KPModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
-0.2%
Next 1 week
+0.8%
Next 1 month
+1.9%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Nov 29): +7.1% median,
75% of the last 12 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Neutral — RSI(2) at 34
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.25%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 0.50 +1.4% · Seasonal tilt +0.4%
$3M/day volume
150% volatility
-89% 1-year
52-week range · 3% of the way up · -94% from the high
$0.31$10.99
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-03 (Tuesday, before open, in 5 days) · EPS est. -1.31.
1-day std dev
11.5%
Finished up
42%
Biggest pop
+37.4%
Biggest drop
-39.0%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 52 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-13 | miss | -1.39 | -2.32 | -66.9% | +0.0% | -2.0% | -10.3% |
| 2026-05-14 | beat | -1.44 | -1.24 | +14.1% | +7.6% | +0.6% | -8.9% |
| 2026-02-12 | miss | -2.00 | -2.23 | -11.3% | -8.8% | +21.3% | +31.2% |
| 2025-11-03 | miss | -3.25 | -3.82 | -17.5% | +0.0% | +4.7% | -6.2% |
| 2025-08-11 | miss | -3.91 | -4.07 | -4.0% | +1.5% | -4.3% | +41.9% |
| 2025-05-12 | beat | -3.09 | -2.77 | +10.3% | -6.5% | -20.0% | -16.2% |
| 2025-02-19 | beat | -4.03 | -3.60 | +10.7% | -2.1% | -4.8% | +4.0% |
| 2024-11-05 | beat | -3.92 | -3.90 | +0.6% | -2.5% | -9.3% | -3.8% |
| 2024-08-06 | beat | -4.47 | -4.34 | +2.8% | +6.8% | -3.6% | -4.5% |
| 2024-05-08 | beat | -4.94 | -4.80 | +2.9% | +2.7% | -7.3% | +2.7% |
| 2024-02-29 | miss | -4.65 | -5.40 | -16.2% | +0.0% | -12.8% | +15.0% |
| 2023-11-02 | miss | -4.29 | -4.50 | -5.0% | +1.8% | -3.2% | -11.8% |
| 2023-08-02 | beat | -5.04 | -4.35 | +13.8% | +4.4% | -0.6% | -10.0% |
| 2023-05-04 | beat | -5.23 | -4.50 | +13.9% | -8.5% | -24.3% | -27.6% |
| 2023-02-15 | miss | -5.38 | -6.45 | -19.9% | -3.9% | +10.2% | -4.2% |
| 2022-11-03 | beat | -8.02 | -6.75 | +15.9% | +11.2% | +4.4% | +24.7% |
| 2022-08-04 | beat | -9.55 | -9.30 | +2.6% | -0.4% | +0.7% | +10.2% |
| 2022-05-05 | beat | -9.24 | -7.95 | +14.0% | +1.8% | +1.2% | -22.8% |
| 2022-02-08 | beat | -6.37 | 6.90 | +208.4% | -16.5% | -20.0% | +14.4% |
| 2021-11-03 | miss | -10.27 | -10.35 | -0.8% | +4.3% | +37.4% | +40.1% |
| 2021-08-05 | beat | -10.97 | -10.65 | +2.9% | -23.0% | -24.2% | -38.4% |
| 2021-05-03 | miss | -10.75 | -11.55 | -7.5% | -1.6% | +1.1% | -12.3% |
| 2021-02-11 | beat | -8.97 | -8.85 | +1.3% | -0.9% | -3.3% | -4.8% |
| 2020-11-02 | miss | -10.48 | -10.95 | -4.5% | +3.4% | -1.8% | +7.7% |
| 2020-08-04 | miss | -8.92 | -9.45 | -6.0% | -2.1% | -6.5% | -13.0% |
| 2020-05-05 | miss | -10.29 | -11.70 | -13.8% | -8.5% | -5.1% | -6.6% |
| 2020-02-13 | miss | -10.16 | -11.40 | -12.2% | -3.1% | -4.5% | -4.4% |
| 2019-11-04 | beat | -12.17 | -10.05 | +17.4% | +11.6% | +6.2% | +21.9% |
| 2019-08-06 | beat | -14.29 | -10.65 | +25.5% | +4.5% | +5.7% | +12.7% |
| 2019-05-09 | miss | -12.89 | -16.35 | -26.9% | -3.2% | -1.7% | -0.4% |
| 2019-02-28 | miss | -13.07 | -14.40 | -10.1% | +4.1% | -6.1% | -5.9% |
| 2018-11-08 | beat | -13.15 | -11.85 | +9.8% | +2.0% | -3.1% | -7.7% |
| 2018-08-07 | beat | -12.03 | -9.00 | +25.2% | +3.7% | +4.1% | +4.9% |
| 2018-05-10 | miss | -9.62 | -11.70 | -21.6% | -2.8% | -2.7% | +9.1% |
| 2018-03-15 | miss | -8.76 | -12.00 | -36.9% | -9.0% | -3.9% | -10.9% |
| 2017-11-02 | miss | -9.45 | -9.75 | -3.2% | -4.4% | +1.3% | +4.0% |
| 2017-08-08 | beat | -9.77 | -9.60 | +1.7% | +6.1% | +4.4% | +2.0% |
| 2017-05-04 | miss | -9.59 | -10.65 | -11.0% | +9.1% | -8.6% | +1.3% |
| 2017-03-16 | miss | -9.60 | -9.75 | -1.6% | -0.4% | +4.7% | +3.2% |
| 2016-11-07 | beat | -11.65 | -10.35 | +11.2% | -7.1% | +12.6% | +41.2% |
| 2016-08-04 | miss | -10.85 | -12.60 | -16.2% | -0.6% | -2.7% | -0.6% |
| 2016-05-09 | miss | -10.80 | -11.25 | -4.1% | -5.8% | +4.7% | +1.4% |
| 2016-03-14 | miss | -11.59 | -12.15 | -4.8% | +2.3% | +12.3% | +12.7% |
| 2015-11-09 | beat | -12.91 | -12.75 | +1.2% | -1.8% | +0.8% | +4.2% |
| 2015-08-10 | miss | -10.77 | -13.80 | -28.1% | -25.3% | -39.0% | -34.7% |
| 2015-05-11 | beat | -11.95 | -11.10 | +7.1% | +0.0% | +2.5% | -6.0% |
| 2015-03-16 | miss | -9.65 | -11.85 | -22.8% | -0.3% | +12.4% | +9.8% |
| 2014-11-10 | miss | -6.50 | -9.15 | -40.8% | +2.1% | +1.3% | -3.2% |
| 2014-08-07 | miss | -7.10 | -8.25 | -16.2% | -0.1% | -2.3% | +4.0% |
| 2014-05-07 | beat | -8.65 | -6.90 | +20.2% | -1.3% | -2.0% | -1.3% |
| 2014-03-05 | beat | -6.82 | -6.60 | +3.3% | +5.4% | -8.8% | -3.1% |
| 2013-12-20 | miss | -4.65 | -5.85 | -25.8% | +4.8% | -0.9% | -4.8% |
Not investment advice.
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