IFModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.2%
Next 1 week
-0.5%
Next 1 month
+1.7%
Mean reversion
Deeply oversold — RSI(2) at 0
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.17%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 0.73 +1.7% · Seasonal tilt (6y) -0.1%
$9M/day volume
33% volatility
+8% 1-year
-24% from ATH
52-week range · 36% of the way up · -24% from the high
$38.29$61.38
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-09 (Monday, after close, in 7 days) · EPS est. 4.89.
1-day std dev
4.3%
Finished up
54%
Biggest pop
+8.3%
Biggest drop
-6.3%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 28 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-11 | beat | 4.91 | 5.26 | +7.1% | +1.5% | -4.0% | -5.7% |
| 2026-05-10 | beat | 4.76 | 5.39 | +13.2% | -0.2% | +2.1% | +4.9% |
| 2026-02-12 | beat | 3.71 | 4.00 | +7.8% | -1.2% | -4.3% | -2.0% |
| 2025-11-06 | miss | 3.97 | 3.95 | -0.6% | -4.4% | -3.8% | -9.1% |
| 2025-08-10 | beat | 3.85 | 5.14 | +33.4% | +0.8% | +5.5% | +1.9% |
| 2025-05-08 | beat | 3.27 | 3.92 | +19.9% | +3.0% | -0.5% | +3.3% |
| 2025-02-05 | beat | 3.50 | 4.25 | +21.3% | +3.0% | +4.6% | +6.0% |
| 2024-11-13 | beat | 2.90 | 3.38 | +16.6% | -0.3% | +3.1% | +6.6% |
| 2024-08-15 | beat | 2.11 | 2.48 | +17.4% | +0.8% | +3.0% | +5.3% |
| 2024-05-12 | miss | 2.02 | 1.22 | -39.5% | -0.1% | -5.4% | +0.0% |
| 2024-02-13 | beat | 0.96 | 2.49 | +159.7% | +0.2% | +5.5% | +24.2% |
| 2023-11-09 | miss | 2.35 | 1.69 | -28.1% | -4.0% | -2.1% | -1.3% |
| 2023-08-10 | miss | 3.42 | 2.85 | -16.7% | +0.9% | -2.8% | -6.9% |
| 2023-05-09 | miss | 3.46 | 2.30 | -33.5% | -0.3% | +2.7% | -3.0% |
| 2023-02-14 | miss | 3.97 | 3.47 | -12.7% | +0.5% | -2.1% | +2.8% |
| 2022-11-10 | miss | 3.61 | 3.39 | -6.2% | +2.6% | +7.3% | -4.7% |
| 2022-08-16 | miss | 3.59 | 2.16 | -39.8% | +1.9% | +0.0% | -8.5% |
| 2022-05-13 | miss | 3.48 | 3.47 | -0.3% | -0.5% | +3.0% | +6.6% |
| 2022-02-11 | miss | 2.68 | 2.26 | -15.6% | -0.2% | -2.6% | -2.6% |
| 2021-11-09 | beat | 2.99 | 4.76 | +59.0% | -7.8% | -6.3% | -10.5% |
| 2021-08-11 | beat | 3.10 | 3.93 | +27.0% | +2.5% | +3.5% | +3.1% |
| 2021-05-11 | beat | 2.44 | 4.56 | +86.8% | +1.0% | +8.3% | +2.8% |
| 2021-02-11 | beat | 2.34 | 3.14 | +34.1% | +1.3% | +5.5% | +9.1% |
| 2020-11-12 | beat | 0.92 | 2.84 | +207.3% | +0.0% | +6.1% | +28.1% |
| 2020-08-12 | miss | 1.37 | -3.18 | -331.6% | +0.3% | +6.2% | +3.5% |
| 2020-05-12 | miss | 2.96 | 1.24 | -58.0% | +1.0% | -4.8% | -6.9% |
| 2020-02-14 | beat | 2.90 | 3.82 | +31.7% | +0.3% | +2.3% | +0.4% |
| 2019-11-13 | miss | 3.02 | 3.02 | -0.0% | -0.5% | -1.4% | -2.9% |
Not investment advice.
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