JAModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.2%
Next 1 week
+1.0%
Next 1 month
+1.7%
Seasonality
Mildly negative window
Next 30 days (to Dec 1): -0.6% median,
45% of the last 29 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Oversold — RSI(2) at 19
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.23%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 0.90 +2.2% · Seasonal tilt -0.5%
$6M/day volume
41% volatility
+76% 1-year
52-week range · 90% of the way up · -6% from the high
$14.87$33.22
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2027-02-18 (Thursday, after close, in 109 days) · EPS est. -0.46.
1-day std dev
14.2%
Finished up
45%
Biggest pop
+34.8%
Biggest drop
-39.0%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | beat | 2.34 | 2.68 | +14.8% | +7.9% | +3.3% | +6.3% |
| 2026-07-23 | beat | -0.05 | 0.25 | +554.5% | -8.9% | +2.9% | +10.6% |
| 2026-04-30 | beat | -0.43 | -0.17 | +60.9% | -4.0% | +10.6% | +6.7% |
| 2026-02-19 | beat | -1.01 | -0.18 | +82.3% | +11.9% | +23.7% | +20.4% |
| 2025-10-30 | miss | 2.12 | 1.80 | -15.1% | -11.2% | -5.1% | -6.4% |
| 2025-07-24 | beat | -0.17 | 0.03 | +117.1% | -0.4% | +0.4% | -9.8% |
| 2025-04-29 | beat | -1.29 | -0.03 | +97.7% | +15.3% | -0.9% | -4.1% |
| 2025-02-20 | beat | -0.73 | -0.67 | +8.2% | -12.4% | -13.8% | -22.2% |
| 2024-10-30 | beat | 4.03 | 4.79 | +18.9% | +16.9% | +14.9% | +10.7% |
| 2024-07-31 | beat | 0.33 | 0.65 | +97.0% | +9.8% | +15.8% | +0.4% |
| 2024-04-24 | miss | -0.85 | -1.09 | -28.2% | -18.4% | -15.9% | -18.8% |
| 2024-02-29 | beat | -1.14 | -1.04 | +8.8% | -23.1% | -27.0% | -36.3% |
| 2023-11-01 | beat | 3.43 | 4.75 | +38.5% | +17.2% | +34.8% | +56.1% |
| 2023-07-27 | beat | 0.51 | 1.26 | +149.5% | +9.7% | +4.1% | +11.6% |
| 2023-04-27 | beat | -0.91 | -0.40 | +55.9% | +5.1% | +2.4% | +7.2% |
| 2023-03-09 | miss | -1.37 | -1.44 | -4.8% | -4.7% | -19.5% | -23.6% |
| 2022-10-27 | beat | 3.03 | 3.80 | +25.6% | +14.6% | -3.5% | +6.3% |
| 2022-07-27 | beat | -0.53 | 2.10 | +496.2% | +40.5% | +31.5% | +56.6% |
| 2022-04-28 | beat | -1.16 | -0.28 | +75.8% | +1.3% | +1.9% | +14.2% |
| 2022-02-17 | beat | -0.66 | 0.14 | +121.2% | -4.8% | +7.6% | +20.0% |
| 2021-10-27 | beat | 3.16 | 3.76 | +19.2% | -4.7% | -8.7% | +3.8% |
| 2021-07-28 | beat | -1.49 | -0.38 | +74.5% | -4.1% | +2.3% | +6.9% |
| 2021-04-28 | beat | -3.86 | -1.77 | +54.2% | +7.9% | +23.3% | +21.8% |
| 2021-02-18 | beat | -1.58 | -0.80 | +49.4% | -0.8% | -6.6% | -17.0% |
| 2020-11-02 | beat | 3.09 | 4.76 | +53.9% | +13.7% | +21.1% | +6.7% |
