HTModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
-0.0%
Next 1 week
+1.3%
Next 1 month
+3.2%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Nov 28): +4.3% median,
67% of the last 39 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Neutral — RSI(2) at 42
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.01%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 0.96 +2.5% · Seasonal tilt +0.7%
$7M/day volume
39% volatility
+27% 1-year
-64% from ATH
52-week range · 33% of the way up · -39% from the high
$7.00$16.64
Congressional trades in HTLD Full tracker →
2 members · 1 buys / 2 sells · $3K–$45K disclosed · latest filing Aug 15, 2024.
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K |
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2027-01-27 (Wednesday, before open, in 90 days) · EPS est. 0.05.
1-day std dev
3.6%
Finished up
47%
Biggest pop
+10.0%
Biggest drop
-7.6%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-20 | miss | 0.03 | 0.01 | -67.5% | -6.3% | -2.5% | -1.5% |
| 2026-07-30 | beat | -0.01 | 0.14 | +2445.1% | +1.1% | -2.0% | -5.4% |
| 2026-04-23 | beat | -0.13 | -0.06 | +53.1% | +3.1% | +3.8% | +15.5% |
| 2026-02-03 | beat | -0.08 | -0.06 | +25.3% | -2.5% | +2.9% | +9.6% |
| 2025-10-31 | beat | -0.12 | -0.11 | +9.4% | +0.0% | +3.2% | +0.9% |
| 2025-07-24 | miss | -0.07 | -0.14 | -92.9% | +0.1% | -4.4% | -9.8% |
| 2025-04-30 | miss | -0.10 | -0.18 | -88.5% | -1.7% | -3.1% | -3.6% |
| 2025-01-28 | beat | -0.04 | -0.02 | +52.6% | -0.3% | -2.2% | -4.1% |
| 2024-10-29 | miss | -0.01 | -0.12 | -986.0% | -2.0% | -2.5% | -4.4% |
| 2024-07-23 | beat | -0.05 | -0.04 | +27.1% | -1.0% | -0.7% | +5.8% |
| 2024-04-23 | miss | -0.12 | -0.19 | -59.7% | -0.1% | +1.5% | -3.3% |
| 2024-01-31 | beat | -0.09 | 0.06 | +163.6% | +1.3% | -2.2% | -2.6% |
| 2023-10-26 | miss | 0.07 | -0.14 | -296.7% | -1.1% | -7.0% | -15.1% |
| 2023-07-31 | miss | 0.16 | 0.10 | -39.2% | -2.9% | -3.8% | -8.6% |
| 2023-04-27 | miss | 0.17 | 0.16 | -8.2% | +0.5% | +0.3% | +3.2% |
| 2023-02-03 | miss | 0.30 | 0.20 | -32.9% | -5.0% | -7.6% | -9.1% |
| 2022-11-02 | beat | 0.31 | 0.33 | +6.6% | -1.8% | -3.2% | -6.7% |
| 2022-07-25 | beat | 0.25 | 0.30 | +20.4% | +1.9% | +1.3% | +8.4% |
| 2022-04-21 | beat | 0.19 | 0.21 | +10.2% | +1.0% | +3.6% | +4.6% |
| 2022-01-20 | beat | 0.26 | 0.26 | +0.3% | +0.4% | -0.4% | -7.8% |
| 2021-10-14 | beat | 0.29 | 0.31 | +5.5% | +1.1% | +2.8% | +3.8% |
| 2021-07-19 | beat | 0.26 | 0.26 | +0.5% | -1.1% | -2.4% | -0.7% |
| 2021-04-21 | miss | 0.18 | 0.17 | -3.0% | +0.6% | -2.2% | -5.9% |
