LFModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
-0.9%
Next 1 week
-2.9%
Next 1 month
+4.6%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Dec 3): +6.7% median,
59% of the last 17 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Neutral — RSI(2) at 77
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -2.35%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 1.93 +4.5% · Seasonal tilt +0.1%
$2M/day volume
80% volatility
-60% 1-year
52-week range · 6% of the way up · -61% from the high
$2.06$5.96
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-09 (Monday, before open, in 6 days).
1-day std dev
18.6%
Finished up
48%
Biggest pop
+34.9%
Biggest drop
-44.8%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 23 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 | miss | -0.04 | -0.15 | -229.6% | -12.5% | -7.6% | -6.0% |
| 2026-05-06 | miss | -0.12 | -0.15 | -21.3% | -9.7% | -14.8% | -15.6% |
| 2026-03-09 | miss | 0.09 | 0.06 | -36.9% | +12.2% | +25.3% | +42.3% |
| 2025-11-17 | miss | 0.05 | -0.08 | -285.1% | -26.4% | -13.5% | -16.9% |
| 2025-08-05 | miss | 0.18 | -0.01 | -106.2% | -36.7% | -44.8% | -41.8% |
| 2025-05-06 | miss | 0.14 | 0.03 | -79.9% | +4.9% | +3.2% | +23.2% |
| 2025-03-10 | beat | 0.14 | 0.21 | +50.0% | +27.2% | +30.7% | +32.3% |
| 2024-11-07 | beat | 0.07 | 0.09 | +28.6% | +7.2% | +14.0% | +7.0% |
| 2024-08-07 | beat | 0.04 | 0.06 | +50.0% | -2.6% | -2.8% | -5.6% |
| 2024-05-08 | beat | -0.01 | 0.01 | +200.0% | -13.2% | -24.6% | -37.4% |
| 2024-03-11 | beat | 0.03 | 0.15 | +400.0% | +3.8% | +5.4% | +36.7% |
| 2023-11-07 | beat | 0.03 | 0.08 | +166.7% | +0.6% | -0.6% | +4.6% |
| 2023-08-09 | beat | 0.03 | 0.05 | +66.7% | +7.9% | +19.7% | +3.8% |
| 2023-05-12 | beat | -0.16 | -0.15 | +6.2% | +3.3% | +0.0% | +11.5% |
| 2023-03-22 | miss | -0.18 | -0.40 | -122.2% | +7.1% | +3.6% | +7.1% |
| 2022-11-10 | beat | -0.12 | -0.03 | +75.0% | +8.7% | +19.2% | +20.7% |
| 2022-08-11 | beat | -0.23 | -0.22 | +4.3% | -1.3% | -7.9% | -20.6% |
| 2022-05-13 | beat | -0.26 | -0.25 | +3.9% | +4.6% | +8.8% | +5.7% |
| 2022-03-07 | beat | -0.39 | -0.29 | +25.6% | +3.7% | +1.6% | +0.0% |
| 2021-11-10 | beat | -0.49 | -0.36 | +26.5% | +8.0% | -3.6% | -6.2% |
| 2021-08-12 | miss | -0.45 | -0.51 | -13.3% | -12.2% | -18.8% | -21.1% |
| 2021-05-13 | miss | -0.44 | -0.48 | -9.5% | +12.1% | +34.9% | +95.2% |
| 2021-03-29 | miss | -0.24 | -2.56 | -944.9% | -7.3% | -15.3% | -13.9% |
Not investment advice.
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