JAModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.6%
Next 1 week
+0.2%
Next 1 month
+3.2%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Dec 3): +2.0% median,
64% of the last 33 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Deeply overbought — RSI(2) at 99
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.15%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 1.31 +3.1% · Seasonal tilt +0.2%
$6M/day volume
74% volatility
-10% 1-year
52-week range · 33% of the way up · -42% from the high
$8.92$23.86
Congressional trades in JACK Full tracker →
1 member · 2 buys / 1 sells · $17K–$80K disclosed · latest filing Aug 22, 2016.
| SELL | $15K–$50K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K |
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-12-09 (Wednesday, after close, in 36 days) · EPS est. 0.44.
1-day std dev
7.1%
Finished up
53%
Biggest pop
+16.8%
Biggest drop
-18.1%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-12 | beat | 0.88 | 0.96 | +8.6% | +17.1% | -0.1% | -11.6% |
| 2026-05-13 | beat | 0.74 | 0.76 | +2.6% | +5.4% | -14.2% | -11.3% |
| 2026-02-18 | miss | 1.11 | 1.00 | -9.6% | -2.3% | -18.1% | -21.5% |
| 2025-11-19 | miss | 0.47 | 0.30 | -36.3% | +0.6% | +7.8% | +37.1% |
| 2025-08-06 | miss | 1.17 | 1.02 | -12.5% | -3.9% | -1.6% | +9.0% |
| 2025-05-14 | beat | 1.15 | 1.20 | +4.2% | -5.1% | -6.3% | -21.2% |
| 2025-02-25 | beat | 1.69 | 1.92 | +13.8% | +11.6% | +11.8% | +3.2% |
| 2024-11-20 | beat | 1.09 | 1.16 | +6.0% | +0.5% | +4.8% | +7.1% |
| 2024-08-06 | beat | 1.51 | 1.65 | +9.2% | -1.9% | -3.1% | +2.0% |
| 2024-05-14 | beat | 1.43 | 1.46 | +2.2% | +3.3% | +0.0% | -1.2% |
| 2024-02-21 | miss | 1.96 | 1.95 | -0.3% | -8.7% | -4.9% | -1.3% |
| 2023-11-21 | miss | 1.15 | 1.09 | -5.5% | -1.1% | +1.8% | +4.9% |
| 2023-08-09 | beat | 1.34 | 1.45 | +8.2% | +1.0% | -6.8% | -11.9% |
| 2023-05-17 | beat | 1.22 | 1.47 | +20.4% | +2.8% | +0.3% | -4.4% |
| 2023-03-01 | beat | 1.74 | 2.01 | +15.6% | +5.5% | +8.6% | +9.6% |
| 2022-11-22 | miss | 1.36 | 1.33 | -2.0% | -7.0% | -16.1% | -14.9% |
| 2022-08-10 | miss | 1.42 | 1.38 | -2.9% | -0.6% | +7.4% | +21.1% |
| 2022-05-26 | miss | 1.37 | 1.16 | -15.5% | -8.3% | -2.9% | -0.9% |
| 2022-02-23 | beat | 1.91 | 1.97 | +3.3% | -1.2% | -2.2% | -3.7% |
| 2021-11-23 | beat | 1.74 | 1.76 | +1.3% | -6.2% | -2.9% | -15.6% |
| 2021-08-04 | beat | 1.49 | 1.78 | +19.7% | -4.4% | -2.7% | -2.1% |
| 2021-05-12 | beat | 1.29 | 1.48 | +15.0% | -4.1% | -2.5% | -1.7% |
| 2021-02-17 | beat | 1.77 | 2.16 | +22.0% | +0.6% | +0.4% | +2.4% |
| 2020-11-18 | beat | 1.14 | 1.61 | +41.4% | +6.4% | +4.8% | +5.9% |
