JEModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.5%
Next 1 week
+3.3%
Next 1 month
+7.8%
Seasonality
Mildly positive window
Next 30 days (to Nov 29): +3.4% median,
50% of the last 8 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Deeply oversold — RSI(2) at 5
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.35%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 2.71 +7.8% · Seasonal tilt (8y) +0.0%
$2M/day volume
106% volatility
-72% 1-year
52-week range · 9% of the way up · -72% from the high
$0.93$4.55
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-03 (Tuesday, after close, in 4 days) · EPS est. 0.05.
1-day std dev
12.9%
Finished up
28%
Biggest pop
+25.7%
Biggest drop
-30.5%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 39 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-03 | beat | -0.14 | -0.11 | +19.0% | +17.4% | +25.7% | +31.2% |
| 2026-05-04 | miss | -0.29 | -0.50 | -74.8% | +0.7% | +18.0% | +12.9% |
| 2026-02-17 | miss | -0.29 | -0.42 | -44.3% | +7.6% | +17.1% | -6.7% |
| 2025-11-03 | miss | 0.14 | -0.20 | -245.3% | -34.0% | -30.5% | -46.9% |
| 2025-08-05 | beat | -0.10 | -0.04 | +61.9% | +14.0% | +19.4% | +29.1% |
| 2025-05-05 | beat | -0.19 | -0.17 | +10.2% | -23.3% | -25.4% | -21.1% |
| 2025-02-17 | miss | -0.06 | -0.10 | -65.1% | +0.3% | -12.3% | -14.1% |
| 2024-11-04 | miss | 0.40 | 0.32 | -20.7% | -25.4% | -29.8% | -24.6% |
| 2024-08-05 | beat | 0.27 | 0.34 | +24.7% | -1.5% | -0.3% | -3.0% |
| 2024-05-06 | beat | 0.18 | 0.21 | +16.9% | -20.2% | -24.7% | -20.7% |
| 2024-02-19 | beat | 0.27 | 0.37 | +36.0% | -0.7% | -1.3% | -2.7% |
| 2023-11-06 | beat | 0.34 | 0.53 | +55.1% | +7.4% | +17.7% | +28.7% |
| 2023-08-07 | beat | 0.34 | 0.44 | +27.8% | -2.9% | -9.9% | -11.3% |
| 2023-05-08 | beat | 0.06 | 0.35 | +459.5% | +6.8% | +14.2% | +13.7% |
| 2023-02-21 | beat | 0.25 | 0.47 | +89.3% | +9.6% | +1.2% | +2.2% |
| 2022-10-31 | beat | 0.44 | 0.71 | +60.4% | +10.5% | +2.4% | -8.7% |
| 2022-08-01 | miss | 0.65 | 0.57 | -11.7% | -18.4% | -13.7% | -19.0% |
| 2022-05-02 | miss | 0.33 | 0.16 | -51.6% | -13.2% | -8.4% | -12.6% |
| 2022-02-22 | miss | 0.54 | 0.48 | -11.6% | -3.9% | -5.9% | -2.6% |
| 2021-11-01 | beat | 0.36 | 0.45 | +24.5% | +3.2% | -0.1% | -0.5% |
| 2021-08-02 | miss | 0.61 | 0.59 | -3.2% | +1.5% | -0.9% | +4.0% |
| 2021-04-30 | beat | 0.20 | 0.27 | +32.5% | -2.4% | -6.4% | -0.9% |
| 2021-02-16 | beat | 0.40 | 0.45 | +12.8% | -0.5% | -5.0% | +1.6% |
| 2020-11-03 | beat | 0.44 | 0.52 | +18.4% | -2.1% | -2.9% | -0.9% |
| 2020-08-04 | beat | 0.20 | 0.47 | +140.8% | +8.1% | +2.8% | +11.4% |
| 2020-05-05 | beat | 0.10 | 0.13 | +34.0% | +7.6% | -2.2% | +0.4% |
| 2020-02-18 | miss | 0.28 | 0.24 | -13.7% | -5.0% | -11.7% | -17.8% |
| 2019-11-06 | miss | 0.37 | 0.26 | -30.0% | -6.8% | +4.9% | +16.0% |
| 2019-08-07 | miss | 0.51 | 0.45 | -11.9% | -7.8% | -8.8% | -12.8% |
| 2019-05-07 | miss | 0.25 | 0.23 | -9.2% | -4.4% | -3.3% | -5.0% |
| 2019-02-19 | beat | 0.35 | 0.41 | +17.8% | +6.7% | +15.8% | +8.2% |
| 2018-11-06 | miss | 0.52 | 0.40 | -22.5% | -2.1% | -1.8% | +4.3% |
| 2018-08-07 | miss | 0.57 | 0.45 | -20.5% | -3.5% | -3.4% | -6.3% |
| 2018-05-08 | beat | 0.24 | 0.30 | +26.3% | +3.5% | -2.4% | -9.0% |
| 2018-02-21 | miss | 0.42 | 0.26 | -37.6% | -15.0% | -8.3% | -17.2% |
| 2017-11-07 | beat | 0.52 | 0.55 | +5.3% | -0.9% | -0.7% | -1.1% |
| 2017-08-08 | beat | 0.51 | 0.51 | +0.4% | -3.7% | -2.2% | -5.7% |
| 2017-05-12 | miss | 0.16 | 0.10 | -37.2% | -0.7% | -0.4% | -4.0% |
| 2017-03-03 | beat | 2.13 | 2.26 | +6.4% | +0.3% | -1.8% | +4.4% |
Not investment advice.
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