KNModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
-0.1%
Next 1 week
+0.2%
Next 1 month
-0.2%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Dec 1): +5.2% median,
67% of the last 9 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Neutral — RSI(2) at 69
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.07%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β -0.25 -0.6% · Seasonal tilt (9y) +0.3%
$8.5B market cap (#872 US)
$89M/day volume
34% volatility
-9% 1-year
-33% from ATH
52-week range · 58% of the way up · -13% from the high
$287.20$421.90
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2027-02-11 (Thursday, after close, in 102 days) · EPS est. 5.74.
1-day std dev
9.2%
Finished up
55%
Biggest pop
+17.5%
Biggest drop
-19.6%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 42 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | beat | 5.11 | 5.70 | +11.6% | -4.8% | -6.7% | -6.4% |
| 2026-07-23 | beat | 5.11 | 5.54 | +8.3% | +2.0% | +5.1% | +7.3% |
| 2026-04-23 | beat | 4.68 | 5.11 | +9.3% | -2.0% | -0.8% | -10.4% |
| 2026-02-12 | beat | 5.31 | 5.81 | +9.5% | -10.2% | -7.4% | -7.1% |
| 2025-10-23 | beat | 4.82 | 5.21 | +8.0% | -4.0% | -6.8% | -11.8% |
| 2025-07-24 | beat | 4.42 | 4.78 | +8.1% | +2.9% | +0.2% | -6.7% |
| 2025-04-24 | beat | 3.26 | 3.71 | +13.6% | -11.3% | -16.3% | -10.6% |
| 2025-02-13 | beat | 4.32 | 4.62 | +6.9% | -5.7% | -7.8% | -12.3% |
| 2024-10-24 | beat | 3.64 | 4.20 | +15.2% | -3.0% | -5.3% | -7.1% |
| 2024-07-25 | beat | 3.55 | 3.75 | +5.7% | +8.7% | +17.5% | +18.7% |
| 2024-04-25 | beat | 3.36 | 3.50 | +4.1% | -13.5% | -17.3% | -15.6% |
| 2024-02-15 | beat | 3.39 | 3.87 | +14.0% | +5.6% | +15.4% | +16.9% |
| 2023-10-26 | beat | 2.84 | 3.31 | +16.5% | -5.3% | -19.6% | -20.3% |
| 2023-07-27 | beat | 2.51 | 2.88 | +14.9% | +0.7% | -0.5% | -1.4% |
| 2023-04-27 | beat | 2.22 | 2.44 | +10.0% | +1.0% | -3.0% | -2.5% |
| 2023-02-16 | beat | 2.13 | 2.60 | +22.3% | +6.5% | +14.5% | +8.6% |
| 2022-10-27 | beat | 1.24 | 1.64 | +31.7% | +4.9% | +15.2% | +19.3% |
| 2022-07-28 | beat | 1.62 | 1.92 | +18.8% | +0.3% | +3.0% | +7.6% |
| 2022-04-28 | beat | 1.52 | 1.63 | +7.5% | +1.0% | -4.0% | -8.8% |
| 2022-02-17 | beat | 1.38 | 1.76 | +27.2% | -0.1% | +5.6% | +8.8% |
| 2021-10-28 | beat | 0.99 | 1.59 | +60.4% | +3.8% | +13.5% | +23.9% |
| 2021-07-29 | beat | 1.06 | 1.28 | +20.4% | -0.6% | -1.9% | +1.7% |
| 2021-04-29 | beat | 0.84 | 1.11 | +31.8% | +1.1% | +0.7% | -2.6% |
| 2021-02-18 | beat | 0.78 | 1.14 | +45.4% | +5.5% | -5.1% | -7.1% |
| 2020-10-29 | miss | 0.74 | 0.42 | -43.6% | -7.9% | -10.0% | -0.3% |
| 2020-07-30 | beat | 0.69 | 0.84 | +21.8% | +1.9% | +17.5% | +24.0% |
| 2020-04-30 | beat | 0.64 | 0.76 | +18.5% | -3.1% | +10.1% | +24.9% |
| 2020-02-20 | miss | 0.64 | 0.63 | -1.3% | +1.3% | +1.1% | -2.9% |
| 2019-10-31 | miss | 0.59 | 0.57 | -3.8% | -1.0% | -11.4% | -17.3% |
| 2019-08-01 | beat | 0.56 | 0.57 | +0.9% | +1.6% | +0.2% | +4.0% |
| 2019-05-02 | beat | 0.51 | 0.64 | +26.7% | +2.5% | +10.4% | +10.7% |
| 2019-02-21 | beat | 0.43 | 0.46 | +5.8% | -0.3% | +7.2% | +8.1% |
| 2018-11-01 | miss | 0.49 | 0.49 | -0.3% | +1.1% | +4.5% | +4.0% |
| 2018-08-06 | miss | 0.49 | 0.46 | -6.6% | -1.1% | -0.9% | +0.8% |
| 2018-05-03 | beat | 0.37 | 0.38 | +2.7% | -0.5% | +3.1% | +4.8% |
| 2018-02-26 | miss | 0.39 | 0.36 | -6.8% | -0.5% | -2.6% | +3.0% |
| 2017-11-02 | beat | 0.37 | 0.44 | +21.0% | +0.0% | +3.7% | +0.8% |
| 2017-08-03 | beat | 0.32 | 0.40 | +24.5% | +2.3% | +9.4% | +3.5% |
| 2017-05-04 | miss | 0.31 | 0.29 | -5.7% | -1.6% | -4.0% | -7.6% |
| 2017-03-01 | beat | 0.26 | 0.32 | +25.5% | +0.2% | +2.3% | +2.7% |
| 2016-11-10 | beat | 0.25 | 0.38 | +53.8% | +1.1% | +6.0% | +7.6% |
| 2016-09-07 | beat | 0.34 | 0.42 | +25.4% | +0.2% | +0.8% | -3.2% |
Not investment advice.
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