LIModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.1%
Next 1 week
+1.4%
Next 1 month
+2.8%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Nov 29): +4.9% median,
70% of the last 10 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Oversold — RSI(2) at 15
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.02%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 0.95 +2.7% · Seasonal tilt (10y) +0.0%
$43M/day volume
36% volatility
+48% 1-year
-40% from ATH
52-week range · 82% of the way up · -8% from the high
$48.82$85.76
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-04 (Wednesday, before open, in 5 days) · EPS est. 1.06.
1-day std dev
8.2%
Finished up
60%
Biggest pop
+23.7%
Biggest drop
-15.8%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 42 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 | beat | 1.09 | 1.26 | +15.1% | -6.4% | -8.4% | -5.3% |
| 2026-05-06 | beat | 0.90 | 0.98 | +9.3% | +5.9% | +15.1% | +25.8% |
| 2026-02-25 | beat | 0.81 | 0.86 | +5.6% | -7.1% | +1.8% | -5.5% |
| 2025-11-05 | beat | 0.92 | 1.11 | +20.4% | -3.5% | -5.8% | +5.0% |
| 2025-08-06 | beat | 0.87 | 1.05 | +20.3% | +8.2% | +11.1% | +24.5% |
| 2025-05-07 | beat | 0.76 | 0.88 | +15.8% | +12.1% | +23.7% | +23.9% |
| 2025-02-25 | beat | 0.80 | 0.81 | +1.2% | -5.3% | -15.8% | -16.0% |
| 2024-10-30 | beat | 0.72 | 0.90 | +25.5% | +4.3% | -3.1% | -1.6% |
| 2024-07-31 | beat | 0.78 | 0.93 | +18.6% | +3.8% | -3.7% | -12.9% |
| 2024-05-01 | beat | 0.49 | 0.73 | +50.1% | +7.4% | +12.3% | +11.9% |
| 2024-02-21 | beat | 0.77 | 0.87 | +13.0% | +5.5% | +8.0% | +4.7% |
| 2023-11-01 | beat | 0.64 | 0.73 | +14.4% | -4.3% | +2.0% | -3.8% |
| 2023-07-26 | beat | 0.54 | 0.78 | +44.4% | +8.4% | +9.9% | +7.2% |
| 2023-05-03 | beat | 0.39 | 0.43 | +9.5% | -4.0% | +0.8% | -0.4% |
| 2023-02-22 | beat | 0.73 | 0.81 | +10.5% | +1.6% | -10.9% | -14.9% |
| 2022-11-02 | beat | 0.55 | 0.58 | +5.5% | -0.3% | +3.1% | +4.2% |
| 2022-08-03 | beat | 0.52 | 0.53 | +2.6% | -0.7% | -0.5% | +0.0% |
| 2022-05-04 | miss | 0.48 | 0.48 | -0.3% | +1.6% | -1.0% | -18.1% |
| 2022-02-23 | beat | 0.52 | 0.57 | +10.4% | +0.6% | +1.7% | +9.5% |
| 2021-11-03 | beat | 0.44 | 0.68 | +53.6% | +9.0% | +14.7% | +16.9% |
| 2021-07-28 | beat | 0.33 | 0.52 | +58.3% | +2.8% | +4.8% | +4.9% |
| 2021-04-28 | beat | 0.15 | 0.35 | +127.2% | +3.0% | +4.2% | +0.4% |
| 2021-02-24 | beat | 0.68 | 0.71 | +5.1% | -0.1% | +0.5% | +6.0% |
| 2020-10-29 | beat | 0.20 | 0.38 | +86.9% | +0.0% | +5.6% | -0.9% |
| 2020-07-29 | beat | -0.30 | -0.15 | +49.2% | -0.7% | -9.2% | -14.8% |
| 2020-04-29 | miss | 0.43 | 0.33 | -23.6% | +6.0% | -5.0% | -18.9% |
| 2020-02-26 | beat | 0.98 | 1.00 | +2.5% | +0.8% | -5.9% | +14.8% |
| 2019-10-30 | beat | 0.75 | 0.84 | +12.0% | +2.8% | -4.8% | -2.6% |
| 2019-07-31 | beat | 0.65 | 0.70 | +7.2% | -2.9% | +1.7% | +4.5% |
| 2019-05-01 | miss | 0.56 | 0.54 | -3.4% | -4.9% | -0.5% | +4.3% |
| 2019-02-27 | beat | 1.10 | 1.12 | +1.5% | -1.0% | -6.6% | -4.8% |
| 2018-10-31 | miss | 0.90 | 0.78 | -13.2% | -0.4% | +3.4% | +13.2% |
| 2018-08-01 | beat | 0.92 | 0.96 | +4.2% | +1.0% | +10.4% | +11.2% |
| 2018-05-02 | beat | 0.65 | 0.68 | +4.0% | -1.1% | -6.9% | -5.8% |
| 2018-02-28 | beat | 0.77 | 0.89 | +15.6% | +0.6% | +2.5% | +1.8% |
| 2017-11-02 | beat | 0.78 | 0.93 | +19.7% | +1.0% | +6.7% | +11.3% |
| 2017-08-09 | beat | 0.83 | 1.01 | +22.4% | +4.4% | +4.5% | +1.1% |
| 2017-05-03 | beat | 0.67 | 0.71 | +6.8% | +1.5% | +2.8% | +6.8% |
| 2017-03-01 | beat | 0.81 | 0.85 | +5.6% | -2.8% | +0.1% | -2.4% |
| 2016-11-02 | miss | 0.76 | 0.51 | -33.5% | -19.5% | -14.7% | -24.6% |
| 2016-08-03 | miss | 0.72 | 0.63 | -12.4% | +4.7% | +12.3% | +10.2% |
| 2016-05-09 | miss | 0.64 | 0.54 | -15.4% | -0.2% | -1.3% | -1.3% |
Not investment advice.
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