| 2020-07-29 | miss | -4.06 | -4.38 | -8.0% | -18.1% | -18.1% | -26.7% |
| 2020-05-13 | miss | -5.60 | -7.20 | -28.6% | +1.7% | -3.4% | -6.8% |
| 2020-02-19 | miss | -0.80 | -2.60 | -225.0% | +4.2% | -9.4% | -21.9% |
| 2019-11-07 | beat | 4.20 | 7.60 | +81.0% | +12.0% | +6.0% | -3.6% |
| 2019-08-09 | miss | -5.60 | -8.44 | -50.7% | -1.2% | -10.0% | +5.0% |
| 2019-05-09 | miss | -7.47 | -11.30 | -51.2% | -7.8% | -21.4% | -27.2% |
| 2019-02-26 | beat | -5.22 | -4.04 | +22.7% | -12.9% | -15.4% | -32.3% |
| 2018-10-25 | miss | 6.10 | 3.26 | -46.5% | +2.6% | +6.2% | +7.0% |
| 2018-07-26 | miss | -4.60 | -7.35 | -59.8% | -4.2% | +0.0% | -6.2% |
| 2018-04-26 | miss | -6.72 | -8.76 | -30.3% | +2.4% | +9.5% | +9.5% |
| 2018-02-22 | miss | -2.13 | -6.10 | -185.9% | -2.1% | -4.3% | -2.1% |
| 2017-10-26 | beat | 8.38 | 8.60 | +2.7% | -11.8% | -9.4% | -22.1% |
| 2017-07-25 | miss | -2.54 | -6.70 | -163.8% | -1.3% | -8.0% | -14.7% |
| 2017-04-25 | miss | -8.93 | -10.10 | -13.2% | -3.8% | -2.9% | -5.8% |
| 2017-02-23 | beat | -6.77 | -4.70 | +30.6% | +9.9% | +12.9% | +5.0% |
| 2016-10-20 | miss | 10.92 | 8.90 | -18.5% | -8.6% | -14.7% | -17.2% |
| 2016-07-20 | beat | -3.10 | -2.70 | +12.9% | +3.1% | -0.5% | +8.0% |
| 2016-04-21 | miss | -9.38 | -10.10 | -7.7% | -2.2% | -6.3% | -1.6% |
| 2016-02-23 | miss | -2.98 | -5.00 | -67.8% | -6.0% | -17.0% | -4.2% |
| 2015-10-26 | beat | 11.06 | 11.20 | +1.3% | +1.5% | -10.9% | -5.3% |
| 2015-07-22 | beat | -3.45 | -3.00 | +13.0% | +0.0% | +9.1% | +7.9% |
| 2015-04-21 | beat | -4.60 | -4.00 | +13.0% | +4.3% | -1.7% | -0.1% |
| 2015-02-25 | beat | 0.62 | 1.10 | +78.4% | +2.4% | -10.0% | -7.2% |
| 2014-10-23 | beat | 9.90 | 10.30 | +4.0% | +11.8% | -12.7% | -19.2% |
| 2014-07-23 | miss | -3.00 | -3.71 | -23.8% | -3.4% | -13.8% | -22.3% |
| 2014-04-23 | beat | -7.60 | -7.40 | +2.6% | -0.7% | -9.4% | -4.5% |
| 2014-02-26 | beat | -8.24 | -5.01 | +39.2% | +10.2% | +23.2% | +23.6% |
| 2013-10-23 | miss | 11.23 | 11.10 | -1.1% | +17.4% | +25.3% | +32.9% |
| 2013-07-17 | miss | 0.51 | -9.39 | -1925.8% | -23.3% | -39.0% | -46.8% |
| 2013-04-25 | miss | -8.39 | -12.30 | -46.7% | +0.6% | +6.5% | -0.1% |
| 2013-02-21 | miss | -1.28 | -12.40 | -868.8% | -5.7% | -2.4% | -6.7% |
| 2012-10-23 | beat | 11.14 | 11.30 | +1.4% | -0.2% | -1.7% | -1.5% |
| 2012-07-17 | miss | 1.10 | 0.60 | -45.5% | -0.1% | +0.6% | -1.4% |
| 2012-04-18 | miss | -6.10 | -6.20 | -1.6% | -0.4% | +0.4% | +5.5% |
| 2012-02-21 | miss | -4.26 | -7.20 | -69.0% | +0.2% | +1.5% | +5.0% |
Not investment advice.
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