MAModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.3%
Next 1 week
+0.6%
Next 1 month
+1.7%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Dec 3): +3.7% median,
83% of the last 18 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Overbought — RSI(2) at 82
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.03%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 0.69 +1.6% · Seasonal tilt +0.1%
$25M/day volume
24% volatility
-0% 1-year
-17% from ATH
52-week range · 45% of the way up · -14% from the high
$48.95$65.23
Congressional trades in MAIN Full tracker →
1 member · 1 buys / 1 sells · $16K–$65K disclosed · latest filing Dec 13, 2021.
| SELL | $15K–$50K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K |
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-05 (Thursday, after close, in 2 days) · EPS est. 0.92.
1-day std dev
2.2%
Finished up
70%
Biggest pop
+4.3%
Biggest drop
-4.6%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 | beat | 0.96 | 0.97 | +1.4% | -0.5% | +3.8% | +3.5% |
| 2026-05-07 | miss | 1.01 | 0.93 | -7.9% | -1.5% | -4.6% | -10.9% |
| 2026-02-26 | beat | 1.01 | 1.03 | +1.9% | +0.7% | -2.2% | -1.2% |
| 2025-11-06 | miss | 0.98 | 0.97 | -1.0% | +0.6% | +2.7% | +2.2% |
| 2025-08-07 | beat | 0.99 | 0.99 | +0.4% | +0.9% | +3.3% | +4.0% |
| 2025-05-08 | miss | 1.02 | 1.01 | -0.7% | +0.5% | -0.2% | +4.3% |
| 2025-02-27 | miss | 1.03 | 1.02 | -1.2% | -2.2% | +3.2% | -0.5% |
| 2024-11-07 | miss | 1.01 | 1.00 | -1.3% | +0.4% | +0.3% | +0.8% |
| 2024-08-08 | beat | 1.01 | 1.01 | +0.4% | +0.6% | -0.5% | +1.0% |
| 2024-05-09 | beat | 1.04 | 1.05 | +0.6% | +0.1% | -2.7% | -4.0% |
| 2024-02-22 | beat | 1.07 | 1.07 | +0.3% | -1.0% | -0.9% | -0.7% |
| 2023-11-02 | miss | 1.00 | 0.99 | -1.0% | +0.9% | +1.2% | +0.3% |
| 2023-08-03 | beat | 1.02 | 1.06 | +4.3% | +0.4% | -0.7% | -4.8% |
| 2023-05-04 | beat | 0.96 | 1.02 | +6.0% | +0.3% | +1.5% | -0.3% |
| 2023-02-23 | beat | 0.88 | 0.98 | +10.9% | +0.0% | +2.0% | +5.2% |
| 2022-11-03 | beat | 0.76 | 0.83 | +9.8% | +1.4% | +4.3% | +1.7% |
| 2022-08-04 | beat | 0.72 | 0.75 | +3.8% | -0.9% | +2.0% | -1.5% |
| 2022-05-05 | beat | 0.70 | 0.73 | +3.7% | +0.1% | +2.1% | -4.8% |
| 2022-02-24 | beat | 0.65 | 0.73 | +12.3% | +0.4% | +3.4% | +2.5% |
| 2021-11-04 | beat | 0.62 | 0.71 | +15.0% | +0.6% | +3.7% | +4.3% |
| 2021-08-05 | beat | 0.57 | 0.62 | +9.4% | +0.0% | +0.1% | +2.7% |
| 2021-05-06 | beat | 0.55 | 0.58 | +5.5% | -0.6% | +0.2% | -2.5% |
| 2021-02-25 | beat | 0.51 | 0.59 | +16.8% | -0.8% | +2.7% | +2.9% |