| 2020-08-05 | beat | 1.03 | 1.37 | +32.4% | +3.3% | -0.6% | -4.3% |
| 2020-05-13 | miss | 0.69 | 0.50 | -28.0% | -4.3% | +2.8% | +4.9% |
| 2020-02-19 | miss | 1.38 | 1.17 | -15.2% | -5.2% | -1.3% | -16.8% |
| 2019-11-20 | miss | 0.96 | 0.95 | -0.7% | +2.6% | -5.0% | -6.5% |
| 2019-08-07 | beat | 1.00 | 1.07 | +7.4% | +12.0% | +16.8% | +19.1% |
| 2019-05-15 | beat | 0.93 | 0.99 | +6.8% | +0.7% | +1.3% | +3.9% |
| 2019-02-20 | beat | 1.28 | 1.35 | +5.2% | +5.4% | +0.5% | +2.2% |
| 2018-11-19 | miss | 0.85 | 0.77 | -9.0% | +2.2% | +6.2% | +5.0% |
| 2018-08-08 | beat | 0.88 | 1.00 | +13.4% | +4.8% | +8.0% | +5.6% |
| 2018-05-16 | miss | 0.86 | 0.80 | -6.5% | -4.8% | -8.3% | -9.6% |
| 2018-02-21 | beat | 1.06 | 1.23 | +15.9% | +3.9% | +3.0% | +4.5% |
| 2017-11-29 | miss | 0.89 | 0.73 | -17.9% | -2.3% | +1.3% | +0.5% |
| 2017-08-09 | miss | 1.05 | 0.99 | -5.3% | +1.3% | +1.0% | +1.4% |
| 2017-05-16 | beat | 0.91 | 0.98 | +8.1% | +9.7% | +5.7% | +2.8% |
| 2017-02-22 | miss | 1.25 | 1.18 | -5.3% | -10.0% | -6.7% | -7.7% |
| 2016-11-21 | beat | 0.88 | 1.03 | +16.5% | -3.2% | +6.1% | +2.3% |
| 2016-08-03 | beat | 0.87 | 1.07 | +22.9% | +9.1% | +10.6% | +12.9% |
| 2016-05-11 | beat | 0.70 | 0.85 | +21.5% | +10.5% | +15.2% | +14.2% |
| 2016-02-17 | miss | 1.03 | 0.93 | -9.4% | -17.2% | -16.2% | -9.9% |
| 2015-11-17 | miss | 0.65 | 0.62 | -4.3% | +3.6% | +5.8% | +8.8% |
| 2015-08-05 | beat | 0.73 | 0.76 | +3.5% | -1.7% | -6.2% | -9.8% |
| 2015-05-13 | beat | 0.66 | 0.69 | +4.1% | +1.1% | -4.3% | -3.9% |
| 2015-02-17 | beat | 0.87 | 0.93 | +7.0% | +5.7% | +7.4% | +10.9% |
| 2014-11-18 | beat | 0.53 | 0.54 | +1.2% | +4.2% | +4.8% | +3.5% |
| 2014-08-06 | beat | 0.57 | 0.65 | +13.4% | +7.3% | +10.5% | +8.9% |
| 2014-05-14 | miss | 0.52 | 0.51 | -1.1% | -1.0% | +2.2% | +3.5% |
| 2014-02-19 | beat | 0.66 | 0.75 | +13.5% | +2.9% | +8.0% | +7.8% |
| 2013-11-20 | beat | 0.39 | 0.45 | +15.2% | +4.2% | +5.9% | +5.9% |
| 2013-08-07 | beat | 0.38 | 0.41 | +6.6% | -1.0% | +3.4% | -2.6% |
| 2013-05-15 | beat | 0.31 | 0.33 | +5.5% | -2.7% | -3.5% | -5.0% |
| 2013-02-20 | beat | 0.39 | 0.54 | +39.0% | +3.4% | +5.1% | +5.6% |
| 2012-11-19 | miss | 0.30 | 0.27 | -9.4% | -1.0% | -0.3% | +5.8% |
| 2012-08-08 | beat | 0.32 | 0.37 | +16.4% | +3.4% | -0.2% | -0.6% |
| 2012-05-16 | beat | 0.23 | 0.27 | +18.2% | +2.3% | +4.9% | +10.0% |
| 2012-02-22 | beat | 0.24 | 0.25 | +2.6% | +1.0% | -3.0% | -1.7% |
| 2011-11-21 | miss | 0.26 | 0.19 | -27.7% | -0.6% | -2.5% | +1.9% |
Not investment advice.
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