IPModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
-0.1%
Next 1 week
-0.2%
Next 1 month
+0.9%
Seasonality
Mildly positive window
Next 30 days (to Nov 30): +1.9% median,
51% of the last 37 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Overbought — RSI(2) at 84
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.28%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 0.35 +0.9% · Seasonal tilt -0.0%
$23M/day volume
30% volatility
+27% 1-year
-28% from ATH
52-week range · 75% of the way up · -10% from the high
$77.21$129.29
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-04 (Wednesday, after close, in 4 days) · EPS est. 1.89.
1-day std dev
4.7%
Finished up
45%
Biggest pop
+9.1%
Biggest drop
-12.7%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 | miss | 0.97 | 0.95 | -2.1% | -3.3% | -4.0% | -8.1% |
| 2026-05-05 | beat | 1.18 | 1.35 | +14.4% | +4.7% | +3.4% | -3.2% |
| 2026-02-24 | beat | 0.78 | 0.88 | +12.8% | -0.6% | -1.3% | -8.6% |
| 2025-11-05 | beat | 1.93 | 2.05 | +6.2% | -1.3% | -3.8% | -4.1% |
| 2025-08-05 | miss | 1.08 | 0.99 | -8.1% | -1.9% | +1.8% | -0.2% |
| 2025-05-05 | beat | 1.09 | 1.32 | +21.1% | -1.5% | +8.7% | +13.0% |
| 2025-02-25 | beat | 0.79 | 0.84 | +6.6% | +0.3% | +3.9% | -4.3% |
| 2024-11-06 | beat | 1.90 | 1.93 | +1.8% | +2.0% | -1.7% | +2.1% |
| 2024-08-06 | beat | 1.02 | 1.14 | +11.4% | +4.5% | +1.9% | -5.2% |
| 2024-05-07 | miss | 1.61 | 1.27 | -21.1% | -3.8% | -3.9% | +0.9% |
| 2024-02-27 | miss | 0.33 | 0.32 | -3.2% | -2.3% | -5.5% | -8.8% |
| 2023-11-07 | beat | 1.26 | 1.66 | +31.8% | +0.4% | +0.5% | +1.7% |
| 2023-08-08 | beat | 0.84 | 1.09 | +29.8% | -1.1% | -7.9% | -9.9% |
| 2023-05-08 | beat | 1.43 | 1.68 | +17.5% | -0.6% | -12.0% | -11.0% |
| 2023-02-28 | beat | 0.34 | 0.71 | +109.7% | +7.1% | +9.1% | +12.9% |
| 2022-11-09 | beat | 0.99 | 1.30 | +31.3% | +0.5% | +3.8% | +10.7% |
| 2022-08-09 | miss | 0.97 | 0.86 | -10.9% | -1.9% | -3.6% | +0.2% |
| 2022-05-10 | beat | 0.97 | 1.10 | +14.0% | -0.1% | -12.7% | -10.1% |
| 2022-03-01 | beat | -0.16 | -0.04 | +75.8% | -0.9% | +1.4% | -8.3% |
| 2021-11-08 | beat | 0.67 | 1.20 | +80.5% | -4.0% | +0.0% | +1.7% |
| 2021-08-09 | beat | 0.47 | 0.71 | +52.7% | -0.3% | -1.9% | -10.1% |
| 2021-05-10 | beat | 0.59 | 0.87 | +47.5% | -5.0% | -2.4% | +2.8% |
| 2021-03-01 | beat | 0.44 | 0.47 | +6.0% | +0.8% | -4.1% | -4.1% |
| 2020-11-09 | beat | 0.46 | 0.52 | +14.3% | +1.3% | +4.0% | +6.9% |
| 2020-08-10 | beat | -0.16 | -0.10 | +38.5% | -11.8% | -1.2% | -1.7% |
