KEModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.4%
Next 1 week
+3.6%
Next 1 month
+5.4%
Seasonality
Mildly positive window
Next 30 days (to Nov 29): +0.6% median,
55% of the last 11 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Neutral — RSI(2) at 22
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.06%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 1.99 +5.7% · Seasonal tilt (11y) -0.3%
$5M/day volume
49% volatility
-12% 1-year
-22% from ATH
52-week range · 44% of the way up · -19% from the high
$21.01$32.00
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-04 (Wednesday, after close, in 6 days) · EPS est. 0.37.
1-day std dev
9.8%
Finished up
48%
Biggest pop
+24.9%
Biggest drop
-23.3%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 31 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-12 | miss | 0.39 | -0.01 | -102.5% | -8.9% | +3.3% | -6.4% |
| 2026-05-05 | miss | 0.34 | 0.33 | -1.5% | -3.1% | -7.3% | -8.1% |
| 2026-02-04 | beat | 0.26 | 0.28 | +9.8% | -5.5% | -23.3% | -22.3% |
| 2025-11-05 | beat | 0.27 | 0.49 | +81.5% | -1.1% | -7.3% | -6.7% |
| 2025-08-13 | beat | 0.19 | 0.34 | +83.8% | +8.1% | +17.8% | +31.8% |
| 2025-05-06 | beat | 0.19 | 0.27 | +42.1% | +11.0% | +24.9% | +23.7% |
| 2025-02-04 | beat | 0.23 | 0.29 | +28.9% | +0.8% | +0.7% | -5.4% |
| 2024-11-04 | miss | 0.25 | 0.22 | -12.0% | -0.5% | +6.0% | +8.3% |
| 2024-08-13 | miss | 0.44 | 0.33 | -24.7% | -7.0% | -10.6% | -10.5% |
| 2024-05-07 | miss | 0.40 | 0.34 | -15.4% | -7.4% | +2.6% | +2.1% |
| 2024-02-05 | miss | 0.40 | 0.33 | -18.3% | -12.7% | -14.1% | -13.6% |
| 2023-11-06 | beat | 0.43 | 0.43 | +0.9% | -1.9% | -13.0% | -6.7% |
| 2023-08-16 | beat | 0.69 | 0.76 | +10.1% | -1.8% | +7.1% | +3.7% |
| 2023-05-04 | 0.65 | 0.65 | — | +0.4% | +3.4% | +11.5% | |
| 2023-02-06 | miss | 0.47 | 0.44 | -6.4% | +4.4% | +5.1% | +1.8% |
| 2022-11-07 | miss | 0.41 | 0.38 | -7.3% | +0.1% | +0.6% | +5.2% |
| 2022-08-04 | miss | 0.56 | 0.40 | -29.2% | +0.6% | -4.5% | +5.6% |
| 2022-05-05 | beat | 0.48 | 0.54 | +12.5% | +2.7% | +5.2% | -0.7% |
| 2022-02-07 | miss | 0.40 | 0.20 | -50.0% | -6.8% | -5.5% | -7.2% |
| 2021-11-03 | miss | 0.33 | 0.06 | -81.8% | -8.5% | -6.5% | -14.3% |
| 2021-08-04 | beat | 0.43 | 0.58 | +34.9% | +0.8% | +10.4% | +15.1% |
| 2021-05-05 | miss | 0.43 | 0.41 | -4.7% | -1.9% | -6.5% | -4.9% |
| 2021-02-03 | beat | 0.34 | 0.60 | +76.5% | +11.3% | +18.6% | +23.2% |
| 2020-11-03 | beat | 0.33 | 0.65 | +97.0% | -4.4% | -4.8% | +3.7% |
| 2020-08-18 | beat | 0.20 | 0.34 | +70.0% | +0.1% | -3.8% | -2.9% |
| 2020-05-04 | beat | 0.18 | 0.25 | +38.9% | +2.8% | -0.8% | -1.0% |
| 2016-11-02 | beat | 0.18 | 0.24 | +33.3% | +2.5% | +0.7% | +13.7% |
| 2016-08-03 | miss | 0.21 | 0.20 | -4.8% | -0.4% | -2.2% | -0.4% |
| 2016-05-04 | beat | 0.20 | 0.26 | +30.0% | +6.1% | +0.0% | +0.2% |
| 2016-02-04 | miss | 0.18 | 0.16 | -11.1% | -2.0% | -0.1% | +7.4% |
| 2015-11-05 | miss | 0.19 | 0.16 | -15.8% | +0.2% | +1.2% | -11.6% |
Not investment advice.
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