KMModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.2%
Next 1 week
+0.9%
Next 1 month
+3.5%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Nov 30): +3.7% median,
63% of the last 52 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Oversold — RSI(2) at 18
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.03%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 1.32 +3.3% · Seasonal tilt +0.2%
$38M/day volume
45% volatility
+27% 1-year
-45% from ATH
52-week range · 33% of the way up · -34% from the high
$21.70$43.81
Congressional trades in KMT Full tracker →
2 members · 1 buys / 3 sells · $4K–$60K disclosed · latest filing Apr 27, 2020.
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K |
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-04 (Wednesday, before open, in 4 days) · EPS est. 2.65.
1-day std dev
6.5%
Finished up
47%
Biggest pop
+17.5%
Biggest drop
-18.2%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 | beat | 2.31 | 2.96 | +28.4% | +12.3% | -5.3% | -14.6% |
| 2026-05-06 | beat | 0.67 | 0.77 | +14.6% | +4.0% | +15.4% | -6.5% |
| 2026-02-04 | beat | 0.38 | 0.47 | +24.3% | +10.5% | +7.2% | +12.6% |
| 2025-11-05 | beat | 0.24 | 0.34 | +44.6% | +11.7% | +14.3% | +25.1% |
| 2025-08-06 | miss | 0.39 | 0.34 | -13.1% | -17.1% | -18.2% | -14.5% |
| 2025-05-07 | beat | 0.24 | 0.47 | +97.2% | +7.2% | -0.3% | +9.4% |
| 2025-02-05 | miss | 0.26 | 0.25 | -3.2% | -8.0% | -3.4% | -5.2% |
| 2024-11-06 | beat | 0.26 | 0.29 | +13.4% | +5.9% | +17.5% | +10.5% |
| 2024-08-07 | beat | 0.44 | 0.49 | +12.6% | +3.9% | +0.8% | +2.5% |
| 2024-05-08 | beat | 0.30 | 0.30 | +0.0% | +1.2% | +3.2% | +6.9% |
| 2024-02-07 | beat | 0.25 | 0.29 | +14.0% | -0.8% | -2.4% | -2.7% |
| 2023-11-01 | beat | 0.35 | 0.37 | +4.8% | +6.5% | -1.3% | -3.0% |
| 2023-08-01 | miss | 0.59 | 0.51 | -13.2% | -6.0% | -5.2% | -10.9% |
| 2023-05-01 | beat | 0.34 | 0.39 | +15.1% | +5.6% | +4.2% | +1.4% |
| 2023-02-06 | beat | 0.22 | 0.27 | +20.9% | +3.1% | -1.7% | -2.9% |
| 2022-10-31 | miss | 0.37 | 0.34 | -7.3% | -6.8% | -6.8% | -7.8% |
| 2022-08-01 | beat | 0.46 | 0.53 | +14.3% | +0.7% | -2.1% | -4.8% |
| 2022-05-02 | beat | 0.43 | 0.47 | +8.2% | -0.3% | +1.3% | -0.5% |
| 2022-02-07 | miss | 0.38 | 0.35 | -8.9% | -5.8% | -3.8% | -0.9% |
| 2021-11-01 | beat | 0.37 | 0.44 | +17.6% | -2.1% | -3.2% | -5.0% |
| 2021-08-02 | beat | 0.40 | 0.53 | +31.6% | +2.4% | +4.9% | -0.6% |
| 2021-05-03 | beat | 0.20 | 0.32 | +57.7% | +1.1% | +0.8% | +0.3% |
| 2021-02-01 | beat | 0.09 | 0.16 | +78.3% | -4.1% | -8.8% | -4.6% |
| 2020-11-02 | miss | 0.05 | 0.03 | -39.3% | -4.0% | -11.1% | +3.2% |
| 2020-08-03 | beat | 0.12 | 0.15 | +26.6% | -3.9% | -8.5% | +8.1% |
| 2020-05-04 | beat | 0.29 | 0.46 | +58.6% | +10.0% | +8.7% | -0.2% |
