HPModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.1%
Next 1 week
+1.0%
Next 1 month
+3.0%
Seasonality
No real seasonal tilt
Next 30 days (to Nov 30): +0.2% median,
53% of the last 15 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Oversold — RSI(2) at 13
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.08%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 1.21 +3.0% · Seasonal tilt -0.0%
$9M/day volume
72% volatility
-36% 1-year
52-week range · 43% of the way up · -40% from the high
$5.26$17.64
Congressional trades in HPP Full tracker →
2 members · 2 buys / 6 sells · $8K–$120K disclosed · latest filing Apr 17, 2023.
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K |
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-05 (Thursday, before open, in 5 days) · EPS est. -0.72.
1-day std dev
4.9%
Finished up
48%
Biggest pop
+20.9%
Biggest drop
-16.5%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 | miss | -0.73 | -1.62 | -121.2% | -4.7% | +7.1% | +2.4% |
| 2026-05-07 | beat | -0.94 | -0.82 | +12.8% | +1.0% | +10.7% | +10.7% |
| 2026-02-26 | miss | -0.47 | -4.31 | -817.0% | +7.7% | +20.9% | +17.6% |
| 2025-11-05 | beat | -1.54 | -0.84 | +45.4% | -3.1% | +7.1% | -4.4% |
| 2025-08-05 | miss | -1.75 | -2.87 | -64.0% | +3.2% | +6.7% | +4.0% |
| 2025-05-07 | miss | -2.89 | -3.71 | -28.2% | +4.4% | -0.4% | -6.6% |
| 2025-02-20 | miss | -3.04 | -8.26 | -171.3% | +0.3% | -3.5% | +5.5% |
| 2024-11-12 | miss | -2.73 | -2.97 | -9.0% | +1.5% | +4.2% | -20.0% |
| 2024-08-07 | beat | -2.66 | -2.22 | +16.7% | -12.5% | -12.3% | -12.7% |
| 2024-05-01 | beat | -3.36 | -2.50 | +25.7% | -0.5% | -4.4% | -4.6% |
| 2024-02-12 | miss | -2.62 | -4.90 | -86.7% | -7.6% | -16.5% | -16.8% |
| 2023-11-01 | miss | -1.19 | -1.89 | -58.8% | +4.7% | +7.8% | +19.8% |
| 2023-08-01 | beat | -2.52 | -1.82 | +27.8% | -0.7% | +2.0% | +9.7% |
| 2023-05-08 | beat | -1.08 | -0.98 | +9.7% | -5.2% | -7.5% | -20.3% |
| 2023-02-08 | miss | -0.28 | -0.63 | -125.0% | +1.7% | -2.2% | -2.9% |
| 2022-11-02 | — | -0.15 | — | -0.6% | -1.9% | +5.0% | |
| 2022-07-26 | miss | -0.14 | -0.15 | -6.5% | +1.9% | +2.2% | +0.3% |
| 2022-04-27 | miss | 0.14 | 0.05 | -67.5% | +0.1% | -1.5% | -9.1% |
| 2022-02-16 | beat | 0.07 | 0.41 | +480.5% | -1.3% | +1.8% | +0.6% |
| 2021-10-26 | beat | -0.14 | -0.06 | +60.0% | -2.9% | -4.5% | -4.4% |
| 2021-08-03 | miss | 0.14 | 0.12 | -13.0% | -1.4% | -0.4% | +1.9% |
| 2021-05-05 | beat | 0.14 | 0.28 | +99.5% | +0.0% | +0.3% | -1.4% |
| 2021-02-17 | miss | 0.21 | -0.16 | -178.1% | -0.8% | -0.7% | +8.9% |
| 2020-10-29 | miss | 0.21 | -0.28 | -233.3% | +1.3% | +0.0% | +3.3% |
