IRModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
-0.0%
Next 1 week
+0.6%
Next 1 month
+2.4%
Seasonality
Weak window historically
Next 30 days (to Dec 2): -4.6% median,
30% of the last 20 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Neutral — RSI(2) at 79
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.42%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 1.15 +2.8% · Seasonal tilt -0.4%
$6M/day volume
82% volatility
+88% 1-year
52-week range · 37% of the way up · -48% from the high
$1.70$7.07
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-11 (Wednesday, before open, in 9 days) · EPS est. -0.15.
1-day std dev
6.8%
Finished up
39%
Biggest pop
+8.0%
Biggest drop
-21.1%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 23 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 | beat | -0.16 | -0.08 | +49.3% | -1.1% | -1.6% | -1.6% |
| 2026-05-12 | miss | -0.14 | -0.75 | -448.8% | -1.8% | +1.2% | -16.8% |
| 2026-03-10 | miss | -0.10 | -0.21 | -110.0% | +0.0% | +1.7% | +0.6% |
| 2025-11-12 | miss | -0.13 | -0.25 | -92.3% | -2.5% | -2.5% | -5.6% |
| 2025-08-13 | beat | -0.26 | -0.12 | +53.9% | -4.5% | +7.3% | +4.5% |
| 2025-05-15 | miss | -0.20 | -0.24 | -17.1% | +3.2% | +0.0% | +6.3% |
| 2025-03-31 | beat | -0.34 | -0.23 | +32.4% | -4.0% | -3.0% | -15.8% |
| 2024-11-12 | miss | -0.23 | -0.29 | -27.9% | -4.3% | -2.6% | -24.8% |
| 2024-08-13 | miss | -0.28 | -0.30 | -5.3% | -3.6% | -21.1% | -20.5% |
| 2024-05-10 | miss | -0.14 | -0.29 | -102.3% | +1.7% | -2.3% | +4.1% |
| 2024-03-08 | miss | -0.05 | -0.21 | -320.0% | +0.5% | +5.0% | -3.0% |
| 2023-11-13 | beat | -0.23 | 0.25 | +208.7% | +2.5% | +1.8% | +2.5% |
| 2023-08-11 | miss | -0.24 | -0.24 | -1.1% | +3.9% | +1.9% | -2.9% |
| 2023-05-15 | miss | -0.15 | -0.28 | -86.7% | +1.0% | -16.7% | -32.5% |
| 2023-03-30 | beat | 1.00 | 1.69 | +68.2% | +0.3% | -2.1% | +40.2% |
| 2022-11-04 | beat | -0.29 | -0.22 | +24.7% | -0.9% | -5.0% | +23.3% |
| 2022-08-12 | beat | -0.33 | -0.25 | +24.7% | -2.2% | -9.0% | -8.6% |
| 2022-05-13 | -0.35 | -0.35 | — | -2.5% | +8.0% | +1.0% | |
| 2022-03-24 | beat | -0.29 | -0.18 | +37.5% | +0.7% | +5.3% | -25.4% |
| 2021-11-12 | beat | -0.36 | -0.25 | +31.2% | +3.3% | +1.0% | -8.1% |
| 2021-08-12 | miss | -0.41 | -0.52 | -25.8% | -4.0% | -4.4% | -16.7% |
| 2021-05-07 | beat | -0.83 | -0.47 | +43.1% | +0.4% | -4.3% | -1.3% |
| 2021-03-11 | miss | -0.42 | -4.00 | -852.9% | -0.9% | -2.7% | -15.2% |
Not investment advice.
Continue with Google