IMModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.4%
Next 1 week
+2.0%
Next 1 month
+3.2%
Seasonality
Weak window historically
Next 30 days (to Dec 2): -4.8% median,
36% of the last 11 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Neutral — RSI(2) at 27
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.05%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 1.58 +3.8% · Seasonal tilt (11y) -0.6%
$3M/day volume
82% volatility
-6% 1-year
52-week range · 20% of the way up · -57% from the high
$5.06$17.43
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-13 (Friday, before open, in 11 days) · EPS est. -0.95.
1-day std dev
9.7%
Finished up
48%
Biggest pop
+24.4%
Biggest drop
-16.0%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 29 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-11 | beat | -1.16 | -0.80 | +31.3% | +0.9% | +9.8% | +19.9% |
| 2026-05-13 | miss | -0.96 | -1.08 | -12.8% | -3.3% | +8.8% | -2.9% |
| 2026-02-26 | beat | -1.11 | -0.70 | +37.0% | +1.5% | +4.2% | +22.0% |
| 2025-11-13 | beat | -1.77 | -1.30 | +26.4% | +2.6% | -6.2% | -9.5% |
| 2025-08-07 | miss | -1.58 | -2.00 | -26.3% | -0.4% | -7.9% | -6.3% |
| 2025-05-15 | miss | -2.40 | -2.50 | -4.2% | +0.4% | -3.5% | -7.8% |
| 2025-03-31 | miss | -2.38 | -2.50 | -4.9% | -1.7% | -9.2% | -21.4% |
| 2024-11-07 | miss | -2.18 | -2.40 | -9.9% | -0.8% | +0.0% | -7.6% |
| 2024-08-08 | beat | -2.33 | -2.10 | +9.7% | -6.0% | +14.5% | +15.4% |
| 2024-05-08 | miss | -2.65 | -3.00 | -13.2% | -2.9% | -8.0% | -6.2% |
| 2024-02-22 | beat | -5.40 | -4.80 | +11.1% | +1.6% | -4.7% | +14.5% |
| 2023-11-14 | miss | -5.07 | -5.10 | -0.5% | +4.2% | +2.2% | +9.9% |
| 2023-08-03 | miss | -5.12 | -5.40 | -5.4% | -1.4% | -1.4% | -13.0% |
| 2023-05-11 | miss | -4.80 | -5.80 | -20.8% | +1.1% | +1.7% | -1.1% |
| 2023-02-23 | beat | -7.42 | -5.88 | +20.8% | -2.1% | +4.2% | +4.8% |
| 2022-11-03 | beat | -6.95 | -6.90 | +0.7% | +0.6% | -7.6% | -11.7% |
| 2022-08-04 | beat | -7.30 | -7.20 | +1.4% | +0.5% | +23.1% | +26.5% |
| 2022-05-10 | beat | -7.57 | -7.40 | +2.3% | +5.4% | +5.4% | +24.7% |
| 2022-02-24 | miss | -7.58 | -8.06 | -6.3% | -5.0% | -9.2% | -4.4% |
| 2021-11-04 | miss | -7.52 | -7.60 | -1.1% | -0.4% | +2.6% | +0.6% |
| 2021-08-06 | miss | -6.67 | -8.20 | -23.0% | +0.2% | +14.7% | +17.5% |
| 2021-05-06 | miss | -6.85 | -8.14 | -18.8% | -1.3% | -16.0% | -7.4% |
| 2021-02-26 | beat | -5.97 | -4.60 | +22.9% | -0.8% | +2.0% | -4.2% |
| 2020-11-05 | miss | -6.47 | -7.00 | -8.2% | -2.9% | -2.3% | +7.9% |
| 2020-08-02 | miss | -7.27 | -9.00 | -23.9% | -9.1% | -11.7% | -11.3% |
| 2020-05-08 | beat | -9.55 | -7.90 | +17.3% | -1.1% | +1.7% | +16.4% |
| 2020-03-16 | beat | -7.60 | -7.50 | +1.3% | +16.6% | +24.4% | +36.0% |
| 2019-11-07 | miss | -6.50 | -8.20 | -26.1% | -1.8% | -4.2% | -5.8% |
| 2019-08-08 | miss | -6.80 | -15.20 | -123.5% | -2.4% | -1.2% | +2.7% |
Not investment advice.
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