IBModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
-0.1%
Next 1 week
+1.0%
Next 1 month
+2.3%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Nov 28): +1.7% median,
67% of the last 63 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Neutral — RSI(2) at 69
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.01%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 0.83 +2.2% · Seasonal tilt +0.1%
$234.1B market cap (#53 US)
$1.4B/day volume
48% volatility
-19% 1-year
-24% from ATH
52-week range · 41% of the way up · -24% from the high
$199.19$332.46
Congressional trades in IBM Full tracker →
54 members · 125 buys / 108 sells · $1.4M–$6.1M disclosed · latest filing Oct 27, 2026.
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $15K–$50K | |
| SELL | $15K–$50K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $15K–$50K | |
| SELL | $15K–$50K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $50K–$100K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $15K–$50K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $15K–$50K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $15K–$50K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $15K–$50K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $15K–$50K | |
| BUY | $50K–$100K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K |
Showing the 60 most recent filings of 233 — full tracker.
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2027-01-27 (Wednesday, after close, in 90 days) · EPS est. 4.63.
1-day std dev
5.5%
Finished up
38%
Biggest pop
+13.0%
Biggest drop
-9.9%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | beat | 2.87 | 2.95 | +2.7% | -4.1% | +0.3% | — |
| 2026-07-22 | miss | 2.93 | 2.93 | -0.1% | -1.5% | +0.4% | +7.8% |
| 2026-04-22 | beat | 1.81 | 1.91 | +5.5% | -7.8% | -8.3% | -8.3% |
| 2026-01-28 | beat | 4.29 | 4.52 | +5.3% | +8.1% | +5.1% | -1.5% |
| 2025-10-22 | beat | 2.45 | 2.65 | +8.3% | -7.8% | -0.9% | +7.8% |
| 2025-07-23 | beat | 2.65 | 2.80 | +5.5% | -7.4% | -7.6% | -10.2% |
| 2025-04-23 | beat | 1.43 | 1.60 | +12.1% | -5.8% | -6.6% | -2.4% |
| 2025-01-29 | beat | 3.78 | 3.92 | +3.8% | +9.3% | +13.0% | +10.9% |
| 2024-10-23 | beat | 2.23 | 2.30 | +3.3% | -5.1% | -6.2% | -11.2% |
| 2024-07-24 | beat | 2.17 | 2.43 | +11.9% | +1.5% | +4.3% | +3.1% |
| 2024-04-24 | beat | 1.60 | 1.68 | +5.2% | -8.6% | -8.3% | -10.5% |
| 2024-01-24 | beat | 3.80 | 3.87 | +1.9% | +6.3% | +9.5% | +7.5% |
| 2023-10-25 | beat | 2.13 | 2.20 | +3.5% | +3.7% | +4.9% | +7.2% |
| 2023-07-19 | beat | 2.00 | 2.18 | +8.9% | +1.3% | +2.1% | +5.5% |
| 2023-04-19 | beat | 1.24 | 1.36 | +9.7% | +3.0% | +0.0% | +0.5% |
| 2023-01-25 | miss | 3.61 | 3.60 | -0.3% | -2.3% | -4.5% | -3.1% |
| 2022-10-19 | beat | 1.80 | 1.81 | +0.7% | +3.1% | +4.7% | +10.0% |
| 2022-07-18 | beat | 2.29 | 2.31 | +0.9% | -4.7% | -5.2% | -7.3% |
| 2022-04-19 | miss | 1.42 | 1.40 | -1.5% | +4.5% | +7.1% | +4.6% |
| 2022-01-24 | beat | 3.29 | 3.35 | +1.9% | +0.2% | +5.7% | +5.2% |
| 2021-10-20 | beat | 2.51 | 2.52 | +0.2% | -5.9% | -9.6% | -11.3% |
| 2021-07-19 | beat | 2.29 | 2.33 | +1.8% | +3.7% | +1.5% | +3.5% |
| 2021-04-19 | beat | 1.65 | 1.77 | +7.1% | +3.0% | +3.8% | +6.7% |
| 2021-01-21 | beat | 1.88 | 2.07 | +10.4% | -8.3% | -9.9% | -9.5% |
| 2020-10-19 | beat | 2.58 | 2.58 | +0.0% | -4.6% | -6.5% | -11.9% |
