IRModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.5%
Next 1 week
+1.0%
Next 1 month
+2.2%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Nov 29): +8.2% median,
64% of the last 11 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Deeply oversold — RSI(2) at 9
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.08%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 0.67 +1.9% · Seasonal tilt (11y) +0.3%
$9M/day volume
32% volatility
-2% 1-year
-29% from ATH
52-week range · 3% of the way up · -29% from the high
$75.75$107.90
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-10-30 (Friday, before open, in 0 days) · EPS est. 0.55.
1-day std dev
9.2%
Finished up
67%
Biggest pop
+33.3%
Biggest drop
-20.1%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 49 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 | beat | 0.44 | 0.46 | +4.5% | +2.7% | -4.6% | -2.9% |
| 2026-05-01 | beat | 0.45 | 0.49 | +10.1% | -2.7% | +4.4% | +3.4% |
| 2026-02-10 | beat | 0.48 | 0.54 | +12.5% | +3.5% | +9.6% | +5.7% |
| 2025-11-03 | beat | 0.46 | 0.47 | +3.3% | +7.1% | +9.5% | +12.1% |
| 2025-08-01 | beat | 0.44 | 0.49 | +12.6% | +7.6% | +13.4% | +19.9% |
| 2025-05-05 | beat | 0.41 | 0.42 | +2.4% | +0.8% | -2.2% | -1.7% |
| 2025-02-13 | miss | 0.41 | 0.40 | -2.4% | -4.2% | -8.4% | -7.0% |
| 2024-10-31 | beat | 0.39 | 0.43 | +11.7% | +2.0% | -6.9% | +5.4% |
| 2024-08-01 | beat | 0.37 | 0.42 | +15.1% | +2.2% | -1.2% | -6.0% |
| 2024-05-02 | beat | 0.34 | 0.36 | +7.5% | +1.4% | +4.4% | +1.7% |
| 2024-02-08 | beat | 0.38 | 0.39 | +2.6% | -1.4% | +0.0% | +0.5% |
| 2023-11-03 | beat | 0.37 | 0.43 | +17.8% | +6.1% | +9.9% | -3.5% |
| 2023-08-03 | beat | 0.31 | 0.36 | +18.0% | +5.4% | +10.2% | +8.6% |
| 2023-05-04 | beat | 0.27 | 0.30 | +13.2% | +2.0% | +7.1% | +7.0% |
| 2023-02-02 | beat | 0.31 | 0.32 | +3.2% | +5.0% | +12.5% | -5.8% |
| 2022-11-03 | beat | 0.24 | 0.29 | +20.8% | -4.0% | +6.7% | +10.2% |
| 2022-07-29 | beat | 0.24 | 0.26 | +8.3% | -0.6% | +6.9% | -5.1% |
| 2022-04-29 | beat | 0.21 | 0.22 | +4.8% | -7.7% | -20.1% | -24.2% |
| 2022-02-04 | beat | 0.21 | 0.33 | +57.1% | +6.6% | +23.7% | +26.1% |
| 2021-10-29 | beat | 0.17 | 0.23 | +35.3% | +1.1% | +3.1% | +5.2% |
| 2021-07-30 | miss | 0.15 | 0.14 | -6.7% | -0.1% | -2.4% | +5.3% |
| 2021-04-30 | beat | 0.09 | 0.13 | +44.4% | -5.1% | +3.5% | +8.6% |
| 2021-02-04 | miss | 0.09 | 0.07 | -22.2% | -1.0% | -4.3% | -4.4% |
| 2020-10-30 | beat | 0.05 | 0.11 | +120.0% | +4.3% | +3.2% | -0.4% |
| 2020-07-30 | beat | -0.04 | 0.05 | +225.0% | +1.3% | +0.1% | -4.6% |
| 2020-04-30 | beat | 0.12 | 0.18 | +50.0% | +2.3% | +1.2% | -5.4% |
| 2020-02-06 | beat | 0.20 | 0.30 | +50.0% | +4.9% | +5.0% | +1.4% |
| 2019-10-30 | beat | 0.15 | 0.23 | +53.3% | +2.6% | +5.7% | -4.7% |
| 2019-07-30 | beat | 0.15 | 0.20 | +33.3% | +10.6% | +33.3% | +19.1% |
| 2019-04-30 | 0.13 | 0.13 | — | -2.9% | -14.0% | -19.3% | |
| 2019-02-06 | beat | 0.13 | 0.16 | +23.1% | +0.1% | +1.8% | -2.3% |
| 2018-10-30 | beat | 0.10 | 0.14 | +40.0% | +0.6% | +7.9% | +10.3% |
| 2018-07-31 | beat | 0.10 | 0.14 | +40.0% | -2.4% | +0.4% | +13.5% |
| 2018-04-30 | beat | 0.06 | 0.10 | +66.7% | +6.3% | +10.1% | +15.1% |
| 2018-02-06 | beat | 0.06 | 0.10 | +81.8% | -0.3% | -3.7% | -9.3% |
| 2017-10-30 | beat | 0.03 | 0.07 | +133.3% | -2.4% | +8.5% | +7.9% |
| 2017-07-28 | beat | 0.01 | 0.06 | +500.0% | +1.8% | +16.7% | +14.9% |
| 2017-04-28 | miss | 0.01 | — | -100.0% | -5.1% | -2.8% | -4.5% |
| 2017-02-06 | beat | 0.04 | 0.11 | +214.3% | +5.1% | -1.1% | -3.4% |
| 2016-10-28 | beat | 0.11 | 0.14 | +27.3% | +2.7% | +3.8% | -0.5% |
| 2016-07-29 | beat | 0.21 | 0.24 | +14.3% | +1.8% | +4.3% | -0.8% |
| 2016-04-29 | beat | 0.18 | 0.21 | +16.7% | +6.7% | +3.9% | +5.3% |
| 2016-02-05 | beat | 0.19 | 0.22 | +15.8% | -0.4% | -19.7% | -10.7% |
| 2015-10-30 | miss | 0.16 | 0.15 | -6.2% | +7.5% | +5.6% | +27.1% |
| 2015-07-30 | beat | 0.14 | 0.16 | +14.3% | +2.8% | +6.9% | +13.9% |
| 2015-04-30 | beat | 0.12 | 0.14 | +16.7% | +2.2% | +1.9% | +3.6% |
| 2015-02-05 | beat | -0.01 | 0.03 | +400.0% | +4.2% | +7.3% | +4.0% |
| 2014-10-30 | beat | 0.01 | 0.03 | +200.0% | -0.1% | -4.0% | +1.5% |
| 2014-08-14 | beat | 0.07 | 0.11 | +57.1% | -0.5% | -0.8% | +2.4% |
Not investment advice.
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