.4% | -4.9% | -13.3% |
| 2018-07-17 | miss | 0.37 | 0.36 | -3.1% | -0.2% | -3.4% | -2.9% |
| 2018-04-17 | beat | 0.37 | 0.38 | +1.2% | -3.1% | -4.3% | -2.9% |
| 2018-01-30 | beat | 0.31 | 0.32 | +2.1% | +3.4% | +3.9% | -2.6% |
| 2017-10-24 | beat | 0.31 | 0.33 | +8.1% | +2.6% | +1.9% | +1.7% |
| 2017-07-25 | miss | 0.32 | 0.30 | -4.8% | -5.0% | -6.1% | -4.1% |
| 2017-04-27 | miss | 0.31 | 0.28 | -10.4% | -1.4% | -4.4% | -1.3% |
| 2017-01-24 | miss | 0.32 | 0.31 | -3.1% | -1.8% | +2.5% | -6.7% |
| 2016-10-18 | miss | 0.32 | 0.22 | -31.2% | -0.5% | -5.2% | -4.9% |
| 2016-07-18 | miss | 0.31 | 0.29 | -7.6% | -4.3% | +0.7% | -2.6% |
| 2016-04-18 | beat | 0.30 | 0.31 | +1.9% | -2.4% | -0.3% | +1.4% |
| 2016-01-25 | beat | 0.30 | 0.30 | +0.7% | +2.9% | +3.2% | +3.6% |
| 2015-10-19 | beat | 0.28 | 0.32 | +12.7% | +4.3% | +4.3% | +10.8% |
| 2015-07-20 | beat | 0.27 | 0.29 | +7.5% | +0.6% | +0.7% | +1.9% |
| 2015-04-20 | beat | 0.26 | 0.27 | +2.2% | +0.1% | -2.2% | -1.8% |
| 2015-01-26 | beat | 0.28 | 0.29 | +3.0% | +2.8% | +1.4% | +1.0% |
| 2014-10-20 | miss | 0.29 | 0.27 | -8.0% | -2.9% | -5.0% | -7.5% |
| 2014-07-21 | miss | 0.29 | 0.28 | -2.4% | -1.0% | -1.1% | -3.5% |
| 2014-04-21 | beat | 0.28 | 0.28 | +0.6% | +0.2% | +0.6% | -4.8% |
| 2014-01-27 | miss | 0.29 | 0.27 | -5.6% | -0.2% | +0.6% | -4.6% |
| 2013-10-21 | beat | 0.28 | 0.30 | +9.9% | +0.9% | -1.4% | +2.3% |
| 2013-07-22 | beat | 0.27 | 0.29 | +7.1% | +2.7% | +0.2% | -6.5% |
| 2013-04-22 | miss | 0.27 | 0.23 | -12.4% | -1.2% | -2.1% | -1.0% |
| 2013-01-28 | beat | 0.26 | 0.28 | +8.0% | +0.2% | +2.0% | +1.3% |
| 2012-10-22 | miss | 0.25 | 0.24 | -6.9% | -3.2% | -3.2% | -4.4% |
| 2012-07-23 | miss | 0.23 | 0.20 | -11.8% | +0.9% | +2.1% | +5.0% |
| 2012-04-23 | beat | 0.19 | 0.28 | +50.0% | +1.2% | +6.5% | +8.8% |
| 2012-02-08 | beat | 0.17 | 0.20 | +15.2% | +0.6% | +0.0% | -2.9% |
Not investment advice.
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