KAModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.5%
Next 1 week
+2.4%
Next 1 month
+4.5%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Dec 1): +3.0% median,
58% of the last 19 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Neutral — RSI(2) at 34
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.11%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 1.98 +4.7% · Seasonal tilt -0.2%
$48M/day volume
56% volatility
+26% 1-year
-42% from ATH
52-week range · 25% of the way up · -42% from the high
$87.89$199.89
Congressional trades in KALU Full tracker →
1 member · 0 buys / 2 sells · $16K–$65K disclosed · latest filing Mar 3, 2016.
| SELL | $15K–$50K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K |
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2027-02-17 (Wednesday, after close, in 108 days) · EPS est. 1.54.
1-day std dev
7.1%
Finished up
48%
Biggest pop
+19.5%
Biggest drop
-25.3%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | miss | 2.37 | 1.89 | -20.1% | -12.4% | -25.3% | -22.2% |
| 2026-07-22 | beat | 2.66 | 5.53 | +107.8% | +4.5% | +9.9% | -2.8% |
| 2026-04-22 | beat | 1.96 | 3.74 | +90.5% | +3.4% | +1.1% | +4.5% |
| 2026-02-18 | miss | 1.56 | 1.53 | -2.0% | -11.7% | -8.8% | -6.0% |
| 2025-10-22 | beat | 0.89 | 1.86 | +109.9% | +11.9% | +19.5% | +13.8% |
| 2025-07-23 | beat | 0.76 | 1.21 | +58.2% | +4.7% | -4.9% | -16.5% |
| 2025-04-23 | beat | 0.60 | 1.44 | +141.8% | -8.4% | +5.9% | +13.0% |
| 2025-02-19 | miss | 0.41 | 0.33 | -20.3% | -0.6% | +4.9% | -0.1% |
| 2024-10-23 | miss | 0.65 | 0.51 | -21.4% | +0.1% | -0.4% | +9.9% |
| 2024-07-24 | miss | 0.94 | 0.65 | -30.9% | -8.4% | -15.9% | -19.3% |
| 2024-04-24 | beat | 0.56 | 1.02 | +81.2% | +1.3% | +1.3% | +8.0% |
| 2024-02-21 | beat | -0.44 | 0.60 | +235.5% | +3.5% | +6.9% | +9.7% |
| 2023-10-25 | miss | 0.50 | 0.46 | -7.7% | -3.4% | -7.6% | -7.1% |
| 2023-07-25 | beat | 0.48 | 1.26 | +162.8% | +8.4% | +2.8% | -1.2% |
| 2023-04-26 | beat | -0.16 | 0.42 | +362.5% | +4.9% | +10.6% | +6.1% |
| 2023-02-22 | miss | 0.03 | -0.45 | -1484.6% | -5.5% | -7.4% | -2.5% |
| 2022-10-19 | beat | -0.55 | 0.60 | +210.1% | +5.6% | +13.2% | +19.0% |
| 2022-07-25 | miss | 0.78 | -0.03 | -103.8% | -3.9% | +0.1% | -0.9% |
| 2022-04-20 | miss | 0.66 | 0.66 | -0.1% | +2.3% | -1.4% | -2.1% |
| 2022-02-23 | miss | 0.91 | 0.20 | -78.0% | -6.7% | -7.7% | -5.9% |
| 2021-10-20 | miss | 1.32 | 0.57 | -56.9% | -5.3% | -10.5% | -12.3% |
| 2021-07-21 | miss | 1.02 | 1.00 | -2.0% | -5.3% | -6.4% | +4.9% |
| 2021-04-28 | beat | 0.60 | 0.64 | +7.2% | +0.0% | -3.2% | +10.8% |