| 2020-07-29 | miss | 0.40 | 0.17 | -56.4% | -1.6% | -2.7% | -4.3% |
| 2020-05-05 | miss | 0.63 | 0.60 | -4.8% | +1.3% | -0.7% | -8.8% |
| 2020-02-20 | miss | 0.77 | 0.62 | -20.0% | -0.6% | -0.3% | -12.3% |
| 2019-10-30 | beat | 0.86 | 2.66 | +208.1% | +0.6% | +2.5% | +1.6% |
| 2019-07-31 | miss | 0.70 | 0.42 | -40.0% | +0.0% | -0.3% | -4.4% |
| 2019-05-02 | miss | 0.63 | 0.59 | -5.9% | +0.1% | +0.5% | -1.8% |
| 2019-02-14 | miss | 0.86 | 0.73 | -15.2% | -0.4% | +0.2% | +1.1% |
| 2018-11-01 | miss | 0.83 | 0.62 | -25.9% | +0.6% | -0.8% | +2.6% |
| 2018-08-01 | miss | 0.85 | 0.60 | -30.1% | -1.4% | +0.0% | +0.4% |
| 2018-05-03 | miss | 0.54 | 0.51 | -4.7% | -1.6% | +0.5% | +6.0% |
| 2018-02-15 | beat | 0.82 | 1.47 | +79.8% | +0.8% | +2.7% | +7.3% |
| 2017-11-02 | beat | 0.41 | 0.49 | +20.3% | +0.0% | +0.8% | +4.7% |
| 2017-08-03 | miss | 0.28 | 0.14 | -49.1% | +0.2% | +0.8% | -1.7% |
| 2017-05-04 | beat | 0.49 | 0.98 | +101.9% | +2.0% | -1.0% | -2.8% |
| 2017-02-16 | beat | 0.19 | 0.35 | +86.9% | +0.3% | +0.6% | +2.7% |
| 2016-11-03 | — | 0.14 | — | +1.4% | -0.2% | +1.1% | |
| 2016-08-04 | beat | -0.28 | 0.06 | +122.5% | +2.2% | +0.5% | -0.2% |
| 2016-05-05 | beat | 0.10 | 0.21 | +116.1% | +0.0% | -0.3% | -4.3% |
| 2016-02-25 | beat | -0.60 | -0.49 | +18.3% | +0.1% | +2.6% | +7.1% |
| 2015-11-05 | beat | -0.63 | -0.28 | +55.6% | -0.9% | -2.2% | -6.6% |
| 2015-08-06 | miss | -1.73 | -1.96 | -13.1% | -1.1% | +0.6% | +1.0% |
| 2015-05-07 | beat | 0.58 | 1.75 | +201.0% | +1.6% | +0.8% | +0.6% |
| 2015-02-26 | miss | 0.91 | 0.35 | -61.8% | +0.5% | +3.0% | -0.5% |
| 2014-11-03 | beat | 0.31 | 0.77 | +145.7% | +2.5% | +0.1% | +1.5% |
| 2014-08-05 | beat | 0.16 | 0.35 | +122.0% | +0.9% | +2.0% | +4.0% |
| 2014-05-08 | miss | 0.18 | 0.14 | -22.4% | -4.0% | -0.3% | -1.6% |
| 2014-02-26 | beat | -0.49 | -0.01 | +98.8% | +0.5% | +0.9% | +4.1% |
| 2013-11-04 | miss | -0.28 | -0.65 | -132.0% | +1.3% | -0.7% | -4.5% |
| 2013-08-05 | miss | -0.42 | -0.71 | -68.3% | -1.1% | -1.4% | -2.7% |
| 2013-05-06 | miss | -0.49 | -0.64 | -30.0% | -0.1% | +3.2% | +3.7% |
| 2013-03-06 | miss | -0.34 | -0.91 | -171.2% | -1.3% | -0.1% | -1.4% |
| 2012-11-05 | miss | -0.14 | -0.42 | -200.0% | +0.8% | -0.3% | -3.4% |
| 2012-08-06 | miss | -0.28 | -0.87 | -210.0% | +1.7% | -1.9% | -2.4% |
| 2012-05-07 | miss | -0.14 | -0.56 | -300.0% | -0.9% | -1.3% | -0.3% |
| 2012-03-08 | miss | -0.28 | -0.47 | -67.3% | +0.3% | -0.7% | -1.6% |
| 2011-11-07 | — | -0.40 | — | +0.0% | +0.4% | -2.1% |
Not investment advice.
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