MAModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.2%
Next 1 week
+4.3%
Next 1 month
+9.8%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Nov 29): +8.9% median,
62% of the last 13 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Oversold — RSI(2) at 16
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.84%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 3.40 +9.8% · Seasonal tilt -0.0%
$298M/day volume
85% volatility
-64% 1-year
52-week range · 3% of the way up · -64% from the high
$6.45$18.69
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-04 (Wednesday, after close, in 5 days) · EPS est. -0.10.
1-day std dev
8.1%
Finished up
34%
Biggest pop
+16.4%
Biggest drop
-16.5%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 35 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 | miss | -0.48 | -0.62 | -30.6% | -2.8% | -5.2% | -18.1% |
| 2026-05-11 | beat | -0.85 | -0.63 | +26.1% | -3.6% | -5.0% | -7.1% |
| 2026-02-26 | miss | -0.02 | -0.77 | -2986.4% | +14.6% | +5.8% | -5.2% |
| 2025-11-04 | beat | 0.35 | 0.37 | +6.0% | +3.6% | +3.1% | -13.3% |
| 2025-07-29 | beat | -0.28 | 1.94 | +806.3% | +4.9% | -0.4% | -4.3% |
| 2025-05-08 | miss | 0.72 | -1.58 | -320.2% | -1.1% | +10.3% | +13.4% |
| 2025-02-26 | beat | -0.08 | 1.27 | +1692.2% | +14.1% | +5.5% | +21.2% |
| 2024-11-12 | beat | -0.29 | -0.20 | +32.0% | -3.6% | -14.0% | -10.3% |
| 2024-08-01 | miss | 0.09 | -0.70 | -876.6% | -2.4% | -5.2% | -6.1% |
| 2024-05-09 | beat | 0.87 | 1.32 | +51.2% | +0.7% | -12.7% | -1.0% |
| 2024-02-28 | miss | 0.02 | -0.04 | -256.1% | -4.1% | -16.5% | -29.7% |
| 2023-11-08 | beat | -0.19 | -0.07 | +64.3% | +13.1% | +8.0% | +14.2% |
| 2023-08-08 | miss | -0.08 | -0.10 | -24.7% | +0.8% | -1.3% | -14.1% |
| 2023-05-10 | beat | -0.11 | -0.04 | +63.6% | -3.7% | -14.6% | -8.2% |
| 2023-03-16 | miss | -0.17 | -0.25 | -47.6% | +10.1% | +7.1% | +2.4% |
| 2022-11-08 | miss | -0.18 | -0.31 | -74.9% | -5.7% | -3.5% | -16.6% |
| 2022-08-08 | miss | -0.07 | -2.23 | -3174.7% | -2.9% | -2.2% | +17.0% |
| 2022-05-04 | miss | 0.22 | -0.02 | -109.1% | -2.8% | -10.5% | -42.8% |
| 2022-03-01 | beat | 0.36 | 0.36 | +0.7% | -2.0% | +3.1% | -1.5% |
| 2021-11-10 | beat | 0.32 | 0.85 | +168.4% | +4.1% | -14.8% | -33.0% |
| 2021-08-13 | miss | 0.10 | -0.93 | -1030.0% | +3.6% | -2.8% | +4.2% |
| 2021-05-10 | beat | 0.02 | 0.87 | +4250.0% | -15.2% | -6.7% | -17.4% |
| 2021-03-16 | miss | -0.01 | -0.10 | -900.0% | -3.5% | -11.0% | -11.7% |
| 2017-08-14 | -1.44 | -1.44 | — | +0.0% | -7.1% | -3.6% | |
| 2017-05-15 | miss | -1.44 | -2.08 | -44.4% | -5.3% | -10.5% | -36.8% |
| 2017-03-30 | -3.04 | -3.04 | — | +22.1% | +7.4% | -12.6% | |
| 2016-11-14 | miss | -1.60 | -3.36 | -110.0% | -18.4% | -4.5% | -18.8% |
| 2016-08-15 | beat | 10.72 | 14.08 | +31.3% | +4.3% | +0.0% | -2.6% |
| 2016-05-12 | miss | -2.08 | -3.90 | -87.3% | +8.1% | +4.9% | +21.6% |
| 2016-03-30 | miss | 0.32 | -0.32 | -200.0% | +1.5% | -2.9% | -5.9% |
| 2015-11-16 | beat | -4.53 | -3.52 | +22.4% | +7.1% | +16.4% | +26.4% |
| 2015-08-14 | miss | -5.17 | -6.16 | -19.0% | -0.7% | -13.4% | -34.2% |
| 2015-05-14 | miss | -1.60 | -5.44 | -240.0% | -0.7% | +3.1% | -7.2% |
| 2015-03-26 | miss | -1.00 | -5.68 | -468.0% | +1.9% | -2.7% | -12.3% |
| 2014-11-12 | beat | -1.16 | 5.68 | +589.7% | +7.2% | +2.5% | -3.8% |
Not investment advice.
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