HOModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.4%
Next 1 week
+0.6%
Next 1 month
+3.3%
Seasonality
Mildly positive window
Next 30 days (to Dec 2): +2.8% median,
57% of the last 42 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Neutral — RSI(2) at 23
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.10%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 1.54 +3.7% · Seasonal tilt -0.4%
$14M/day volume
63% volatility
-21% 1-year
52-week range · 16% of the way up · -33% from the high
$90.17$148.48
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-12-03 (Thursday, before open, in 31 days) · EPS est. 2.80.
1-day std dev
9.8%
Finished up
43%
Biggest pop
+27.1%
Biggest drop
-22.5%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 47 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-20 | miss | -0.56 | -0.70 | -25.0% | -6.0% | -7.5% | -0.7% |
| 2026-05-21 | beat | -2.04 | -0.46 | +77.5% | +3.8% | +17.8% | +12.6% |
| 2025-12-04 | beat | 0.63 | 0.81 | +29.1% | -8.2% | -22.5% | -20.8% |
| 2025-08-21 | beat | 3.51 | 3.65 | +4.0% | +2.0% | -11.5% | -6.5% |
| 2025-05-20 | beat | 2.45 | 2.74 | +11.8% | -2.9% | -12.5% | -16.3% |
| 2025-02-24 | beat | 2.71 | 3.71 | +37.0% | -3.8% | -12.4% | -19.9% |
| 2019-12-05 | beat | 4.13 | 7.24 | +75.3% | +0.0% | +16.4% | +30.1% |
| 2019-09-05 | miss | -0.06 | -1.27 | -2016.7% | +4.8% | +27.1% | +81.4% |
| 2019-06-06 | miss | -1.77 | -2.56 | -44.6% | -4.5% | -10.1% | -17.9% |
| 2019-03-07 | miss | -2.50 | -3.00 | -20.0% | +0.0% | +3.3% | -3.3% |
| 2018-12-06 | beat | 4.75 | 8.03 | +69.0% | +1.8% | +7.3% | -8.2% |
| 2018-09-10 | beat | -1.50 | -0.25 | +83.3% | +3.9% | +3.2% | +11.0% |
| 2018-06-07 | miss | -1.12 | -1.75 | -55.6% | -0.5% | -6.0% | -4.5% |
| 2018-03-08 | miss | -1.87 | -5.02 | -167.9% | -3.9% | -4.4% | -12.7% |
| 2017-12-21 | beat | 0.75 | 2.00 | +166.7% | +1.9% | +12.0% | +25.5% |
| 2017-09-07 | beat | -0.25 | 0.55 | +320.0% | -7.5% | -6.5% | -3.2% |
| 2017-06-02 | miss | -0.87 | -1.25 | -42.9% | -3.6% | -5.6% | -10.4% |
| 2017-03-08 | beat | -1.00 | -0.78 | +22.0% | +3.3% | -7.4% | -7.0% |
| 2016-12-08 | beat | 3.50 | 4.94 | +41.2% | +2.5% | -2.9% | +9.0% |
| 2016-09-09 | miss | 1.44 | — | -100.0% | -4.0% | -12.6% | -17.2% |
| 2016-06-02 | miss | 0.67 | -0.65 | -197.1% | -3.6% | -11.4% | -6.7% |
| 2016-03-09 | miss | -0.73 | -0.76 | -5.0% | -4.5% | -15.9% | -18.2% |
| 2015-12-04 | beat | 2.31 | 4.00 | +73.3% | +9.9% | +4.7% | -4.1% |
| 2015-09-09 | miss | -0.12 | -1.25 | -930.2% | +2.0% | +5.6% | -1.5% |
| 2015-06-09 | miss | -1.46 | -2.84 | -95.2% | -5.4% | -9.8% | -14.2% |
| 2015-03-12 | miss | -1.76 | -2.07 | -17.2% | -1.5% | +2.4% | -0.9% |
| 2014-12-10 | beat | 5.21 | 6.29 | +20.6% | +3.8% | +5.4% | +0.3% |
| 2014-09-04 | beat | 2.12 | 2.75 | +29.8% | +2.4% | +1.2% | +0.0% |
| 2014-06-04 | miss | 0.67 | -1.06 | -259.8% | -3.1% | -2.2% | -2.6% |
| 2014-03-05 | miss | -1.05 | -4.00 | -279.2% | -5.4% | -10.4% | -19.3% |
| 2013-12-12 | beat | 4.26 | 5.50 | +29.1% | +3.2% | +5.8% | +13.0% |
| 2013-09-09 | miss | 1.84 | 1.50 | -18.3% | -0.2% | +2.2% | +4.0% |
| 2013-06-05 | beat | -1.32 | 0.60 | +145.1% | +1.3% | +1.0% | -1.0% |
| 2013-03-06 | beat | -2.49 | -2.00 | +19.6% | +1.6% | -2.6% | -4.3% |
| 2012-12-13 | miss | -5.05 | -14.75 | -192.2% | -2.6% | -5.3% | +11.7% |
| 2012-09-06 | beat | -3.57 | 6.25 | +275.1% | +4.7% | -4.0% | +18.1% |
| 2012-06-06 | beat | -7.34 | -3.55 | +51.6% | +17.6% | +18.2% | +30.6% |
| 2012-03-07 | beat | -11.28 | -9.11 | +19.2% | +5.0% | +2.5% | +17.9% |
| 2011-12-15 | miss | -10.31 | -22.50 | -118.3% | +0.0% | -0.7% | +8.1% |
| 2011-09-07 | beat | -12.71 | -11.75 | +7.6% | +3.0% | -0.6% | -10.3% |
| 2011-06-07 | miss | -13.33 | -17.25 | -29.4% | -5.1% | -11.5% | -16.2% |
| 2011-03-01 | miss | -14.55 | -16.00 | -10.0% | +0.3% | +0.8% | +0.3% |
| 2010-12-21 | beat | -17.47 | -16.25 | +7.0% | -3.2% | -2.5% | -9.9% |
| 2010-09-01 | beat | -13.38 | -10.45 | +21.9% | +0.0% | +5.4% | +4.3% |
| 2010-06-02 | beat | -15.97 | -14.25 | +10.8% | -0.2% | -14.3% | -20.5% |
| 2010-03-02 | beat | -32.00 | 75.25 | +335.2% | +4.5% | +4.3% | +12.6% |
| 2009-12-16 | miss | -43.00 | -80.25 | -86.6% | -8.0% | -6.4% | -3.3% |
Not investment advice.
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