LEModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.8%
Next 1 week
+2.3%
Next 1 month
+8.3%
Seasonality
No real seasonal tilt
Next 30 days (to Nov 30): +0.2% median,
52% of the last 27 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Oversold — RSI(2) at 19
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.03%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 3.58 +8.9% · Seasonal tilt -0.6%
$113M/day volume
86% volatility
-74% 1-year
52-week range · 2% of the way up · -74% from the high
$96.80$393.98
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-04 (Wednesday, after close, in 4 days) · EPS est. -0.13.
1-day std dev
14.1%
Finished up
42%
Biggest pop
+33.1%
Biggest drop
-31.4%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 38 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 | beat | 0.81 | 1.77 | +118.5% | +7.7% | -5.1% | +2.2% |
| 2026-05-05 | beat | 0.27 | 1.05 | +288.9% | +0.0% | +12.3% | -6.7% |
| 2026-02-10 | miss | 1.63 | 0.79 | -51.4% | -4.5% | -20.7% | -21.2% |
| 2025-11-05 | miss | 0.36 | 0.19 | -46.8% | -11.8% | -14.7% | -22.1% |
| 2025-08-05 | beat | 0.58 | 1.59 | +176.3% | +10.9% | +8.7% | -12.3% |
| 2025-05-07 | beat | -0.08 | 1.06 | +1468.5% | +11.4% | +22.0% | +32.8% |
| 2025-02-06 | beat | 1.64 | 3.20 | +95.1% | +16.0% | +33.1% | +39.3% |
| 2024-10-28 | miss | 0.22 | -0.30 | -236.4% | -5.1% | +11.8% | -19.3% |
| 2024-08-06 | beat | 0.78 | 1.89 | +141.3% | +21.6% | +17.5% | +2.4% |
| 2024-05-07 | miss | 0.60 | -0.38 | -163.0% | -12.0% | -4.9% | -2.5% |
| 2024-02-08 | beat | 0.51 | 3.58 | +608.9% | +14.7% | -1.8% | -5.4% |
| 2023-11-07 | beat | 0.23 | 0.54 | +133.9% | -3.5% | -10.9% | -6.5% |
| 2023-08-03 | beat | 0.11 | 0.83 | +654.5% | +2.8% | +20.6% | +22.0% |
| 2023-05-08 | beat | 0.39 | 0.47 | +20.5% | +4.2% | +5.2% | +7.2% |
| 2023-02-21 | beat | 0.26 | 1.42 | +446.1% | +9.2% | +13.9% | +4.5% |
| 2022-11-08 | miss | -0.12 | -0.42 | -250.0% | -14.4% | -31.4% | -15.1% |
| 2022-08-04 | beat | 0.36 | 2.51 | +597.2% | +3.6% | +17.3% | +31.7% |
| 2022-05-05 | miss | 0.13 | -0.03 | -123.1% | -8.4% | -6.4% | -25.7% |
| 2022-03-10 | beat | 0.32 | 8.14 | +2443.8% | +7.4% | -16.4% | -22.8% |
| 2021-11-10 | miss | 0.02 | -0.12 | -701.5% | -1.1% | +14.9% | +0.4% |
| 2021-08-11 | beat | 0.26 | 0.79 | +203.8% | +0.7% | +0.0% | -7.3% |
| 2021-05-11 | beat | 0.09 | 0.33 | +266.7% | -4.5% | -4.7% | -9.6% |
| 2021-03-18 | beat | 0.08 | 1.46 | +1725.0% | +3.8% | +4.8% | -9.4% |
| 2020-11-12 | beat | -0.89 | -0.83 | +6.7% | -9.4% | -0.1% | +3.9% |
| 2013-03-18 | miss | 27.26 | -2408.51 | -8934.4% | +0.0% | -2.6% | -7.7% |
| 2012-10-31 | miss | 16.36 | 13.63 | -16.7% | +2.9% | +1.5% | -10.3% |
| 2012-07-31 | miss | -2.73 | -207.20 | -7500.0% | -3.1% | -16.7% | -20.8% |
| 2012-05-01 | beat | -51.80 | -51.31 | +0.9% | +1.2% | -1.2% | -6.0% |
| 2012-03-14 | miss | -8.18 | -1115.05 | -13533.3% | -2.3% | -3.1% | -5.3% |
| 2011-11-04 | beat | -29.99 | -16.36 | +45.5% | -1.0% | -6.9% | -28.2% |
| 2011-08-03 | miss | -24.54 | -49.07 | -100.0% | -2.8% | -24.8% | -22.3% |
| 2011-05-03 | miss | -25.45 | -44.90 | -76.5% | -1.6% | +0.0% | +1.9% |
| 2011-02-22 | beat | -0.91 | 13.63 | +1600.0% | -0.5% | -6.8% | -7.3% |
| 2010-11-02 | beat | 0.91 | 2.73 | +200.0% | +0.5% | -9.2% | +2.0% |
| 2010-08-03 | beat | 1.36 | 10.91 | +700.0% | +0.7% | +5.8% | -4.7% |
| 2010-05-04 | beat | -21.81 | -8.18 | +62.5% | -8.3% | -16.7% | -22.4% |
| 2010-03-01 | miss | 43.62 | 5.45 | -87.5% | +6.4% | +20.6% | +18.8% |
| 2009-11-02 | miss | 54.53 | -16.36 | -130.0% | -1.8% | +0.5% | +7.0% |
Not investment advice.
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