IMModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.1%
Next 1 week
+0.4%
Next 1 month
+0.2%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Dec 3): +2.9% median,
62% of the last 8 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Overbought — RSI(2) at 88
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.10%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 0.09 +0.2% · Seasonal tilt (8y) +0.0%
$6M/day volume
39% volatility
-36% 1-year
-66% from ATH
52-week range · 16% of the way up · -40% from the high
$8.32$15.95
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-09 (Monday, after close, in 7 days) · EPS est. 0.22.
1-day std dev
14.6%
Finished up
56%
Biggest pop
+60.6%
Biggest drop
-20.2%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 32 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-10 | miss | 0.35 | 0.23 | -34.3% | +2.5% | -1.6% | +22.8% |
| 2026-05-11 | miss | 0.35 | 0.13 | -63.2% | +0.0% | -0.4% | -3.3% |
| 2026-03-06 | miss | 0.44 | 0.42 | -3.8% | -0.3% | +0.1% | +0.0% |
| 2025-11-10 | miss | 0.53 | 0.38 | -28.7% | -0.1% | -0.3% | -0.6% |
| 2025-08-11 | beat | 0.50 | 0.51 | +1.7% | +64.0% | +60.6% | +55.6% |
| 2025-05-07 | miss | 0.42 | 0.35 | -15.8% | -13.6% | -15.6% | -8.9% |
| 2025-02-26 | miss | 0.60 | 0.57 | -4.9% | -16.0% | -16.7% | -22.3% |
| 2024-11-08 | beat | 0.58 | 0.61 | +4.7% | +8.5% | +11.9% | +12.8% |
| 2024-08-07 | miss | 0.57 | 0.55 | -3.0% | -17.9% | -20.2% | -24.7% |
| 2024-05-08 | beat | 0.40 | 0.43 | +6.8% | +4.8% | +2.2% | +4.2% |
| 2024-02-27 | beat | 0.52 | 0.56 | +6.8% | -7.4% | -7.4% | -7.4% |
| 2023-11-07 | beat | 0.50 | 0.51 | +2.3% | +5.0% | +11.3% | +21.6% |
| 2023-08-02 | miss | 0.52 | 0.50 | -3.9% | -15.7% | -19.0% | -26.0% |
| 2023-05-04 | miss | 0.39 | 0.38 | -2.1% | -1.2% | -1.6% | -5.5% |
| 2023-03-08 | beat | 0.43 | 0.46 | +6.4% | -0.2% | -2.6% | -5.6% |
| 2022-11-09 | beat | 0.45 | 0.54 | +19.5% | -0.1% | -15.4% | -18.1% |
| 2022-08-03 | beat | 0.43 | 0.47 | +8.3% | +0.0% | +0.2% | +1.8% |
| 2022-05-04 | beat | 0.32 | 0.34 | +6.9% | +0.7% | +7.8% | -0.4% |
| 2022-03-07 | beat | 0.29 | 0.40 | +39.9% | +9.5% | +7.6% | +14.4% |
| 2021-11-03 | beat | 0.34 | 0.40 | +17.1% | +5.8% | +3.5% | +0.0% |
| 2021-08-04 | beat | 0.33 | 0.39 | +19.6% | +1.8% | +2.5% | +8.6% |
| 2021-05-05 | 0.27 | 0.27 | — | +0.1% | -4.5% | -10.2% | |
| 2021-03-10 | beat | 0.27 | 0.30 | +11.9% | +1.9% | +8.0% | +6.5% |
| 2020-11-04 | beat | 0.29 | 0.32 | +9.1% | -2.3% | +4.0% | +7.9% |
| 2020-08-04 | beat | 0.19 | 0.28 | +45.1% | +9.2% | +16.5% | +19.5% |
| 2020-04-30 | beat | 0.17 | 0.20 | +19.3% | +6.8% | +23.8% | +24.8% |
| 2020-03-09 | beat | 0.20 | 0.20 | +1.1% | -16.0% | +1.3% | -11.0% |
| 2019-11-11 | beat | 0.21 | 0.25 | +19.1% | +5.9% | -9.3% | -10.1% |
| 2019-08-08 | beat | 0.19 | 0.26 | +39.8% | +5.5% | +3.2% | +2.3% |
| 2019-05-15 | miss | 0.14 | 0.09 | -35.7% | -7.9% | -1.9% | +10.3% |
| 2019-03-12 | beat | 0.11 | 0.15 | +33.8% | +2.2% | +3.5% | -5.2% |
| 2018-11-13 | miss | 0.06 | -0.07 | -225.1% | +0.0% | +1.8% | -3.7% |
Not investment advice.
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