| 2021-01-19 | beat | 0.22 | 0.22 | +0.2% | -0.1% | +1.7% | +3.1% |
| 2020-10-16 | beat | 0.25 | 0.25 | +0.1% | -0.2% | -3.4% | -6.2% |
| 2020-07-16 | beat | 0.14 | 0.24 | +70.3% | +1.2% | +2.4% | -1.9% |
| 2020-04-21 | beat | 0.13 | 0.16 | +22.6% | -1.9% | +1.8% | +9.0% |
| 2020-01-23 | miss | 0.23 | 0.16 | -30.8% | -0.8% | -0.5% | -6.2% |
| 2019-10-30 | miss | 0.26 | 0.25 | -2.1% | -1.2% | -0.9% | -1.1% |
| 2019-07-18 | beat | 0.25 | 0.27 | +9.1% | +1.7% | +5.7% | +7.2% |
| 2019-04-18 | beat | 0.19 | 0.21 | +9.4% | -0.5% | +3.5% | +4.5% |
| 2019-01-22 | beat | 0.24 | 0.27 | +14.7% | -1.0% | +0.6% | -0.5% |
| 2018-10-17 | miss | 0.21 | 0.19 | -11.0% | -0.1% | -1.3% | -0.7% |
| 2018-07-19 | beat | 0.18 | 0.22 | +19.6% | +0.7% | +7.7% | +3.7% |
| 2018-04-25 | beat | 0.12 | 0.14 | +19.4% | +0.6% | +1.9% | -0.1% |
| 2018-02-12 | miss | 0.11 | 0.07 | -36.8% | -0.1% | -2.4% | -2.8% |
| 2017-10-27 | miss | 0.16 | 0.09 | -44.5% | +0.2% | -6.1% | -11.6% |
| 2017-08-02 | miss | 0.18 | 0.18 | -1.7% | -0.4% | -1.6% | -1.4% |
| 2017-04-21 | beat | 0.15 | 0.17 | +11.5% | +0.2% | +3.8% | +4.1% |
| 2017-01-26 | beat | 0.15 | 0.16 | +9.1% | -1.2% | -0.6% | -0.4% |
| 2016-10-20 | miss | 0.16 | 0.15 | -6.7% | -0.6% | -0.6% | +1.8% |
| 2016-07-28 | miss | 0.20 | 0.20 | -0.4% | -0.2% | +2.4% | +5.1% |
| 2016-04-26 | beat | 0.16 | 0.17 | +6.2% | -0.1% | +5.1% | +4.5% |
| 2016-01-26 | beat | 0.20 | 0.20 | +2.1% | +0.7% | +10.0% | +7.0% |
| 2015-10-27 | miss | 0.25 | 0.17 | -32.2% | -0.9% | -6.3% | -9.3% |
| 2015-07-28 | beat | 0.25 | 0.27 | +6.3% | +0.7% | +3.7% | +12.5% |
| 2015-04-22 | miss | 0.22 | 0.20 | -8.9% | +0.1% | -3.5% | -10.1% |
| 2015-02-03 | miss | 0.26 | 0.25 | -3.1% | -0.1% | -2.6% | -1.5% |
| 2014-10-24 | miss | 0.28 | 0.26 | -8.7% | +0.6% | -5.2% | -0.7% |
| 2014-07-22 | beat | 0.25 | 0.30 | +19.6% | +1.1% | +6.9% | +3.8% |
| 2014-04-23 | miss | 0.20 | 0.16 | -21.4% | +0.1% | -2.0% | -6.1% |
| 2014-02-04 | miss | 0.20 | 0.18 | -11.2% | -1.7% | +0.4% | -0.3% |
| 2013-10-16 | beat | 0.19 | 0.19 | +0.3% | +0.3% | +0.6% | +2.2% |
| 2013-07-19 | beat | 0.20 | 0.23 | +12.6% | -0.4% | +0.1% | -0.2% |
| 2013-04-16 | beat | 0.19 | 0.23 | +23.6% | +0.2% | +2.2% | +1.7% |
| 2013-01-23 | beat | 0.16 | 0.17 | +8.4% | +0.1% | -1.3% | +1.4% |
| 2012-10-11 | miss | 0.18 | 0.14 | -21.7% | -0.1% | -1.5% | -0.8% |
| 2012-07-19 | beat | 0.21 | 0.21 | +1.1% | -0.1% | -1.1% | -1.8% |
| 2012-04-17 | beat | 0.17 | 0.19 | +13.6% | +1.1% | +1.6% | -0.1% |
| 2012-01-20 | beat | 0.18 | 0.20 | +11.0% | -1.0% | +1.9% | +3.4% |
Not investment advice.
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