KIModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
-0.9%
Next 1 week
-1.4%
Next 1 month
+0.9%
Seasonality
Mildly negative window
Next 30 days (to Dec 3): -2.2% median,
46% of the last 26 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Deeply overbought — RSI(2) at 93
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.99%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 0.49 +1.1% · Seasonal tilt -0.2%
$1M/day volume
37% volatility
+41% 1-year
-9% from ATH
52-week range · 93% of the way up · -2% from the high
$13.83$20.90
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-05 (Thursday, after close, in 2 days) · EPS est. 0.92.
1-day std dev
10.8%
Finished up
48%
Biggest pop
+21.7%
Biggest drop
-45.0%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 48 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 | beat | 0.95 | 1.04 | +9.5% | -1.3% | -8.5% | -5.3% |
| 2026-05-07 | miss | -0.26 | -0.35 | -34.6% | -1.5% | -4.0% | -8.6% |
| 2025-11-06 | beat | 0.71 | 0.73 | +2.8% | +2.6% | +0.1% | -3.0% |
| 2025-08-07 | beat | 0.55 | 0.75 | +36.4% | +3.6% | -7.0% | -13.7% |
| 2025-05-08 | — | 0.17 | — | +3.9% | +19.1% | -4.8% | |
| 2025-03-13 | 0.46 | 0.46 | — | +9.7% | +21.7% | +12.4% | |
| 2024-11-11 | 0.50 | 0.50 | — | -0.8% | -2.8% | +8.0% | |
| 2024-08-14 | miss | 0.39 | 0.39 | -0.5% | +3.8% | +10.2% | +1.3% |
| 2024-05-13 | beat | -0.38 | 0.12 | +131.6% | +18.7% | +14.7% | +25.7% |
| 2023-11-08 | miss | -0.05 | -0.27 | -440.0% | +6.3% | -11.7% | +8.4% |
| 2023-08-10 | miss | -0.01 | -0.06 | -500.0% | +3.6% | +4.5% | +15.2% |
| 2023-05-11 | miss | -0.19 | -0.56 | -194.7% | -5.7% | -25.8% | -10.7% |
| 2023-03-30 | miss | -0.02 | -0.36 | -1700.0% | +16.4% | +9.5% | +0.8% |
| 2022-11-14 | miss | -0.02 | -0.35 | -1650.0% | -2.1% | -45.0% | -47.4% |
| 2022-08-11 | miss | 0.14 | -0.17 | -221.4% | -2.5% | -0.5% | -5.6% |
| 2022-05-12 | miss | -0.06 | -0.54 | -800.0% | -1.4% | -9.4% | -14.5% |
| 2022-03-10 | miss | -0.06 | -0.11 | -69.2% | +1.4% | +4.9% | +2.6% |
| 2021-11-11 | miss | -0.46 | -1.02 | -119.3% | -0.9% | -8.4% | -11.4% |
| 2021-08-12 | miss | 0.30 | -0.05 | -116.7% | -10.2% | -10.3% | -11.6% |
| 2021-05-17 | miss | -0.13 | -0.26 | -97.2% | -1.0% | +3.0% | +0.7% |
| 2021-03-18 | miss | 0.07 | 0.05 | -23.1% | +1.2% | +5.2% | +5.4% |
| 2020-11-06 | beat | -0.45 | -0.27 | +40.7% | +0.8% | +2.0% | +3.7% |
| 2020-08-06 | 0.23 | 0.23 | — | -2.3% | -2.1% | +0.4% | |
| 2020-05-07 | miss | 0.04 | -0.03 | -175.0% | -0.6% | -0.6% | -14.3% |
| 2020-03-11 | beat | 0.05 | 0.07 | +55.6% | -1.7% | -3.1% | +0.0% |
| 2019-11-11 | miss | 0.28 | -0.23 | -180.7% | -11.3% | -10.4% | -11.7% |
| 2019-08-08 | miss | 0.33 | 0.10 | -69.2% | -0.3% | +0.5% | +2.9% |
| 2019-05-08 | miss | -0.47 | -0.83 | -74.7% | -4.4% | -8.9% | -4.5% |
| 2019-03-13 | miss | 0.28 | 0.08 | -71.4% | -2.2% | -1.6% | -6.4% |
| 2018-11-07 | miss | 0.44 | 0.34 | -22.7% | +0.0% | -0.1% | -3.6% |
| 2018-08-08 | miss | 0.33 | 0.26 | -20.0% | +0.3% | +8.3% | +7.6% |
| 2018-05-09 | beat | -0.39 | -0.25 | +35.9% | +0.6% | +2.9% | +1.1% |
| 2018-03-14 | miss | 0.35 | 0.18 | -47.8% | -8.8% | -11.2% | -22.1% |
| 2017-11-09 | beat | 0.32 | 0.38 | +18.8% | +5.5% | +12.7% | +19.5% |
| 2017-08-10 | miss | 0.31 | 0.22 | -29.0% | -2.5% | -6.0% | -5.4% |
| 2017-05-11 | miss | 0.16 | 0.15 | -6.2% | +1.4% | -0.7% | +2.4% |
| 2017-03-16 | miss | 0.27 | 0.26 | -2.6% | +0.0% | +0.0% | +1.0% |
| 2016-11-10 | beat | 0.34 | 0.41 | +21.8% | +0.0% | +7.8% | +12.4% |
| 2016-08-11 | beat | 0.29 | 0.34 | +17.2% | +3.3% | +3.1% | +4.3% |
| 2016-05-12 | miss | 0.22 | 0.07 | -68.2% | -4.9% | -4.2% | +0.6% |
| 2016-03-17 | beat | 0.23 | 0.25 | +8.7% | +4.9% | +1.9% | -0.9% |
| 2015-08-12 | beat | 0.29 | 0.32 | +10.3% | +6.9% | +4.3% | +10.6% |
| 2015-05-13 | beat | 0.01 | 0.06 | +500.0% | -0.4% | +2.1% | +4.1% |
| 2015-03-25 | miss | 0.25 | 0.22 | -12.0% | +3.2% | -1.3% | -3.3% |
| 2014-11-13 | beat | 0.19 | 0.25 | +31.6% | +4.8% | +2.5% | +3.3% |
| 2014-08-12 | miss | 0.22 | 0.17 | -22.7% | +2.9% | +5.9% | +4.4% |
| 2014-05-15 | miss | 0.14 | 0.01 | -92.9% | -5.0% | -12.2% | -7.7% |
| 2014-03-31 | miss | 0.20 | 0.01 | -96.5% | -1.1% | +1.9% | +0.4% |
Not investment advice.
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