| 2020-11-05 | miss | 0.47 | 0.46 | -2.5% | -1.1% | -2.0% | +5.5% |
| 2020-08-06 | beat | 0.46 | 0.48 | +3.6% | -0.7% | +3.5% | +5.9% |
| 2020-05-07 | 0.57 | 0.57 | — | +2.1% | +2.2% | +9.0% | |
| 2020-02-27 | beat | 0.60 | 0.62 | +3.7% | -5.4% | -4.2% | -4.3% |
| 2019-11-07 | miss | 0.63 | 0.62 | -0.8% | -0.5% | -3.0% | -0.7% |
| 2019-08-08 | beat | 0.62 | 0.63 | +2.0% | -1.7% | -2.3% | +1.2% |
| 2019-05-09 | beat | 0.62 | 0.64 | +2.8% | +0.9% | +2.2% | +1.8% |
| 2019-02-28 | beat | 0.62 | 0.69 | +10.6% | +0.6% | -1.6% | -5.0% |
| 2018-11-01 | beat | 0.63 | 0.63 | +0.5% | +1.2% | -0.7% | +4.3% |
| 2018-08-02 | beat | 0.62 | 0.66 | +6.7% | +0.3% | +1.4% | +1.1% |
| 2018-05-03 | beat | 0.59 | 0.63 | +6.2% | +0.0% | +2.0% | +2.4% |
| 2018-02-22 | beat | 0.63 | 0.64 | +1.6% | +0.3% | +0.9% | +0.2% |
| 2017-11-02 | beat | 0.57 | 0.60 | +4.7% | +0.2% | +2.1% | +1.5% |
| 2017-08-03 | beat | 0.54 | 0.58 | +7.4% | -0.1% | -0.1% | +1.4% |
| 2017-05-04 | beat | 0.56 | 0.57 | +1.6% | +0.0% | +2.4% | -2.4% |
| 2017-02-23 | beat | 0.56 | 0.57 | +1.5% | +0.4% | +0.1% | -0.8% |
| 2016-11-03 | beat | 0.55 | 0.58 | +6.1% | +0.2% | +2.3% | +14.2% |
| 2016-08-08 | 0.54 | 0.54 | — | +0.1% | +1.3% | +0.3% | |
| 2016-05-05 | miss | 0.54 | 0.54 | -0.2% | +0.0% | +2.0% | +2.9% |
| 2016-02-25 | beat | 0.57 | 0.57 | +0.2% | +1.0% | +2.5% | +5.6% |
| 2015-11-05 | beat | 0.55 | 0.56 | +2.0% | +0.0% | -2.4% | +0.2% |
| 2015-08-06 | miss | 0.55 | 0.55 | -0.2% | +0.0% | +1.6% | +3.0% |
| 2015-05-07 | miss | 0.53 | 0.51 | -3.1% | +1.2% | +0.9% | +1.8% |
| 2015-02-26 | beat | 0.57 | 0.59 | +2.6% | +0.2% | +0.8% | +2.4% |
| 2014-11-06 | miss | 0.55 | 0.55 | -0.6% | +0.8% | +2.3% | +2.7% |
| 2014-08-07 | beat | 0.52 | 0.53 | +1.6% | +0.0% | +1.6% | +4.4% |
| 2014-05-08 | miss | 0.53 | 0.52 | -2.4% | -0.1% | -4.1% | -2.3% |
| 2014-02-27 | beat | 0.54 | 0.57 | +5.6% | +1.1% | +0.8% | -2.4% |
| 2013-11-07 | miss | 0.50 | 0.47 | -6.3% | +0.7% | +0.6% | +4.0% |
| 2013-08-08 | beat | 0.49 | 0.51 | +4.4% | +0.0% | +0.5% | -5.6% |
| 2013-05-09 | beat | 0.47 | 0.50 | +5.9% | +0.2% | +0.7% | +3.1% |
| 2013-03-07 | beat | 0.49 | 0.56 | +14.8% | +0.5% | +1.1% | +3.1% |
| 2012-11-07 | beat | 0.46 | 0.49 | +7.0% | +0.3% | +3.9% | -5.7% |
| 2012-08-02 | beat | 0.42 | 0.47 | +11.9% | +1.4% | -0.1% | +7.1% |
| 2012-05-03 | beat | 0.44 | 0.48 | +8.1% | -0.2% | -2.9% | -2.2% |
| 2012-03-08 | beat | 0.41 | 0.45 | +9.8% | +0.6% | +2.4% | +4.2% |
| 2011-11-03 | beat | 0.38 | 0.44 | +17.0% | +1.3% | +1.1% | +3.9% |
Not investment advice.
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