HTModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.1%
Next 1 week
+0.1%
Next 1 month
+0.2%
Seasonality
Mildly positive window
Next 30 days (to Dec 2): +1.6% median,
53% of the last 15 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Neutral — RSI(2) at 79
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.09%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 0.18 +0.5% · Seasonal tilt -0.2%
$14.9B market cap (#790 US)
$72M/day volume
33% volatility
+24% 1-year
-26% from ATH
52-week range · 53% of the way up · -16% from the high
$37.60$56.64
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-17 (Tuesday, before open, in 15 days) · EPS est. 5.60.
1-day std dev
6.2%
Finished up
43%
Biggest pop
+20.2%
Biggest drop
-14.3%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-17 | beat | 5.07 | 5.29 | +4.3% | +8.6% | +11.3% | +16.1% |
| 2026-05-15 | miss | 3.89 | 3.36 | -13.7% | -1.8% | +1.4% | -1.4% |
| 2026-03-18 | beat | 2.43 | 4.06 | +67.0% | -3.0% | -3.8% | -5.6% |
| 2025-11-17 | beat | 4.76 | 4.76 | +0.1% | -4.5% | +2.6% | +3.6% |
| 2025-08-20 | beat | 4.12 | 4.24 | +3.0% | +1.9% | +5.4% | +6.9% |
| 2025-05-20 | miss | 3.02 | 2.48 | -17.8% | -1.2% | -1.8% | -4.4% |
| 2025-03-20 | miss | 2.03 | 1.03 | -49.2% | -4.9% | -0.9% | +0.1% |
| 2024-11-26 | miss | 4.79 | 4.29 | -10.4% | -2.7% | -5.9% | -6.2% |
| 2024-08-20 | beat | 3.03 | 3.88 | +28.0% | +1.3% | -4.7% | +1.5% |
| 2024-05-17 | miss | 2.97 | 2.43 | -18.2% | -3.3% | -1.7% | -13.3% |
| 2024-03-20 | miss | 2.58 | 2.04 | -20.8% | +0.7% | -1.4% | -2.7% |
| 2023-11-24 | beat | 2.25 | 4.23 | +88.2% | -0.8% | -0.3% | -2.1% |
| 2023-08-24 | beat | 2.25 | 3.27 | +45.5% | +0.5% | -5.4% | -10.3% |
| 2023-05-29 | beat | -0.15 | 3.05 | +2146.3% | +0.9% | -2.5% | +11.5% |
| 2023-03-27 | miss | 0.53 | -0.40 | -175.5% | +2.3% | -0.2% | +4.5% |
| 2022-11-28 | miss | -1.29 | -2.31 | -78.5% | -0.1% | +6.9% | +26.2% |
| 2022-08-29 | miss | 1.27 | -0.27 | -121.3% | -1.4% | -3.7% | -16.2% |
| 2022-05-30 | beat | -2.75 | -2.12 | +22.9% | +6.4% | +5.7% | +9.9% |
| 2022-03-23 | miss | 0.64 | -0.73 | -213.6% | -5.7% | -3.2% | +0.6% |
| 2021-11-24 | beat | -0.76 | -0.15 | +80.2% | -10.6% | -5.6% | -13.4% |
| 2021-08-24 | miss | 0.34 | 0.12 | -64.7% | +4.3% | +2.7% | +6.9% |
| 2021-05-25 | beat | -2.52 | -0.80 | +68.2% | +1.1% | -1.6% | +5.7% |
| 2021-03-24 | beat | -0.35 | -0.02 | +94.3% | -3.2% | -4.4% | -1.2% |
| 2020-12-04 | miss | 3.11 | -0.73 | -123.5% | -4.3% | -1.5% | -9.2% |
| 2020-09-09 | miss | -1.70 | -1.91 | -12.0% | -0.5% | -6.3% | -6.0% |