| 2021-02-24 | beat | 0.28 | 0.35 | +25.0% | -3.3% | -3.6% | -8.3% |
| 2020-10-21 | beat | 0.19 | 0.33 | +78.4% | -0.2% | +1.3% | +1.0% |
| 2020-07-22 | miss | 0.36 | 0.36 | -1.1% | -0.7% | -5.7% | -12.0% |
| 2020-04-20 | beat | 1.58 | 1.90 | +20.0% | +7.3% | +2.4% | -3.9% |
| 2020-02-19 | beat | 1.75 | 1.79 | +2.5% | +0.0% | +4.7% | -5.5% |
| 2019-10-23 | miss | 1.90 | 1.82 | -4.1% | -0.1% | +2.6% | +9.1% |
| 2019-07-24 | beat | 1.31 | 1.40 | +6.5% | +1.4% | -0.7% | -0.9% |
| 2019-04-23 | beat | 1.79 | 1.85 | +3.6% | -14.6% | -8.0% | -10.6% |
| 2019-02-20 | beat | 1.52 | 1.77 | +16.5% | +4.9% | +0.2% | -0.2% |
| 2018-10-17 | miss | 1.55 | 1.43 | -7.6% | -10.6% | -11.0% | -9.9% |
| 2018-07-23 | beat | 1.60 | 1.68 | +4.7% | +4.6% | +2.6% | +2.2% |
| 2018-04-25 | beat | 1.54 | 1.60 | +3.8% | +0.5% | -0.6% | -0.3% |
| 2018-02-21 | miss | 1.23 | 1.22 | -0.4% | -6.6% | -4.3% | -5.9% |
| 2017-10-18 | miss | 1.08 | 0.90 | -16.4% | -12.2% | -4.1% | -4.9% |
| 2017-07-19 | beat | 0.99 | 1.47 | +48.0% | +1.1% | +2.7% | +3.5% |
| 2017-04-19 | beat | 1.12 | 1.52 | +36.2% | +7.2% | +7.3% | +8.5% |
| 2017-02-21 | beat | 1.19 | 1.27 | +6.9% | +1.2% | -0.2% | -1.6% |
| 2016-10-19 | miss | 1.25 | 1.02 | -18.3% | -3.3% | -9.6% | -9.0% |
| 2016-07-20 | miss | 1.39 | 1.02 | -26.6% | -2.7% | -2.2% | -2.7% |
| 2016-04-20 | beat | 1.27 | 1.51 | +19.2% | +1.1% | +1.6% | +8.5% |
| 2016-02-16 | miss | 1.10 | 0.60 | -45.4% | -8.5% | -2.2% | -1.9% |
| 2015-10-21 | miss | 1.16 | 1.07 | -7.6% | +0.1% | +0.5% | -1.0% |
| 2015-07-21 | beat | 1.19 | 1.27 | +6.9% | -0.5% | +6.2% | +8.7% |
| 2015-04-28 | miss | 1.03 | 1.01 | -2.0% | +1.1% | -1.1% | +2.1% |
| 2015-02-17 | beat | 0.84 | 0.85 | +1.5% | +0.1% | -0.4% | +5.8% |
| 2014-10-20 | miss | 1.00 | 0.79 | -21.2% | -4.8% | -5.1% | -7.9% |
| 2014-07-23 | beat | 0.87 | 1.05 | +20.3% | +4.3% | +3.5% | +6.4% |
| 2014-04-23 | miss | 0.82 | 0.72 | -11.7% | -1.3% | -2.4% | -3.1% |
| 2014-02-17 | miss | 0.87 | 0.85 | -2.5% | -0.4% | -0.9% | +0.1% |
| 2013-10-17 | miss | 0.98 | 0.90 | -8.0% | +0.4% | -7.8% | -8.6% |
| 2013-07-24 | miss | 0.94 | 0.91 | -2.9% | -0.9% | +1.8% | +2.1% |
| 2013-04-23 | beat | 0.87 | 1.03 | +18.4% | +0.4% | +6.3% | +4.4% |
| 2013-02-19 | miss | 0.81 | 0.65 | -19.9% | -1.5% | -5.6% | -4.9% |
| 2012-10-24 | beat | 0.82 | 1.02 | +24.7% | +1.3% | +2.6% | +2.5% |
| 2012-07-25 | beat | 0.78 | 1.06 | +36.2% | +4.2% | +8.9% | +10.3% |
| 2012-04-25 | beat | 0.75 | 1.09 | +45.7% | +1.6% | +3.5% | +6.4% |
| 2012-02-15 | miss | 0.59 | 0.52 | -12.2% | -0.4% | +2.7% | +0.9% |
Not investment advice.
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