JHX (James Hardie Industries plc) — Congressional Trades, Short Interest & Seasonality

Model view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast

Next 1 day

-0.2%

Next 1 week

+1.7%

Next 1 month

+3.8%

Seasonality

Mildly positive window

Next 30 days (to Nov 28): +0.5% median, 50% of the last 24 years finished up.

Mean reversion

Neutral — RSI(2) at 34

RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought. Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.15%/day.

1-month breakdown — Market · β 1.71 +4.5% · Seasonal tilt -0.7%

$11.0B market cap (#718 US) $182M/day volume 45% volatility +19% 1-year -40% from ATH

52-week range · 64% of the way up · -17% from the high

$16.46$31.43

Congressional trades in JHX Full tracker →

2 members · 4 buys / 2 sells · $20K–$125K disclosed · latest filing Aug 13, 2023.

Next report 2026-11-05 (Thursday, after close, in 8 days) · EPS est. 0.37.

1-day std dev

12.0%

Finished up

64%

Biggest pop

+10.6%

Biggest drop

-34.4%

Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 11 reports. History, not a forecast.

Reported		Est.	Actual	Surprise	Gap	Day 1	Day 5
2026-05-19	beat	0.29	0.30	+1.8%	+1.0%	+10.6%	+23.4%
2026-02-10	beat	0.22	0.24	+7.1%	+9.1%	+6.6%	+2.2%
2025-11-17	beat	0.25	0.26	+2.8%	+9.6%	+6.8%	+14.7%
2025-08-19		0.29	0.29	—	-30.0%	-34.4%	-28.4%
2014-05-22	beat	0.09	0.10	+10.6%	-2.8%	-2.5%	+1.0%
2014-02-27	miss	0.10	0.10	-1.3%	+2.2%	+3.7%	+11.7%
2013-11-14	beat	0.11	0.13	+18.8%	+2.4%	+3.0%	+1.1%
2013-08-12	miss	0.12	0.12	-5.7%	+1.3%	+3.5%	+6.4%
2013-05-23	miss	0.07	0.07	-4.2%	-1.0%	+0.0%	-9.5%
2013-02-27	miss	0.01	0.01	-7.1%	+2.4%	+0.9%	+6.0%
2012-11-15	miss	0.02	0.02	-21.0%	-1.0%	-2.1%	+0.3%