| 2020-06-30 | miss | -3.43 | -7.46 | -117.5% | -3.5% | -6.4% | +6.6% |
| 2020-03-26 | miss | 1.52 | 1.38 | -9.2% | -1.3% | -7.1% | -4.4% |
| 2019-11-12 | miss | 1.93 | 1.46 | -24.5% | -5.2% | -0.9% | -5.5% |
| 2019-08-21 | miss | 1.77 | 1.66 | -6.4% | -0.6% | +2.3% | +5.8% |
| 2019-05-22 | miss | 1.03 | 0.76 | -26.2% | -8.4% | -7.3% | -11.0% |
| 2019-03-14 | beat | 0.86 | 1.23 | +42.6% | +8.0% | +8.1% | +8.0% |
| 2018-11-15 | miss | 1.94 | 1.71 | -11.9% | -3.0% | +3.9% | +1.2% |
| 2018-08-22 | beat | 1.73 | 1.87 | +8.1% | -0.2% | -0.2% | +2.0% |
| 2018-05-14 | miss | 0.98 | 0.96 | -1.5% | +1.5% | +9.7% | +14.3% |
| 2018-03-13 | miss | 1.10 | 0.85 | -23.1% | -9.7% | -10.3% | -12.5% |
| 2017-11-28 | beat | 1.46 | 1.68 | +15.3% | -2.5% | -10.2% | -0.1% |
| 2017-08-17 | beat | 1.20 | 1.41 | +16.9% | +5.8% | +9.6% | +12.3% |
| 2017-05-10 | beat | 0.52 | 0.57 | +10.1% | -2.7% | +7.6% | -1.2% |
| 2017-03-14 | miss | 0.50 | 0.49 | -3.2% | +0.8% | +4.7% | +8.8% |
| 2016-11-14 | beat | 0.94 | 1.07 | +13.7% | -0.2% | -2.0% | -3.5% |
| 2016-08-16 | beat | 0.70 | 1.17 | +67.5% | +0.6% | -2.3% | +1.3% |
| 2016-05-11 | beat | 0.04 | 0.31 | +650.5% | +6.2% | -0.2% | -4.7% |
| 2016-03-10 | beat | 0.17 | 0.33 | +99.7% | +3.8% | +9.6% | +24.4% |
| 2015-11-10 | beat | 0.71 | 0.93 | +31.2% | +6.2% | +1.1% | -4.0% |
| 2015-08-17 | beat | 0.52 | 0.63 | +21.1% | +5.4% | +9.3% | +0.8% |
| 2015-05-14 | beat | 0.02 | 0.02 | +20.2% | +16.6% | +20.2% | +23.9% |
| 2015-03-10 | miss | 0.26 | 0.19 | -27.1% | -17.1% | -11.5% | -12.3% |
| 2014-11-12 | beat | 0.62 | 0.65 | +5.9% | -3.9% | -5.4% | -12.3% |
| 2014-08-11 | beat | 0.45 | 0.52 | +15.3% | +3.5% | +5.7% | +13.1% |
| 2014-05-13 | beat | -0.04 | -0.02 | +32.4% | -1.4% | +0.9% | +2.6% |
| 2014-03-11 | beat | 0.19 | 0.26 | +34.8% | +0.9% | -1.8% | -8.3% |
| 2013-11-12 | beat | 0.48 | 0.53 | +12.0% | +4.9% | +4.1% | +8.6% |
| 2013-08-15 | beat | 0.31 | 0.42 | +33.6% | +0.1% | +3.3% | +2.1% |
| 2013-05-08 | beat | -0.12 | 0.03 | +126.6% | +9.5% | +2.0% | -0.1% |
| 2013-03-06 | miss | 0.11 | 0.10 | -10.3% | -1.1% | -14.3% | -15.3% |
| 2012-11-05 | beat | 0.29 | 0.42 | +46.1% | +1.1% | +0.0% | -4.1% |
| 2012-08-09 | beat | 0.22 | 0.30 | +38.6% | -0.4% | -0.2% | +3.7% |
| 2012-05-09 | beat | -0.09 | -0.03 | +63.7% | +3.2% | +1.4% | -2.7% |
| 2012-03-07 | miss | 0.13 | 0.13 | -3.1% | -0.5% | +2.1% | -6.7% |
| 2011-11-10 | beat | 0.20 | 0.24 | +21.1% | +2.8% | +1.8% | +1.1% |
Not investment advice.
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