| 2020-02-03 | miss | 0.20 | 0.17 | -14.0% | -5.3% | -6.2% | -2.2% |
| 2019-11-04 | beat | 0.17 | 0.17 | +0.7% | +0.5% | -2.8% | -1.4% |
| 2019-08-05 | miss | 0.85 | 0.84 | -1.2% | -1.0% | -0.4% | -6.4% |
| 2019-05-06 | miss | 0.79 | 0.77 | -3.1% | -8.6% | -4.5% | -15.3% |
| 2019-02-04 | beat | 0.68 | 0.71 | +3.9% | -0.7% | -2.4% | -3.1% |
| 2018-11-05 | beat | 0.65 | 0.70 | +7.0% | -2.1% | +0.1% | -0.2% |
| 2018-08-06 | beat | 0.80 | 0.87 | +8.7% | +6.7% | +6.6% | +0.8% |
| 2018-05-02 | miss | 0.72 | 0.70 | -3.0% | +0.3% | -1.5% | +7.0% |
| 2018-02-01 | miss | 0.55 | 0.52 | -5.5% | -1.0% | -5.1% | -13.5% |
| 2017-11-01 | beat | 0.37 | 0.55 | +47.8% | +7.1% | +9.4% | +1.8% |
| 2017-08-02 | miss | 0.64 | 0.56 | -12.5% | -12.1% | -5.1% | -8.1% |
| 2017-04-25 | beat | 0.44 | 0.60 | +37.3% | +5.2% | +4.7% | +1.8% |
| 2017-02-01 | beat | 0.21 | 0.24 | +13.7% | +1.0% | +1.5% | +4.2% |
| 2016-10-26 | miss | 0.15 | 0.11 | -24.2% | -2.6% | -6.7% | -2.6% |
| 2016-08-01 | beat | 0.43 | 0.44 | +2.9% | +0.9% | +1.6% | +10.5% |
| 2016-05-02 | beat | 0.23 | 0.37 | +58.3% | +10.7% | +5.2% | -2.3% |
| 2016-02-03 | beat | 0.12 | 0.14 | +21.4% | +4.0% | +2.4% | -0.6% |
| 2015-11-03 | miss | 0.22 | 0.14 | -36.4% | -3.4% | -3.3% | -1.0% |
| 2015-07-30 | beat | 0.45 | 0.46 | +2.9% | -1.8% | +1.5% | -4.3% |
| 2015-05-05 | beat | 0.43 | 0.46 | +6.2% | +4.5% | +6.3% | +5.5% |
| 2015-01-29 | miss | 0.55 | 0.52 | -5.5% | -8.0% | +2.7% | +12.6% |
| 2014-10-30 | beat | 0.55 | 0.56 | +1.9% | -8.3% | -8.6% | -5.3% |
| 2014-07-31 | miss | 0.89 | 0.75 | -16.1% | -5.1% | -4.5% | -5.0% |
| 2014-05-01 | beat | 0.72 | 0.74 | +3.1% | -1.0% | +3.8% | +1.5% |
| 2014-01-30 | miss | 0.61 | 0.52 | -15.2% | -9.2% | -7.0% | -10.5% |
| 2013-10-24 | miss | 0.55 | 0.53 | -4.1% | +3.2% | +0.8% | +0.4% |
| 2013-07-25 | beat | 0.74 | 0.78 | +5.5% | -0.5% | +2.2% | +8.9% |
| 2013-04-25 | miss | 0.70 | 0.65 | -7.6% | -2.5% | +4.1% | +6.2% |
| 2013-01-24 | miss | 0.64 | 0.50 | -22.4% | -7.7% | -3.2% | -3.2% |
| 2012-10-24 | miss | 0.88 | 0.56 | -36.5% | -6.8% | -6.7% | -1.7% |
| 2012-07-26 | beat | 1.04 | 1.08 | +4.2% | +4.9% | +7.1% | +7.1% |
| 2012-04-26 | beat | 0.93 | 0.98 | +5.2% | -0.8% | -7.8% | -10.0% |
| 2012-01-26 | beat | 0.78 | 0.91 | +16.1% | +2.4% | -0.8% | -1.0% |
| 2011-10-27 | beat | 0.78 | 0.88 | +13.2% | +4.2% | +3.3% | +5.6% |
Posted about KMT
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TRACKER - Insider Clusters
long
29.00
Mon, 14 Sep
2 different insiders at KENNAMETAL INC bought KMT stock in the last 30 days — $354,750 between them, at prices they each paid separately. The largest…
Not investment advice.
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