IEModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+1.5%
Next 1 week
+1.3%
Next 1 month
+5.4%
Seasonality
Weak window historically
Next 30 days (to Dec 3): -3.1% median,
41% of the last 27 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Deeply oversold — RSI(2) at 4
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.43%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 2.86 +6.7% · Seasonal tilt -1.3%
$110M/day volume
75% volatility
+1% 1-year
-52% from ATH
52-week range · 11% of the way up · -52% from the high
$170.07$408.26
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-20 (Friday, before open, in 17 days) · EPS est. 2.81.
1-day std dev
13.7%
Finished up
50%
Biggest pop
+30.3%
Biggest drop
-19.9%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 8 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 | beat | 2.42 | 3.79 | +56.7% | +18.6% | +30.3% | +33.4% |
| 2026-05-01 | beat | 1.98 | 2.72 | +37.7% | +0.3% | +1.8% | +3.5% |
| 2026-01-30 | beat | 1.97 | 2.26 | +14.5% | -10.3% | -19.9% | -3.9% |
| 2025-11-21 | beat | 1.56 | 2.50 | +60.5% | +0.8% | +3.7% | +12.9% |
| 2025-08-01 | beat | 1.78 | 1.91 | +7.3% | -2.0% | -0.8% | -2.0% |
| 2011-08-15 | beat | -0.18 | -0.03 | +83.6% | +0.0% | -0.3% | -8.7% |
| 2011-05-16 | miss | -0.26 | -0.32 | -21.2% | +0.0% | +4.3% | -1.8% |
| 2011-02-09 | beat | -0.34 | -0.24 | +29.4% | +2.1% | -0.2% | -12.2% |
Not investment advice.
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