HPModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.1%
Next 1 week
+0.4%
Next 1 month
+0.4%
Seasonality
Mildly positive window
Next 30 days (to Nov 28): +0.9% median,
53% of the last 45 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Deeply overbought — RSI(2) at 95
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.04%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 0.17 +0.4% · Seasonal tilt -0.1%
$40M/day volume
43% volatility
+65% 1-year
-65% from ATH
52-week range · 73% of the way up · -13% from the high
$24.45$48.17
Congressional trades in HP Full tracker →
4 members · 4 buys / 5 sells · $37K–$205K disclosed · latest filing Jan 20, 2023.
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $15K–$50K | |
| BUY | $15K–$50K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K |
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-18 (Wednesday, after close, in 21 days) · EPS est. 0.26.
1-day std dev
6.1%
Finished up
43%
Biggest pop
+12.0%
Biggest drop
-16.5%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 | miss | 0.10 | -0.11 | -210.5% | +6.7% | +11.4% | +29.4% |
| 2026-05-06 | miss | -0.04 | -0.38 | -840.4% | -6.2% | -7.4% | -1.1% |
| 2026-02-04 | miss | 0.11 | -0.15 | -241.9% | -6.3% | -5.2% | -9.7% |
| 2025-11-17 | miss | 0.26 | -0.01 | -103.8% | -8.7% | -3.8% | -0.1% |
| 2025-08-06 | beat | 0.21 | 0.22 | +3.1% | +5.8% | +3.2% | +18.5% |
| 2025-05-07 | miss | 0.62 | 0.02 | -96.8% | -5.2% | -3.5% | -4.4% |
| 2025-02-05 | beat | 0.67 | 0.71 | +5.3% | -10.1% | -16.5% | -17.8% |
| 2024-11-13 | miss | 0.82 | 0.76 | -7.2% | -4.7% | -6.2% | -4.9% |
| 2024-07-24 | beat | 0.77 | 0.92 | +19.7% | +1.5% | +8.8% | +2.0% |
| 2024-04-24 | miss | 0.86 | 0.84 | -2.1% | -5.9% | -4.7% | -10.8% |
| 2024-01-29 | beat | 0.71 | 0.97 | +36.2% | +6.7% | +12.0% | +6.2% |
| 2023-11-08 | miss | 0.74 | 0.69 | -7.1% | +2.5% | -2.3% | -2.7% |
| 2023-07-26 | beat | 0.90 | 1.09 | +21.3% | +2.4% | +4.6% | +5.1% |
| 2023-04-26 | beat | 1.04 | 1.26 | +20.8% | -2.4% | -3.7% | -9.6% |
| 2023-01-30 | beat | 0.81 | 1.11 | +36.4% | +0.8% | -0.3% | -6.0% |
| 2022-11-16 | miss | 0.46 | 0.45 | -3.0% | -3.8% | +0.6% | -2.5% |
| 2022-07-27 | beat | 0.09 | 0.27 | +216.4% | +2.1% | -0.7% | -12.5% |
| 2022-04-27 | beat | -0.26 | -0.17 | +33.9% | +0.7% | +10.7% | +13.3% |
| 2022-01-31 | beat | -0.47 | -0.45 | +5.1% | +3.0% | +5.9% | +13.6% |
| 2021-11-17 | miss | -0.51 | -0.62 | -21.8% | -7.6% | -16.5% | -25.3% |
| 2021-07-28 | miss | -0.55 | -0.57 | -3.7% | -2.9% | -2.9% | -11.8% |
| 2021-04-29 | beat | -0.63 | -0.60 | +4.1% | -3.0% | -8.9% | +7.5% |
| 2021-02-09 | miss | -0.79 | -0.82 | -3.5% | -1.4% | +8.8% | +1.0% |
