LIModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
-0.4%
Next 1 week
+2.0%
Next 1 month
+4.7%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Nov 28): +4.2% median,
67% of the last 12 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Overbought — RSI(2) at 84
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.10%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 1.81 +4.7% · Seasonal tilt -0.1%
$32M/day volume
51% volatility
+184% 1-year
-3% from ATH
52-week range · 96% of the way up · -3% from the high
$11.37$36.97
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-03 (Tuesday, before open, in 5 days) · EPS est. 0.46.
1-day std dev
7.3%
Finished up
56%
Biggest pop
+25.2%
Biggest drop
-20.0%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 43 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-03 | beat | -0.11 | -0.01 | +87.2% | +4.8% | +12.0% | +11.7% |
| 2026-05-05 | beat | 0.01 | 0.09 | +1093.6% | -6.8% | +14.7% | +6.6% |
| 2026-02-26 | miss | -0.31 | -0.38 | -20.4% | -2.8% | -2.5% | -12.2% |
| 2025-11-04 | beat | 0.22 | 0.42 | +87.8% | +7.2% | +2.0% | -0.2% |
| 2025-08-04 | beat | -0.29 | -0.17 | +41.5% | +9.0% | +5.3% | +9.5% |
| 2025-05-06 | beat | -0.12 | 0.03 | +123.0% | +12.3% | +8.8% | +15.7% |
| 2025-02-27 | miss | -0.29 | -0.42 | -42.9% | -1.1% | -1.3% | -5.4% |
| 2024-11-05 | beat | 0.19 | 0.36 | +92.8% | +13.7% | +25.2% | +44.4% |
| 2024-08-08 | miss | -0.25 | -0.44 | -78.4% | +4.9% | -1.4% | -1.8% |
| 2024-04-30 | miss | -0.04 | -0.10 | -126.2% | +0.0% | +0.5% | -1.2% |
| 2024-02-28 | miss | -0.28 | -0.53 | -87.1% | -5.9% | -3.7% | -10.9% |
| 2023-11-02 | beat | 0.05 | 0.08 | +77.8% | +24.1% | +2.7% | +2.1% |
| 2023-07-27 | miss | -0.27 | -0.48 | -77.8% | -7.0% | +15.7% | +2.2% |
| 2023-05-03 | beat | -0.20 | -0.01 | +95.0% | -0.9% | +0.5% | -4.4% |
| 2023-02-28 | miss | -0.46 | -0.63 | -37.0% | -3.5% | -20.0% | -10.3% |
| 2022-11-02 | beat | -0.23 | -0.18 | +22.4% | +7.7% | +12.2% | +19.3% |
| 2022-08-01 | miss | -0.52 | -0.59 | -13.0% | -10.8% | -8.7% | +11.9% |
| 2022-05-03 | miss | -0.59 | -0.85 | -44.1% | -2.2% | -4.7% | -25.5% |
| 2022-02-22 | miss | -0.48 | -0.54 | -12.0% | -5.2% | -5.0% | -4.9% |
| 2021-11-02 | miss | -0.48 | -0.50 | -3.6% | -2.4% | +2.0% | +11.2% |
| 2021-08-03 | miss | -0.57 | -0.71 | -23.5% | +0.0% | -2.5% | +8.0% |
| 2021-04-29 | miss | -0.55 | -0.66 | -20.0% | +2.8% | -5.2% | -5.9% |
| 2021-03-09 | miss | -0.58 | -0.59 | -2.4% | +1.9% | +0.9% | -5.0% |
| 2020-10-29 | miss | -0.55 | -0.56 | -2.8% | +0.9% | +2.4% | +5.4% |
| 2020-08-10 | miss | -0.61 | -0.80 | -30.7% | +2.1% | -3.4% | -13.5% |
| 2020-05-01 | miss | 0.04 | — | -97.9% | -10.5% | +3.3% | -2.4% |
| 2020-02-25 | beat | -0.04 | -0.03 | +39.3% | +0.2% | -4.6% | -16.7% |
| 2019-10-30 | miss | 0.20 | 0.04 | -78.3% | -11.7% | -5.2% | -3.8% |
| 2019-08-01 | miss | 0.06 | 0.02 | -68.4% | -4.2% | -1.8% | +0.8% |
| 2019-05-02 | beat | 0.22 | 0.31 | +44.2% | +1.3% | +1.6% | +0.3% |
| 2019-02-28 | beat | -0.11 | -0.10 | +5.7% | +0.9% | -0.1% | +11.7% |
| 2018-11-02 | miss | 0.15 | 0.11 | -28.9% | -6.5% | -2.2% | -2.6% |
| 2018-08-02 | beat | -0.10 | — | +102.8% | -5.0% | +1.4% | +6.1% |
| 2018-05-03 | beat | 0.05 | 0.24 | +426.6% | +1.3% | +0.9% | +4.7% |
| 2018-02-28 | beat | -0.05 | -0.04 | +20.0% | -0.7% | +0.2% | +1.6% |
| 2017-11-07 | beat | 0.22 | 0.23 | +3.8% | +0.5% | -2.1% | -0.3% |
| 2017-08-03 | miss | -0.05 | -0.05 | -4.5% | -0.3% | +3.9% | +5.0% |
| 2017-05-09 | miss | 0.08 | 0.02 | -78.4% | -1.1% | -1.2% | +3.2% |
| 2017-03-07 | miss | -0.04 | -0.19 | -422.0% | -1.1% | +2.4% | +0.0% |
| 2016-11-04 | miss | 0.17 | 0.16 | -8.2% | +0.0% | +5.7% | +15.4% |
| 2016-08-08 | miss | 0.14 | -0.08 | -157.7% | -2.8% | -5.3% | -7.8% |
| 2016-05-06 | beat | 0.20 | 0.23 | +17.7% | +0.2% | +1.5% | +1.4% |
| 2016-03-11 | beat | -0.06 | -0.01 | +84.4% | +3.2% | +6.4% | -5.0% |
Not investment advice.
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