LRModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.4%
Next 1 week
+0.9%
Next 1 month
+3.9%
Seasonality
Mildly positive window
Next 30 days (to Nov 30): +3.4% median,
55% of the last 11 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Neutral — RSI(2) at 37
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.17%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 1.65 +4.1% · Seasonal tilt (11y) -0.2%
$4M/day volume
100% volatility
-43% 1-year
52-week range · 12% of the way up · -62% from the high
$1.91$6.42
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-05 (Thursday, before open, in 5 days) · EPS est. -0.35.
1-day std dev
13.1%
Finished up
48%
Biggest pop
+17.8%
Biggest drop
-36.3%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 23 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 | beat | -0.38 | -0.30 | +20.2% | +0.0% | +3.3% | +8.3% |
| 2026-05-14 | beat | -0.59 | -0.31 | +47.9% | +1.0% | -5.1% | -12.9% |
| 2026-03-19 | miss | -0.55 | -0.73 | -33.8% | -0.7% | +4.0% | +12.8% |
| 2025-11-05 | miss | -0.42 | -0.61 | -44.2% | -4.3% | -15.3% | -11.3% |
| 2025-08-14 | beat | -0.49 | -0.41 | +15.6% | -0.3% | +14.5% | -0.8% |
| 2025-04-30 | miss | -0.41 | -0.46 | -12.4% | +0.4% | +10.9% | -9.2% |
| 2025-03-24 | miss | -0.32 | -0.45 | -40.9% | +2.4% | -10.2% | -15.4% |
| 2024-10-30 | beat | -0.37 | -0.24 | +35.2% | +5.3% | +8.7% | +4.9% |
| 2024-08-07 | miss | -0.32 | -0.34 | -7.8% | +1.0% | -6.5% | -1.0% |
| 2024-05-09 | miss | -0.24 | -0.27 | -12.5% | +1.3% | -9.4% | -6.1% |
| 2024-03-14 | miss | -0.25 | -0.29 | -15.1% | -3.3% | +0.1% | -7.0% |
| 2023-11-14 | beat | -0.23 | -0.21 | +8.4% | +1.6% | +14.5% | +29.7% |
| 2023-08-10 | beat | -0.21 | -0.19 | +9.9% | +2.2% | -4.7% | -1.2% |
| 2023-05-15 | beat | -0.25 | -0.15 | +39.2% | -20.4% | -29.1% | -28.3% |
| 2023-03-14 | beat | -0.37 | -0.21 | +43.9% | +4.4% | +3.0% | -17.1% |
| 2022-11-10 | beat | -0.42 | -0.37 | +11.9% | +1.7% | +3.7% | +2.4% |
| 2022-08-11 | beat | -0.57 | -0.47 | +18.0% | +21.7% | +7.1% | +51.5% |
| 2022-05-12 | beat | -0.51 | -0.49 | +3.9% | +0.0% | -7.9% | -3.2% |
| 2022-03-25 | beat | -0.72 | -0.50 | +30.2% | +3.3% | -0.8% | -3.0% |
| 2021-11-12 | miss | -0.66 | -0.92 | -38.4% | -2.0% | -8.7% | -18.0% |
| 2021-08-12 | miss | -0.75 | -0.79 | -5.8% | -0.8% | +17.8% | +25.7% |
| 2021-05-10 | beat | -0.86 | -0.76 | +12.1% | -14.3% | -36.3% | +0.0% |
| 2021-03-04 | miss | -0.72 | -0.89 | -23.6% | -0.9% | -1.9% | +5.3% |
Not investment advice.
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