| 2020-11-19 | beat | -0.75 | -0.74 | +1.8% | -3.2% | -2.8% | +9.7% |
| 2020-07-28 | beat | -0.65 | -0.34 | +47.4% | +0.3% | -5.0% | -0.9% |
| 2020-04-30 | beat | -0.02 | -0.01 | +35.6% | -9.0% | -15.0% | -10.3% |
| 2020-02-03 | beat | 0.07 | 0.13 | +75.9% | +4.2% | +2.3% | +8.2% |
| 2019-11-14 | beat | 0.25 | 0.39 | +59.0% | +2.5% | +3.2% | -0.8% |
| 2019-07-24 | beat | 0.36 | 0.40 | +9.6% | -2.8% | -3.8% | -7.8% |
| 2019-04-24 | beat | 0.39 | 0.56 | +45.0% | +3.2% | +0.9% | -6.9% |
| 2019-01-29 | beat | 0.31 | 0.42 | +37.4% | +1.5% | +5.5% | +6.1% |
| 2018-11-15 | beat | 0.18 | 0.19 | +4.2% | +1.1% | +4.2% | +0.4% |
| 2018-07-25 | miss | 0.03 | -0.01 | -136.3% | -0.4% | +1.6% | +3.9% |
| 2018-04-26 | beat | -0.05 | -0.05 | +4.8% | +0.2% | -0.6% | -4.1% |
| 2018-01-25 | beat | -0.13 | -0.02 | +84.5% | +1.8% | +3.2% | +2.2% |
| 2017-11-16 | beat | -0.19 | -0.14 | +28.0% | -0.2% | +1.2% | +4.3% |
| 2017-07-27 | beat | -0.31 | -0.25 | +18.1% | +0.0% | -3.7% | -10.0% |
| 2017-04-27 | miss | -0.41 | -0.47 | -15.3% | -2.2% | -5.6% | -11.0% |
| 2017-01-26 | miss | -0.37 | -0.41 | -11.4% | -2.8% | -7.4% | -13.6% |
| 2016-11-17 | beat | -0.43 | -0.33 | +22.4% | +0.9% | +1.9% | +5.6% |
| 2016-07-28 | miss | -0.46 | -0.47 | -2.3% | -1.6% | -2.9% | -1.0% |
| 2016-05-02 | miss | -0.24 | -0.28 | -15.0% | -0.6% | -4.6% | -11.9% |
| 2016-01-28 | beat | -0.07 | 0.05 | +167.4% | +1.0% | +7.4% | +11.4% |
| 2015-11-12 | miss | 0.05 | 0.04 | -26.8% | -2.9% | -3.6% | -1.2% |
| 2015-07-30 | beat | 0.13 | 0.27 | +103.0% | -0.2% | -1.8% | +3.1% |
| 2015-04-23 | beat | 0.82 | 0.96 | +17.1% | -0.2% | +2.4% | +6.0% |
| 2015-01-29 | beat | 1.54 | 2.00 | +30.2% | -6.5% | -3.7% | +12.4% |
| 2014-11-13 | miss | 1.67 | 1.59 | -5.0% | -4.1% | -6.7% | -6.1% |
| 2014-07-31 | miss | 1.63 | 1.61 | -1.2% | -0.9% | -7.2% | -11.0% |
| 2014-04-24 | miss | 1.47 | 1.45 | -1.6% | +0.2% | -6.0% | -7.3% |
| 2014-01-30 | beat | 1.46 | 1.56 | +6.9% | +2.4% | +3.0% | +2.1% |
| 2013-11-14 | beat | 1.41 | 1.44 | +2.1% | +1.6% | +1.4% | +2.7% |
| 2013-07-26 | beat | 1.34 | 1.44 | +7.3% | +2.2% | -2.7% | -1.5% |
| 2013-04-25 | beat | 1.29 | 1.36 | +5.3% | +0.0% | -1.9% | -1.5% |
| 2013-01-31 | beat | 1.29 | 1.40 | +8.7% | +0.3% | +1.6% | +1.5% |
| 2012-11-15 | beat | 1.25 | 1.36 | +9.1% | +3.7% | +6.1% | +12.0% |
| 2012-07-27 | beat | 1.16 | 1.37 | +18.5% | +3.7% | +6.2% | +2.7% |
| 2012-04-26 | miss | 1.21 | 1.13 | -6.8% | -3.2% | -3.1% | -9.7% |
| 2012-01-31 | beat | 1.15 | 1.29 | +11.9% | +5.9% | +2.3% | +1.1% |
| 2011-11-17 | beat | 1.05 | 1.09 | +4.0% | +1.3% | -2.2% | -8.4% |
Not investment advice.
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