HWModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.6%
Next 1 week
+2.9%
Next 1 month
+3.3%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Nov 29): +6.0% median,
78% of the last 9 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Neutral — RSI(2) at 47
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.01%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 1.08 +3.1% · Seasonal tilt (9y) +0.2%
$81.3B market cap (#324 US)
$790M/day volume
35% volatility
-2% 1-year
-36% from ATH
52-week range · 12% of the way up · -36% from the high
$183.52$310.00
Congressional trades in HWM Full tracker →
7 members · 5 buys / 10 sells · $64K–$310K disclosed · latest filing Sep 15, 2026.
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $50K–$100K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K |
Earnings Full history →
No scheduled report date yet.
1-day std dev
7.1%
Finished up
61%
Biggest pop
+19.0%
Biggest drop
-20.6%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 41 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-29 | 1.37 | — | — | +2.0% | +5.5% | — | |
| 2026-08-06 | beat | 1.25 | 1.33 | +6.7% | +2.6% | -0.6% | -3.0% |
| 2026-05-07 | beat | 1.11 | 1.22 | +10.3% | +7.6% | +6.3% | +6.2% |
| 2026-02-12 | beat | 0.97 | 1.05 | +8.7% | +2.1% | +6.0% | +11.8% |
| 2025-10-30 | beat | 0.91 | 0.95 | +4.5% | -1.2% | -0.8% | +1.1% |
| 2025-07-31 | beat | 0.87 | 0.91 | +4.2% | -2.3% | -6.4% | -5.5% |
| 2025-05-01 | beat | 0.78 | 0.86 | +10.7% | +5.7% | +6.8% | +13.7% |
| 2025-02-13 | beat | 0.72 | 0.74 | +2.8% | -1.9% | +0.0% | +1.4% |
| 2024-11-06 | beat | 0.65 | 0.71 | +8.6% | +8.7% | +12.4% | +13.3% |
| 2024-07-30 | beat | 0.60 | 0.67 | +11.6% | +11.7% | +13.2% | +7.5% |
| 2024-05-02 | beat | 0.52 | 0.57 | +9.8% | +10.8% | +15.5% | +22.8% |
| 2024-02-13 | beat | 0.46 | 0.53 | +14.2% | +2.0% | +5.4% | +8.0% |
| 2023-11-02 | beat | 0.43 | 0.46 | +7.2% | +7.6% | +7.9% | +9.0% |
| 2023-08-01 | beat | 0.43 | 0.44 | +1.6% | -2.8% | -4.2% | -1.3% |
| 2023-05-02 | beat | 0.38 | 0.42 | +11.1% | +2.4% | +1.5% | +1.0% |
| 2023-02-14 | beat | 0.38 | 0.38 | +0.6% | -1.9% | +4.7% | +2.2% |
| 2022-10-31 | beat | 0.36 | 0.36 | +0.4% | -4.1% | -1.7% | +1.2% |
| 2022-08-04 | beat | 0.33 | 0.35 | +6.7% | -1.3% | -0.3% | +2.7% |
| 2022-05-03 | beat | 0.29 | 0.31 | +5.3% | +1.5% | +3.4% | +0.4% |
| 2022-02-02 | beat | 0.29 | 0.30 | +4.1% | +1.5% | +3.1% | +9.0% |
| 2021-11-04 | beat | 0.25 | 0.27 | +6.5% | -0.9% | +1.9% | +5.2% |
| 2021-08-04 | beat | 0.22 | 0.22 | +1.2% | -3.0% | -7.0% | +0.0% |
| 2021-05-06 | beat | 0.19 | 0.22 | +13.3% | -0.7% | -0.4% | +0.0% |
| 2021-02-03 | beat | 0.17 | 0.21 | +23.5% | -3.1% | +2.9% | +8.5% |
| 2020-11-09 | miss | 0.05 | 0.03 | -39.2% | +6.5% | +19.0% | +23.0% |
| 2020-08-06 | beat | 0.06 | 0.12 | +104.8% | -4.7% | +7.5% | +8.7% |
| 2020-05-05 | beat | 0.46 | 0.62 | +34.8% | +4.2% | +2.2% | -6.9% |
| 2020-01-27 | miss | 0.54 | 0.53 | -1.5% | -1.9% | +5.4% | +3.3% |
| 2019-11-05 | beat | 0.52 | 0.58 | +11.5% | -1.8% | +2.5% | +2.5% |
| 2019-08-02 | beat | 0.50 | 0.58 | +15.5% | +5.7% | -2.5% | +3.5% |
| 2019-04-30 | beat | 0.39 | 0.43 | +11.3% | +2.9% | +3.8% | +7.7% |
| 2019-02-08 | beat | 0.30 | 0.33 | +9.6% | +2.4% | -3.3% | -0.7% |
| 2018-10-30 | beat | 0.30 | 0.32 | +7.7% | +1.9% | +2.5% | +8.8% |
| 2018-07-31 | beat | 0.29 | 0.37 | +27.1% | +2.1% | +4.0% | +0.4% |
| 2018-04-30 | beat | 0.32 | 0.34 | +4.8% | -9.6% | -20.6% | -21.8% |
| 2018-02-05 | beat | 0.24 | 0.31 | +31.2% | -5.9% | -8.9% | -14.7% |
| 2017-10-23 | miss | 0.27 | 0.25 | -8.0% | +0.9% | -10.4% | -8.8% |
| 2017-08-01 | miss | 0.43 | 0.32 | -25.6% | -0.5% | -0.9% | -1.8% |
| 2017-07-24 | beat | 0.26 | 0.32 | +21.5% | +2.2% | -0.2% | -1.7% |
| 2017-04-25 | beat | 0.24 | 0.33 | +40.2% | +0.3% | +1.9% | -0.7% |
| 2017-01-31 | beat | 0.11 | 0.12 | +13.8% | +2.1% | +10.9% | +19.8% |
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TRACKER - Halftime Report Final Trades · CNBC
long
228.82
Wed, 23 Sep
Named as a final trade on CNBC’s Halftime Report on 23 September 2026 (named as “Howmet Aerospace”). The price on this post is HWM at the moment the…
Not investment advice.
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