| 2020-05-11 | miss | 0.41 | 0.32 | -21.0% | +1.5% | -6.0% | -5.9% |
| 2020-03-02 | beat | 0.25 | 0.26 | +2.2% | -3.0% | -8.0% | -11.2% |
| 2019-11-05 | miss | 0.67 | 0.66 | -0.9% | -2.0% | -0.6% | -2.0% |
| 2019-08-05 | beat | 0.38 | 0.39 | +2.3% | -2.2% | +2.7% | +2.9% |
| 2019-05-06 | beat | 0.57 | 0.60 | +5.6% | -0.5% | -4.7% | -6.6% |
| 2019-03-04 | beat | 0.24 | 0.26 | +8.3% | +6.5% | +2.1% | +3.6% |
| 2018-11-05 | beat | 0.59 | 0.60 | +1.7% | +2.9% | +0.9% | -4.9% |
| 2018-08-07 | beat | 0.27 | 0.35 | +31.1% | +0.9% | +2.1% | +0.9% |
| 2018-05-08 | beat | 0.51 | 0.51 | +1.0% | -7.5% | -7.4% | -0.1% |
| 2018-03-13 | beat | 0.11 | 0.14 | +27.7% | +3.2% | +1.1% | +1.4% |
| 2017-11-08 | beat | 0.50 | 0.55 | +11.0% | -0.4% | -3.6% | -6.0% |
| 2017-08-07 | beat | 0.20 | 0.22 | +10.8% | -0.3% | +1.6% | +0.7% |
| 2017-05-09 | beat | 0.37 | 0.43 | +15.8% | +0.0% | -3.9% | -6.4% |
| 2017-03-13 | beat | 0.12 | 0.15 | +31.3% | +9.7% | +3.0% | +9.0% |
| 2016-11-08 | beat | 0.50 | 0.52 | +3.2% | -6.4% | +2.2% | +4.6% |
| 2016-08-09 | beat | 0.17 | 0.19 | +15.0% | +1.9% | +0.9% | +1.1% |
| 2016-05-10 | miss | 0.31 | 0.28 | -10.9% | -5.0% | -6.4% | -6.7% |
| 2016-03-14 | miss | 0.07 | 0.06 | -12.7% | -0.1% | -2.4% | +11.4% |
| 2015-11-09 | beat | 0.38 | 0.46 | +19.7% | +8.0% | +3.0% | -2.2% |
| 2015-08-07 | miss | 0.18 | 0.14 | -20.1% | -6.9% | -6.2% | -4.8% |
| 2015-05-11 | beat | 0.28 | 0.32 | +15.7% | +3.4% | +5.4% | +3.4% |
| 2015-03-11 | beat | 0.09 | 0.11 | +15.9% | +1.7% | +7.1% | +13.8% |
| 2014-11-10 | miss | 0.36 | 0.36 | -1.1% | +0.5% | -0.2% | -13.2% |
| 2014-08-11 | miss | 0.22 | 0.20 | -8.4% | -3.0% | +2.6% | +2.5% |
| 2014-05-07 | miss | 0.32 | 0.29 | -8.2% | -9.8% | -10.2% | -17.2% |
| 2014-03-11 | beat | -0.17 | -0.13 | +22.0% | -5.5% | -2.9% | +3.8% |
| 2013-11-06 | beat | 0.09 | 0.25 | +188.1% | +0.8% | -2.8% | +4.7% |
| 2013-08-07 | beat | 0.08 | 0.12 | +52.4% | +0.2% | -5.3% | -11.8% |
| 2013-05-08 | beat | 0.63 | 1.03 | +64.1% | +6.9% | +0.2% | +4.6% |
| 2013-03-12 | beat | 0.18 | 0.25 | +41.8% | +0.3% | -5.3% | -3.9% |
| 2012-11-07 | beat | 0.30 | 0.33 | +8.2% | +13.1% | -1.7% | -6.7% |
| 2012-08-08 | beat | 0.20 | 0.20 | +1.2% | +5.0% | +3.6% | +1.0% |
| 2012-05-09 | beat | 0.39 | 0.51 | +31.7% | +1.2% | +1.2% | -1.7% |
| 2012-03-12 | beat | 0.15 | 0.15 | +4.2% | -1.5% | -0.2% | -5.1% |
| 2011-11-09 | beat | 0.27 | 0.34 | +27.1% | +6.2% | +3.5% | -8.9% |
Not investment advice.
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