LOCO

El Pollo Loco Holdings, Inc. $15.57 as of 2026-11-02
Model view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.1%
Next 1 week
+0.0%
Next 1 month
+2.0%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Dec 3): +6.2% median, 73% of the last 11 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Overbought — RSI(2) at 90
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought. Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.26%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown — Market · β 0.41 +1.0% · Seasonal tilt (11y) +1.1%
$4M/day volume 37% volatility +72% 1-year -63% from ATH
52-week range · 76% of the way up · -10% from the high
$9.84$17.40

Earnings Full history →

Next report 2026-11-05 (Thursday, after close, in 2 days) · EPS est. 0.24.

1-day std dev
10.9%
Finished up
47%
Biggest pop
+29.1%
Biggest drop
-20.7%

Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 49 reports. History, not a forecast.

ReportedEst.Actual SurpriseGap Day 1Day 5
2026-08-06 beat 0.28 0.30 +7.8% +3.1% -7.4% -5.1%
2026-05-07 beat 0.22 0.28 +29.6% +17.3% +3.6% -0.5%
2026-03-12 beat 0.20 0.25 +25.0% +14.7% +16.9% +30.1%
2025-10-30 beat 0.21 0.27 +26.2% +9.1% +12.8% +15.3%
2025-07-31 beat 0.24 0.28 +16.7% +3.5% +1.5% -1.1%
2025-05-01 beat 0.19 0.19 +1.1% -4.6% -3.7% -3.9%
2025-03-06 beat 0.14 0.20 +48.1% +8.0% -0.1% -5.2%
2024-10-31 beat 0.17 0.21 +25.4% +1.0% -2.1% +5.6%
2024-08-01 beat 0.21 0.26 +25.3% -1.5% +0.7% +0.5%
2024-05-02 beat 0.14 0.22 +57.1% +26.4% +16.4% +22.0%
2024-03-07 miss 0.16 0.16 -1.5% +0.9% -4.0% -5.8%
2023-11-02 beat 0.19 0.19 +2.7% -0.6% +0.8% -4.7%
2023-08-03 beat 0.21 0.23 +11.7% -0.2% +3.1% +2.3%
2023-05-04 beat 0.11 0.14 +29.6% +6.9% -1.8% -1.1%
2023-03-09 beat 0.14 0.16 +17.6% -1.8% -7.9% -6.8%
2022-11-03 beat 0.12 0.14 +14.8% +4.1% +11.6% +12.1%
2022-08-04 beat 0.20 0.21 +7.7% -3.8% -7.2% -2.6%
2022-05-04 beat 0.07 0.07 +6.1% -1.7% -1.5% -5.2%
2022-03-10 beat 0.12 0.17 +37.1% +7.5% -10.5% -8.7%
2021-11-04 beat 0.22 0.27 +22.7% +1.9% +3.3% -1.3%
2021-08-05 beat 0.26 0.29 +9.8% +1.0% +0.9% -2.0%
2021-05-06 beat 0.12 0.13 +10.2% +0.4% +4.2% +4.9%
2021-03-11 beat 0.15 0.16 +9.6% +0.9% -2.0% -7.7%
2020-10-29 beat 0.22 0.28 +28.4% -7.6% -19.8% -14.9%
2020-07-30 beat 0.05 0.20 +284.6% +2.4% +14.9% +1.3%
2020-04-30 beat 0.10 0.16 +54.8% +4.8% +11.6% +13.4%
2020-03-05 beat 0.16 0.18 +13.9% +3.8% -1.3% -20.6%
2019-10-31 beat 0.18 0.20 +12.4% +11.9% +29.1% +27.1%
2019-08-01 beat 0.21 0.23 +10.6% +5.9% +13.4% +9.5%
2019-05-02 miss 0.15 0.15 -2.6% -7.3% -11.2% -10.5%
2019-03-07 beat 0.14 0.16 +14.3% -3.4% -17.1% -14.6%
2018-11-01 beat 0.18 0.19 +7.5% +4.7% +21.9% +31.1%
2018-08-02 beat 0.22 0.22 +1.5% -3.9% -0.4% +1.3%
2018-05-03 beat 0.16 0.17 +4.9% +0.5% +6.1% +3.0%
2018-03-08 beat 0.10 0.11 +15.8% +7.8% +7.8% +4.7%
2017-11-02 miss 0.18 0.15 -17.4% -8.9% -12.9% -10.2%
2017-08-03 beat 0.20 0.21 +7.1% +1.9% -6.6% -5.8%
2017-05-04 beat 0.14 0.16 +11.6% +4.0% +11.2% +11.6%
2017-03-09 miss 0.13 0.12 -10.0% -1.8% -2.6% +2.6%
2016-11-03 miss 0.19 0.18 -3.8% -9.4% -11.1% +0.0%
2016-08-04 beat 0.18 0.19 +3.1% +7.2% +2.8% +5.4%
2016-05-05 miss 0.18 0.17 -6.3% -4.2% -15.3% -16.6%
2016-03-10 beat 0.13 0.15 +14.1% -9.8% -8.2% -12.4%
2015-11-12 beat 0.15 0.18 +20.0% -14.3% -11.5% -3.5%
2015-08-13 beat 0.18 0.19 +5.6% -19.3% -20.7% -33.2%
2015-05-14 beat 0.17 0.18 +5.9% -14.1% -15.0% -22.5%
2015-03-12 beat 0.12 0.14 +12.9% +11.4% +12.9% +12.5%
2014-11-06 0.12 0.12 — -2.8% -1.9% -8.0%
2014-09-04 miss 0.17 0.16 -5.9% +5.3% +4.2% +11.7%

Not investment advice.