IRModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.4%
Next 1 week
+0.3%
Next 1 month
+0.5%
Seasonality
Weak window historically
Next 30 days (to Dec 3): -2.4% median,
33% of the last 9 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Neutral — RSI(2) at 64
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.01%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 0.59 +1.4% · Seasonal tilt (9y) -0.9%
$58M/day volume
44% volatility
-32% 1-year
-56% from ATH
52-week range · 28% of the way up · -34% from the high
$100.70$192.47
Congressional trades in IRTC Full tracker →
1 member · 0 buys / 1 sells · $1K–$15K disclosed · latest filing Apr 27, 2020.
| SELL | $1K–$15K |
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-05 (Thursday, after close, in 3 days) · EPS est. 0.05.
1-day std dev
8.2%
Finished up
55%
Biggest pop
+20.7%
Biggest drop
-12.3%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 40 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 | beat | 0.04 | 0.58 | +1258.0% | +2.7% | -0.2% | -1.3% |
| 2026-04-30 | beat | -0.64 | -0.35 | +45.3% | -1.8% | -6.5% | -6.6% |
| 2026-02-19 | beat | 0.06 | 0.29 | +410.6% | -2.2% | -5.0% | -15.8% |
| 2025-10-30 | beat | -0.28 | -0.06 | +78.8% | +12.7% | +1.7% | -5.2% |
| 2025-07-31 | beat | -0.47 | -0.32 | +32.5% | +11.6% | +17.7% | +13.1% |
| 2025-05-01 | miss | -0.94 | -0.95 | -1.5% | +10.3% | +20.7% | +26.8% |
| 2025-02-20 | beat | -0.24 | 0.01 | +104.2% | +5.3% | +6.0% | -2.2% |
| 2024-10-30 | miss | -0.57 | -1.26 | -122.3% | -10.3% | -4.4% | +17.1% |
| 2024-08-01 | beat | -0.88 | -0.61 | +31.1% | -10.7% | -12.3% | -15.7% |
| 2024-05-02 | miss | -0.99 | -1.23 | -24.0% | -1.8% | -7.4% | -10.7% |
| 2024-02-22 | miss | -0.61 | -0.84 | -38.2% | -4.4% | -8.7% | +4.7% |
| 2023-11-02 | miss | -0.58 | -0.79 | -35.7% | -0.8% | +5.2% | -8.5% |
| 2023-08-03 | beat | -0.75 | -0.43 | +42.8% | +12.3% | +18.3% | +19.4% |
| 2023-05-04 | miss | -0.86 | -1.10 | -27.8% | -3.0% | -6.9% | -5.8% |
| 2023-02-23 | beat | -0.61 | -0.59 | +4.0% | -2.2% | +8.3% | +10.4% |
| 2022-11-01 | beat | -0.81 | -0.63 | +22.3% | +1.0% | -4.4% | -24.2% |
| 2022-08-05 | beat | -0.90 | -0.79 | +11.9% | +0.5% | +0.0% | +2.0% |
| 2022-05-05 | beat | -1.06 | -0.80 | +24.5% | +26.3% | +5.8% | +17.7% |
| 2022-02-23 | beat | -1.13 | -1.10 | +2.5% | +0.7% | +17.2% | +26.0% |
| 2021-11-04 | beat | -1.07 | -0.81 | +24.6% | -9.4% | -8.6% | -7.1% |
| 2021-08-05 | beat | -0.94 | -0.59 | +37.6% | +2.2% | +3.6% | -5.6% |
| 2021-05-06 | miss | -0.85 | -0.95 | -11.5% | +0.1% | +6.8% | +8.5% |
| 2021-02-25 | miss | -0.33 | -0.33 | -0.3% | -1.4% | +8.9% | -6.1% |
| 2020-11-05 | beat | -0.52 | -0.17 | +67.4% | +5.9% | +8.3% | +10.7% |
| 2020-08-06 | beat | -0.75 | -0.75 | +0.4% | +2.9% | +9.6% | -6.2% |
| 2020-05-07 | beat | -0.56 | -0.34 | +39.2% | -0.5% | +4.1% | +9.6% |
| 2020-02-27 | miss | -0.50 | -0.65 | -30.5% | -5.7% | +8.2% | +19.1% |
| 2019-11-05 | miss | -0.39 | -0.74 | -87.3% | -3.2% | -4.5% | -11.2% |
| 2019-07-31 | miss | -0.44 | -0.46 | -3.6% | +1.0% | -2.2% | -6.0% |
| 2019-05-07 | beat | -0.48 | -0.33 | +31.4% | +5.3% | -0.2% | -5.1% |
| 2019-02-12 | miss | -0.45 | -0.48 | -7.1% | +6.9% | +7.4% | +10.6% |
| 2018-10-30 | beat | -0.45 | -0.43 | +4.3% | +2.7% | -3.5% | -1.0% |
| 2018-08-01 | miss | -0.39 | -0.51 | -30.4% | +7.5% | +11.5% | +9.6% |
| 2018-05-02 | miss | -0.36 | -0.47 | -29.0% | +9.4% | +10.5% | +14.7% |
| 2018-02-14 | miss | -0.35 | -0.48 | -36.4% | -4.5% | +2.0% | +11.4% |
| 2017-11-01 | beat | -0.32 | -0.29 | +10.3% | -0.4% | +0.8% | -4.9% |
| 2017-08-02 | beat | -0.29 | -0.29 | +1.1% | +4.8% | +9.0% | +7.9% |
| 2017-05-03 | beat | -0.35 | -0.24 | +32.4% | +0.4% | -4.5% | -3.6% |
| 2017-02-15 | miss | -0.27 | -0.37 | -39.2% | +2.1% | -2.1% | +10.4% |
| 2016-12-05 | beat | -0.21 | -0.18 | +12.5% | -3.1% | -5.7% | -11.6% |
Not investment advice.
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