| 2020-07-20 | beat | 2.09 | 2.18 | +4.5% | +3.8% | -0.2% | -1.5% |
| 2020-04-20 | beat | 1.80 | 1.84 | +2.2% | -5.3% | -3.0% | +4.9% |
| 2020-01-21 | beat | 4.69 | 4.71 | +0.3% | +3.0% | +3.4% | -1.1% |
| 2019-10-16 | beat | 2.66 | 2.68 | +0.8% | -5.0% | -5.5% | -5.7% |
| 2019-07-17 | beat | 3.07 | 3.17 | +3.2% | -0.4% | +4.6% | +5.1% |
| 2019-04-16 | beat | 2.24 | 2.25 | +0.6% | -5.4% | -4.2% | -4.5% |
| 2019-01-22 | beat | 4.82 | 4.87 | +1.1% | +7.2% | +8.5% | +9.7% |
| 2018-10-16 | beat | 3.40 | 3.42 | +0.5% | -6.4% | -7.6% | -12.3% |
| 2018-07-18 | beat | 3.04 | 3.08 | +1.4% | +2.3% | +3.3% | +1.5% |
| 2018-04-17 | beat | 2.42 | 2.45 | +1.4% | -5.5% | -7.5% | -9.3% |
| 2018-01-18 | beat | 5.17 | 5.18 | +0.2% | -2.8% | -4.0% | -1.1% |
| 2017-10-17 | beat | 3.28 | 3.30 | +0.7% | +7.2% | +8.9% | +4.7% |
| 2017-07-18 | beat | 2.74 | 2.97 | +8.2% | -2.6% | -4.2% | -5.6% |
| 2017-04-18 | beat | 2.35 | 2.38 | +1.4% | -4.9% | -4.9% | -5.9% |
| 2017-01-19 | beat | 4.88 | 5.01 | +2.7% | +0.6% | +2.2% | +6.3% |
| 2016-10-17 | beat | 3.23 | 3.29 | +1.8% | -3.1% | -2.6% | -2.5% |
| 2016-07-18 | beat | 2.88 | 2.95 | +2.4% | +1.2% | -0.2% | +1.4% |
| 2016-04-18 | beat | 2.17 | 2.35 | +8.2% | -4.0% | -5.6% | -2.3% |
| 2016-01-19 | beat | 4.81 | 4.84 | +0.6% | -7.5% | -4.9% | -5.6% |
| 2015-10-19 | beat | 3.30 | 3.34 | +1.1% | -4.5% | -5.8% | -7.6% |
| 2015-07-20 | beat | 3.79 | 3.84 | +1.3% | -5.1% | -5.9% | -7.6% |
| 2015-04-20 | beat | 2.84 | 2.91 | +2.5% | -0.1% | -1.1% | +4.7% |
| 2015-01-20 | beat | 5.41 | 5.81 | +7.3% | -2.5% | -3.1% | -3.4% |
| 2014-10-20 | miss | 4.32 | 3.54 | -18.0% | -8.3% | -7.1% | -11.1% |
| 2014-07-17 | beat | 4.31 | 4.32 | +0.2% | -0.3% | +0.0% | +1.0% |
| 2014-04-16 | miss | 2.54 | 2.54 | -0.2% | -4.7% | -3.3% | -3.4% |
| 2014-01-21 | beat | 6.00 | 6.13 | +2.1% | -3.8% | -3.3% | -6.4% |
| 2013-10-16 | beat | 3.96 | 3.99 | +0.8% | -6.9% | -6.4% | -4.8% |
| 2013-07-17 | beat | 3.79 | 3.91 | +3.3% | +1.9% | +1.8% | +1.4% |
| 2013-04-18 | miss | 3.05 | 3.00 | -1.7% | -5.5% | -8.3% | -6.2% |
| 2013-01-22 | beat | 5.25 | 5.39 | +2.7% | +3.8% | +4.4% | +3.8% |
| 2012-10-16 | beat | 3.61 | 3.62 | +0.2% | -4.6% | -4.9% | -9.6% |
| 2012-07-18 | beat | 3.43 | 3.51 | +2.5% | +2.7% | +3.8% | +3.0% |
| 2012-04-17 | beat | 2.65 | 2.78 | +4.8% | -2.4% | -3.5% | -1.9% |
| 2012-01-19 | beat | 4.62 | 4.71 | +1.9% | +2.9% | +4.4% | +5.5% |
Posted about IBM
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TRACKER - Lloyd Doggett · Congress
long
222.71
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TRACKER - Gilbert Cisneros · Congress
long
235.78
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TRACKER - Lloyd Doggett · Congress
long
306.13
Tue, 07 Jul
Lloyd Doggett's trade date was 10 June 2026 — a disclosed purchase of $1,001–$15,000. But a Periodic Transaction Report gives a date and a size band,…
TRACKER - Maria Elvira Salazar · Congress
long
277.49
Tue, 09 Jun
Maria Elvira Salazar's trade date was 21 May 2026 — a disclosed purchase of $15,001–$50,000. But a Periodic Transaction Report gives a date and a…
TRACKER - Gilbert Cisneros · Congress
long
223.55
Mon, 11 May
Gilbert Cisneros's trade date was 14 April 2026 — a disclosed purchase of $15,001–$50,000. But a Periodic Transaction Report gives a date and a size…
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