MAModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.0%
Next 1 week
+0.5%
Next 1 month
+1.6%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Dec 1): +3.6% median,
62% of the last 13 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Deeply overbought — RSI(2) at 95
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.11%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 0.67 +1.6% · Seasonal tilt +0.0%
$6M/day volume
33% volatility
+22% 1-year
-24% from ATH
52-week range · 65% of the way up · -14% from the high
$14.85$24.45
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-12-10 (Thursday, before open, in 39 days) · EPS est. 0.06.
1-day std dev
4.7%
Finished up
43%
Biggest pop
+18.8%
Biggest drop
-6.9%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 56 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-23 | beat | -0.30 | -0.16 | +45.5% | -5.7% | -0.1% | +2.1% |
| 2026-05-27 | beat | -0.04 | 0.03 | +173.5% | +3.9% | +12.7% | +7.0% |
| 2026-02-25 | miss | 0.07 | 0.02 | -65.9% | -2.8% | -2.1% | +0.3% |
| 2025-12-11 | miss | 0.06 | -0.01 | -124.7% | -2.5% | +2.5% | +1.2% |
| 2025-09-17 | beat | -0.07 | -0.03 | +54.9% | -4.6% | -6.3% | -7.3% |
| 2025-06-06 | beat | -0.26 | -0.03 | +87.5% | +11.2% | +18.8% | +24.9% |
| 2025-02-19 | beat | -0.22 | -0.04 | +83.6% | +0.2% | -3.8% | -6.2% |
| 2024-11-26 | beat | -0.28 | — | +99.2% | -1.4% | -1.6% | -1.6% |
| 2024-09-11 | beat | -0.17 | -0.16 | +7.1% | -4.3% | -4.6% | -1.5% |
| 2024-07-10 | miss | -0.19 | -0.24 | -28.8% | -0.4% | +5.6% | +5.1% |
| 2024-03-12 | beat | -0.14 | 0.12 | +184.2% | +2.2% | +1.1% | -1.5% |
| 2024-01-17 | miss | -0.04 | -0.05 | -31.8% | -0.2% | -5.8% | -7.7% |
| 2023-10-26 | miss | -0.04 | -0.06 | -54.5% | -1.8% | -0.1% | +1.0% |
| 2023-06-27 | miss | -0.04 | -0.07 | -85.2% | -0.4% | +7.4% | +9.4% |
| 2023-03-30 | miss | 0.03 | -0.06 | -320.7% | +0.4% | +2.0% | -3.2% |
| 2022-12-08 | beat | -0.11 | -0.06 | +44.7% | +1.1% | -6.9% | +0.0% |
| 2022-09-22 | beat | -0.18 | -0.12 | +32.1% | -0.9% | +1.1% | -4.6% |
| 2022-05-26 | miss | -0.12 | -0.14 | -18.8% | -5.8% | -3.8% | -6.0% |
| 2022-03-01 | miss | 0.08 | 0.05 | -45.3% | -1.3% | -4.7% | -8.4% |
| 2021-11-17 | beat | -0.18 | -0.08 | +57.4% | -0.1% | +0.1% | -3.0% |
| 2021-09-17 | miss | -0.15 | -0.27 | -82.7% | +0.0% | +2.1% | +13.3% |
| 2021-06-17 | miss | 0.01 | -0.13 | -1430.0% | -0.2% | +0.7% | +0.6% |
| 2021-03-04 | beat | 0.04 | 0.22 | +440.8% | +0.9% | +5.2% | -3.0% |
| 2020-10-21 | miss | -0.20 | -0.22 | -8.0% | +3.8% | +9.3% | +1.1% |
| 2020-05-21 | miss | 0.01 | -0.04 | -542.0% | -3.5% | -3.1% | +1.2% |
| 2020-02-25 | beat | 0.15 | 0.16 | +4.4% | +0.0% | -5.1% | -9.5% |
| 2019-11-18 | beat | -0.03 | 0.02 | +168.7% | +3.1% | +0.4% | +2.5% |
| 2019-09-24 | miss | -0.12 | -0.13 | -10.4% | -0.3% | -4.3% | -6.7% |
| 2019-05-16 | beat | 0.02 | 0.05 | +150.5% | +0.0% | +2.8% | -0.3% |
| 2019-02-14 | beat | 0.22 | 0.28 | +25.6% | +3.5% | -3.4% | +6.6% |
| 2018-11-15 | beat | -0.04 | 0.04 | +197.8% | +1.1% | -6.2% | -14.4% |
| 2018-09-25 | miss | 0.01 | -0.01 | -151.0% | +1.5% | -2.1% | -8.4% |
| 2018-05-17 | miss | -0.02 | -0.03 | -65.0% | -1.2% | -3.3% | -1.4% |
| 2018-02-08 | miss | 0.10 | 0.09 | -7.9% | -0.5% | -0.3% | +2.1% |
| 2017-11-16 | beat | -0.02 | 0.04 | +260.6% | +0.5% | +0.5% | +13.8% |
| 2017-09-21 | beat | 0.10 | 0.14 | +45.9% | +2.3% | +2.0% | +3.5% |
| 2017-05-16 | miss | -0.04 | -0.04 | -3.3% | +0.6% | -0.6% | +3.4% |
| 2017-02-09 | beat | 0.08 | 0.11 | +33.1% | +2.3% | +0.0% | +14.5% |
| 2016-11-17 | beat | -0.06 | — | +107.2% | +1.3% | -0.3% | +2.0% |
| 2016-09-12 | miss | 0.06 | 0.05 | -11.7% | +1.1% | -0.3% | -0.3% |
| 2016-05-13 | beat | 0.05 | 0.07 | +32.4% | -0.1% | -4.2% | -0.7% |
| 2016-02-11 | beat | 0.05 | 0.11 | +131.6% | +3.7% | +6.2% | +8.8% |
| 2015-11-12 | beat | -0.01 | 0.02 | +263.0% | +0.0% | +4.7% | +2.0% |
| 2015-09-17 | beat | -0.09 | 0.01 | +107.6% | -2.6% | -2.2% | -2.9% |
| 2015-05-14 | beat | -0.07 | -0.04 | +38.6% | +0.0% | +2.8% | +6.3% |
| 2015-02-12 | beat | -0.02 | 0.03 | +230.8% | +1.0% | +1.0% | -4.7% |
| 2014-11-18 | beat | -0.04 | 0.03 | +157.6% | +2.8% | -0.9% | +0.8% |
| 2014-09-10 | — | -0.04 | — | +0.3% | -2.4% | +4.4% | |
| 2014-05-15 | beat | 0.06 | 0.08 | +32.2% | +0.6% | -0.2% | +0.2% |
| 2014-02-12 | miss | 0.12 | 0.12 | -0.8% | -0.6% | -4.1% | -4.1% |
| 2013-11-14 | beat | 0.01 | 0.01 | +52.2% | +2.3% | +2.2% | +7.8% |
| 2013-09-18 | miss | -0.01 | -0.02 | -100.0% | +1.7% | +2.1% | +2.0% |
| 2013-05-02 | miss | 0.02 | 0.02 | -11.1% | +1.2% | +3.4% | -2.1% |
| 2013-02-14 | beat | 0.17 | 0.18 | +5.9% | -1.3% | -0.9% | -1.9% |
| 2012-11-14 | beat | -0.02 | 0.15 | +998.6% | +3.1% | -0.1% | +1.3% |
| 2012-09-18 | miss | -0.05 | -0.07 | -28.9% | -6.9% | -2.9% | +3.2% |
Not investment advice.
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