LOModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+1.1%
Next 1 week
+3.8%
Next 1 month
+5.1%
Seasonality
Weak window historically
Next 30 days (to Nov 29): -11.9% median,
27% of the last 15 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Deeply oversold — RSI(2) at 3
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.59%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 2.14 +6.2% · Seasonal tilt -1.1%
$3M/day volume
81% volatility
-53% 1-year
52-week range · 0% of the way up · -72% from the high
$1.40$4.98
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-04 (Wednesday, after close, in 5 days) · EPS est. 0.06.
1-day std dev
7.6%
Finished up
37%
Biggest pop
+15.9%
Biggest drop
-22.7%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 38 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-23 | miss | -0.12 | -0.15 | -24.8% | -3.4% | -22.7% | -29.4% |
| 2026-05-07 | beat | -0.15 | -0.13 | +12.5% | -3.3% | -10.9% | +5.8% |
| 2026-03-24 | miss | -0.13 | -0.26 | -102.4% | +9.0% | +15.5% | +10.8% |
| 2025-10-30 | miss | -0.13 | -0.22 | -62.1% | +4.7% | +5.7% | -9.4% |
| 2025-08-14 | miss | -0.19 | -0.29 | -53.6% | +6.5% | +1.3% | +7.4% |
| 2025-05-08 | miss | -0.20 | -0.31 | -55.6% | -3.5% | -3.5% | +1.9% |
| 2025-03-06 | miss | -0.20 | -2.31 | -1056.9% | -3.4% | -1.9% | -4.2% |
| 2024-10-22 | miss | -0.30 | -0.31 | -2.0% | -11.5% | -5.8% | -15.4% |
| 2024-08-08 | miss | -0.40 | -0.48 | -19.8% | +12.5% | -6.2% | -6.2% |
| 2024-04-29 | miss | -0.40 | -0.51 | -27.0% | +3.2% | -9.7% | -19.4% |
| 2024-02-28 | beat | -0.40 | 0.80 | +300.2% | +2.2% | -2.2% | -17.4% |
| 2023-10-26 | miss | 0.20 | -0.59 | -396.5% | +2.5% | +0.0% | +10.0% |
| 2023-08-10 | miss | -0.20 | -0.55 | -173.0% | +4.5% | +15.9% | +4.5% |
| 2023-05-03 | beat | -0.70 | -0.58 | +17.1% | +0.0% | +3.4% | +24.1% |
| 2023-03-16 | miss | -0.50 | -2.60 | -420.0% | +0.0% | -2.8% | -8.3% |
| 2022-11-01 | beat | -0.80 | -0.70 | +12.5% | +0.0% | -9.1% | -18.2% |
| 2022-08-09 | miss | -0.60 | -2.13 | -255.8% | +0.0% | -7.9% | -4.8% |
| 2022-05-02 | miss | -0.20 | -0.28 | -41.1% | +0.0% | +2.7% | -26.8% |
| 2022-03-28 | miss | -0.30 | -1.91 | -536.7% | -5.4% | -7.1% | -4.2% |
| 2021-11-09 | miss | -0.30 | -1.70 | -466.7% | -1.3% | -13.0% | -15.1% |
| 2021-08-09 | miss | 0.10 | -1.50 | -1600.0% | +1.4% | +4.1% | -6.8% |
| 2021-05-11 | beat | -0.40 | 2.20 | +650.0% | +5.4% | -1.8% | +0.6% |
| 2021-03-10 | miss | -0.40 | -1.40 | -250.0% | +6.6% | +2.4% | +19.5% |
| 2020-11-16 | beat | 5.10 | 5.40 | +5.9% | +9.6% | -11.3% | -14.8% |
| 2020-08-14 | beat | 0.10 | 0.50 | +400.0% | +0.0% | +1.3% | +28.2% |
| 2016-10-20 | beat | -5.00 | -2.50 | +50.0% | +3.1% | -6.2% | -25.0% |
| 2016-08-04 | -5.00 | -5.00 | — | +0.0% | -6.5% | -13.0% | |
| 2016-05-05 | beat | -7.50 | -5.00 | +33.3% | +0.0% | -6.4% | -19.1% |
| 2016-01-28 | miss | -10.00 | -12.50 | -25.0% | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.0% |
| 2015-10-23 | miss | -7.50 | -17.50 | -133.3% | +0.0% | +1.7% | -1.7% |
| 2015-07-21 | miss | -5.00 | -7.50 | -50.0% | -2.1% | -6.2% | -20.8% |
| 2015-04-16 | — | 2.50 | — | +2.9% | +12.9% | +14.3% | |
| 2015-01-29 | -5.00 | -5.00 | — | -1.8% | -2.7% | -6.4% | |
| 2014-10-16 | beat | -12.50 | -5.00 | +60.0% | +3.1% | +3.1% | +6.2% |
| 2014-07-22 | miss | -12.50 | -15.00 | -20.0% | +0.0% | -2.5% | +0.0% |
| 2014-04-28 | beat | -22.50 | -17.50 | +22.2% | +0.6% | +1.2% | +3.6% |
| 2013-05-08 | miss | -22.50 | -32.50 | -44.4% | +1.0% | -1.5% | +0.0% |
| 2013-03-18 | miss | -27.50 | -32.50 | -18.2% | +1.0% | +4.7% | +13.1% |
Not investment advice.
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